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优必选(09880):公司深度研究:从WalkerS1到未来,人形机器人PK的是什么?
Guohai Securities· 2025-09-01 06:54
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2]. Core Insights - The report addresses key questions regarding the company's performance characteristics, driving factors, potential challenges, core competitive advantages, and the development trends in the humanoid robot industry [5][15]. - The company is recognized as a leader in the humanoid robot sector, with a strong focus on both technology and commercialization [5]. - The humanoid robot market is projected to grow significantly, with a forecasted global market size of $20 billion by 2030, and the Chinese market expected to reach $5 billion [6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, founded in 2012, has developed comprehensive technology capabilities in humanoid robots, holding 2,680 global patents as of 2024 [5][16]. - Revenue has grown from 740 million RMB in 2020 to 1.305 billion RMB in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.2% [5][35]. Business Expansion - The company has diversified its business into several sectors, including education, logistics, industrial applications, and consumer robots [23][24][25]. - The Walker S series humanoid robots have been deployed in major automotive factories, marking a significant milestone in industrial applications [28]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of 1.748 billion RMB in 2025, 2.385 billion RMB in 2026, and 3.306 billion RMB in 2027, with a projected net loss narrowing from 1.032 billion RMB in 2025 to 312 million RMB in 2027 [10]. - The consumer robot segment has become a major growth driver, with an 88.1% increase in revenue for the 2024 fiscal year [35][38]. Industry Trends - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing a surge in demand due to labor shortages and rising costs in manufacturing, with a projected worker shortage of 30 million in China by 2025 [6][28]. - The report highlights the importance of technological advancements and cost control as key competitive factors in the industry [6][29].