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有色板块走强!华锡有色盘中涨停创新高,矿业ETF(159690)标的指数单季净利同比增55%
Core Viewpoint - The A-share non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by supply-demand dynamics and strong fundamentals in the industry, particularly in copper and precious metals [1][2]. Group 1: Non-Ferrous Metal Sector Performance - On November 25, the non-ferrous metal sector in A-shares strengthened, with Huaxi Nonferrous hitting a new high and several companies like Zhongjin Gold and Zijin Mining seeing gains of over 4% [1]. - The mining ETF (159690) rose by 2.74% as of the report [1]. Group 2: Copper Market Dynamics - According to Zhongyuan Securities, the copper price is expected to rise due to supply constraints from declining global copper ore grades, insufficient capital expenditure, and increased mining disruptions [1]. - Demand for copper is supported by global monetary easing and trends in green transformation, particularly in electricity investment, electric vehicles, and data center construction [1]. Group 3: Precious Metals Outlook - Dongguan Securities noted a significant negative correlation between gold and the US dollar index, with the current challenges to the US dollar credit system prompting a reassessment of gold's monetary attributes [1]. - The uncertainty in monetary policy as the Federal Reserve seeks to balance inflation control and economic stability is expected to increase gold's safe-haven premium [1]. - Despite short-term fluctuations due to reduced risk aversion and profit-taking by speculative funds, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to declining dollar credit, sustained safe-haven demand, and regular central bank gold purchases [1]. Group 4: Industry Profitability - The overall profitability of the non-ferrous metal industry has improved, with a 41.43% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders in the first three quarters of 2025, and a further increase to 50.81% in the third quarter [2]. - The mining ETF (159690) tracked a net profit growth of 49.48% for the first three quarters and 55.62% for the third quarter [2][3]. Group 5: Index Performance - The non-ferrous mining index showed a net profit growth rate of 55.62% for the third quarter and 49.48% for the first three quarters, with an average ROE of 12.14% [3]. - The non-ferrous metal sector (Shenwan) recorded a net profit growth of 50.81% in the third quarter and 41.43% for the first three quarters, with an average ROE of 10.61% [3].
有色板块强势上攻!华锡有色涨停创新高,矿业ETF(159690)标的指数单季净利增55%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 05:46
Core Viewpoint - The A-share non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by supply-demand dynamics and strong fundamentals in the industry [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - On November 25, the non-ferrous metal sector in A-shares saw strong performance, with Huaxi Nonferrous hitting the daily limit and reaching a new high [1] - The mining ETF (159690) increased by 2.74% [1] - Key companies such as Zhongjin Gold, Xiyang Co., and Zijin Mining saw stock price increases of over 4% and 2% respectively [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - According to Zhongyuan Securities, the copper price is expected to rise due to supply constraints from declining global copper ore grades and limited new mining projects [1] - Demand for copper is supported by global monetary easing and trends in green transformation, particularly in electric power investment, new energy vehicles, and data center construction [1] Group 3: Profitability and Financial Performance - The non-ferrous metal industry saw a year-on-year net profit growth of 41.43% in the first three quarters of 2025, with the third quarter showing an even larger increase of 50.81% [2] - The mining ETF (159690) tracked the non-ferrous metal mining index, which had net profit growth rates of 49.48% and 55.62% for the first three quarters and single quarter respectively [2][3] Group 4: Industry Metrics - The non-ferrous mining index reported a return on equity (ROE) of 12.14%, while the overall non-ferrous metal sector had an ROE of 10.61% [3] - The SSH gold stocks index showed a net profit growth of 48.61% for the third quarter and 38.66% for the first three quarters [3] Group 5: Long-term Outlook - The non-ferrous metal sector is expected to benefit from long-term resource demand driven by energy transition, AI computing infrastructure, and global monetary policies [3]