证券研究报告 | 2025年07月09日 圣泉集团（605589.SH） 优于大市 新建产能快速投产稳产，半年度业绩预告同比高增 公司半年度归母净利润预计同比增长 48.19%-54.83%。圣泉集团 7 月 8 日晚 公布半年度业绩预增预告，预计 2025 年上半年度实现归属于母公司所有者 的净利润 49100 万元到 51300 万元，与上年同期相比，增加 15967.70 万元 到 18167.70 万元，同比增加 48.19%到 54.83%。其中二季度公司归母净利润 为 28428.8-30628.8 万元，同比增加 46.59%到 57.93%，环比增加 37.53%到 48.17%。 受益于全球 AI 算力建设、高频通信及新能源汽车、储能等领域快速发展， 带动公司先进电子材料及电池材料放量增长。聚苯醚树脂超低介电常数和介 电损耗的特性使其成为制造高频高速 PCB 基板理想材料，公司自主研发的聚 苯醚树脂通过国内重点头部企业认证。硅碳负极材料应用领域逐渐从消费电 子向动力电池拓展。2025 年上半年公司 1000 吨/年 PPO 树脂、1000 吨/年多 孔碳等先进电子材料及电池材料生产线产能陆续 ...

【DT新材料】 获悉，7月8日， 圣泉集团 发布 半年度业绩预增公告 ，公司预计2025年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润 49,100.00万元 到 51,300.00万元 ，同比增加 48.19% 到 54.83% 。 公司预计2025年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益的净利润 47,100.00万元 到 49,300.00万元 ，同比增加 48.02% 到 54.93% 。 业绩增长主要原 因为 受益于全球AI算力建设、高频通信及新能源汽车、储能等领域快速发展 ，带动公司先进电子材料及电池材料放量增长。 此外， 公司 1000 吨/年 PP0 树脂 、 1000 吨/年多孔碳 等先进电子材料及电池材料生产线产能陆续释放，逐步实现满产满销； 通过布局新领域、开发新应用，公司合成树脂产业市场份额扩大，实现销量的稳步提升；大庆生产基地" 100 万吨/年生物质精炼一体化(一期工程)项目 "持续平稳运行，产能利用率不断提升，报告期内实现减亏，对公司整体业绩提升起到了积极作用。 近期， 在生物基材料与能源领域深耕多年的圣泉集团，近期动作频频，交出了一份令人瞩目的成绩单： 点击扩展阅读： 圣泉集团 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 35.60, up from the previous RMB 30.00 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 119.58 to 121.58 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.84% to 39.12%. The second quarter of 2025 is projected to see a net profit of RMB 67.27 to 69.27 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 47.72% to 52.11% [1][4]. - The growth is primarily driven by the accelerated shipment of the GB200 server and the ramp-up of 800G switches, indicating a strong performance in the second half of 2025 [1][2]. Summary by Sections Cloud Computing Business - In Q2 2025, the company's cloud computing revenue grew significantly, increasing by over 50% year-on-year. AI server revenue surged by more than 60%, while revenue from cloud service provider servers more than doubled [2]. - The growth is attributed to the large-scale shipment of the GB200 series AI chips/servers and increasing demand for AI cabinet products from cloud service providers [2]. Communication and Network Equipment Business - The communication and mobile network equipment segment saw steady growth, particularly in the smartphone metal frame business due to strong sales of high-end and budget AI models [3]. - The revenue from 800G switches reached three times the total revenue for 2024, driven by rising AI demand and an improving product mix [3]. Financial Projections - The report projects the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 to be RMB 303 billion, with expected growth rates of 30.3%, 24.1%, and 20.1% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be RMB 1.52, RMB 1.89, and RMB 2.27 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10].

市 场 研 究 [Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 07 月 03 日 星期四 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 周三 A 股三大指数集体收跌，截止收盘，沪指收跌 0.09%，深成指收 跌 0.61%，创业板指收跌 1.13%。沪深两市成交额 13767.27 亿元。申 万行业方面，钢铁、煤炭、建筑材料领涨，电子、通信、国防军工领 跌；概念板块方面，低辐射玻璃、硅能源、特钢概念涨幅居前，兵装 重组概念、脑机接口、EDR 概念跌幅居前。港股方面，恒生指数收涨 0.62%，恒生科技指数收跌 0.64%；海外方面，美国三大指数涨跌不 一，道指收跌 0.02%，标普 500 收涨 0.47%，纳指收涨 0.94%。 【重要新闻】 【国家发改委近日安排超 3000 亿元支持 2025 年第三批"两重"建设 项目】至此，今年 8000 亿元"两重"建设项目清单已全部下达完毕。 【美国 6 月 ADP 就业人数意外减少 3.3 万人，自 2023 年 3 月以来首 次负增长】预期为增长 9.8 万人，5 月份数据在向下修正后仅增加 2 ...

Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasizes maintaining market stability as a primary regulatory task and aims to create a favorable environment for high-quality capital market development [2] - The People's Bank of China issued a notice on anti-money laundering and anti-terrorist financing management for precious metals and gemstones, effective from August 1, 2025, requiring institutions to report large cash transactions [3] - The first batch of 10 science and technology innovation bond ETFs has been approved, enhancing the bond ETF market in China [3] Group 2 - The Longhua District of Shenzhen released a three-year action plan to promote the cultivation of listed companies, encouraging social participation and cooperation with financial research institutions [4] - The Guangzhou Housing Provident Fund Management Center announced a draft for public consultation regarding the implementation of commercial housing loans transitioning to provident fund loans, with specific thresholds for action based on loan rates [4] Group 3 - The Civil Aviation Administration and China Railway Group jointly issued a task list for promoting high-quality development of "air-rail intermodal transport" from 2025 to 2027, focusing on collaboration and integration [5] - Guizhou Moutai reported a total of 3.3821 million shares repurchased by the end of June 2025, with a total expenditure of 5.202 billion yuan [7] - Jiangnan Waterworks received a stake increase from Anren Life Insurance, raising its holding to 5.03% [9] - Hainan Highway is planning to acquire a 51% stake in Jiaokong Petrochemical, which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring [17]

芯声澎湃，精彩纷呈 [Table_ReportType] ——2025 年中期电子行业投资策略报告[Table_ReportDate] [行业核心观点： Table_Summary] 2025 年以来申万电子行业跑赢沪深 300 指数，估值略高于近年中枢。 SW 电子 2025 年 Q1 业绩向好，营收、归母净利润均创下近三年 Q1 新 高。展望 2025 年下半年，建议把握半导体自主可控、AI 算力建设和终 端创新的投资机遇。半导体自主可控方面，中美科技摩擦加剧，倒逼半 导体国产替代进程加速，建议关注先进制程半导体产业链突破带来的投 资机遇。AI 算力建设方面，AI 算力建设进入军备竞赛，AI 芯片、先进 封装、存储芯片及 PCB 等赛道系算力底座的关键环节。AI 终端创新方 面，随着 AI 浪潮持续推进，端侧硬件底座夯实、应用生态完善，AI 手 机、AIPC 有望加速渗透，同时 AI 应用多点开花，用户规模加速增长， 有望带来较大市场增量。 投资要点： ⚫ 半导体自主可控：中美科技摩擦加剧，倒逼国产替代进程加速。中国大 陆系全球最大半导体设备市场，晶圆厂扩建有望提振半导体设备行业需 求，先进制程增长动能更 ...

锡虽然是全球定价的商品，但相比铜、铝等大宗商品来说，锡应该算是小商品，全球地壳中锡的含量较 少。全球锡资源分布比较集中，主要分布在中国、印尼、缅甸、澳大利亚等地，近年来，全球新增矿山 比较有限，因此供应弹性不高。锡矿供应变化，对盘面形成较大扰动，尤其是在2023年8月缅甸禁止锡 矿开采后，这种情况更加明显。2025年上半年沪锡走出冲高回落走势，主要受供应扰动和宏观情绪变化 影响 一、行情回顾 二、供应端现实偏紧 远期增加预期明确 缅甸是全球第三大锡生产国（占全球总供应量的15%~20%），其核心产区佤邦贡献了该国90%的产 量，更是中国锡矿进口的"命脉"。禁矿前，从缅甸进口的锡矿占国内进口总量的比重通常在90%以上， 2023年8月缅甸锡矿禁采后，中国开拓非洲锡矿等进口渠道，但无法弥补缅甸锡矿的进口缺失。2024年 二季度开始，我国锡矿进口量断崖式下滑，今年进口维持低位。据中国海关总署数据显示，2025年5月 中国锡矿进口量为1.34万吨(折合约6518金属吨)环比增加36.39%，同比增加59.84%，较4月份增加2182 金属吨(4月份折合4336金属吨)。1-5月累计进口量为5.02万吨，累计同比下降3 ...

事件： 4 月25 日公司发布2025 年一季度报告，2025 年一季度公司实现营业收入33.47 亿元，同比增长 18.28%，归母净利润2.78 亿元，同比增长181.53%。 投资建议： 我们预计公司2025 年~2027 年收入分别为139.68 亿元、164.54亿元、194.16 亿元，归母净利润分别为 13.21 亿元、16.74 亿元、21.26 亿元，给予25 年25 倍PE，对应六个月目标价10.96 元，维持"买入-A"投 资评级。 风险提示：行业需求不及预期；新产品研发导入不及预期；市场竞争加剧；地缘政治风险。 2024 年报披露，公司抓住AI 算力建设大趋势，对冷板式液冷和浸没式液冷进行战略布局，是目前是市 场上少数实现全面提供核心部件铝冷板、关键材料氟化冷却液以及冷板式和浸没式液冷解决方案的头部 企业，能提供"系统级—机柜级—服务器级"液冷全链条解决方案和产品。公司不断延伸拓展业务线，年 报披露，公司与韶关市政府开展战略合作，计划入驻华南地区唯一的国家级数据中心集群——韶关数据 中心集群，建设数据中心液冷设备制造、超级电容研发基地。年报披露，公司与中际旭创战略合作，共 建智算中心液 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on expected performance in the AI wave [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 109.88 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 28.76%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.93 billion yuan, up 8.10% year-on-year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 34.99 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 115.65%, primarily driven by the ramp-up of high-performance computing products [1]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 8.42%, which decreased by 5.40 percentage points year-on-year due to the lower margins of high-performance computing products, although it showed a slight increase of 0.15 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1]. Summary by Sections Intelligent Terminal Business - The intelligent terminal segment generated revenue of 35.32 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 17.19%, accounting for 32.14% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 9% [2]. - The company completed the acquisition of 80% of Yiluda, which is expected to enhance its customer base in the wearable technology sector [2]. High-Performance Computing and Networking - The high-performance computing segment achieved revenue of 63.22 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 28.79%, representing 57.54% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 7.77% [3]. - The company successfully delivered high-performance network switches aimed at AI clusters, becoming a core supplier for several leading domestic cloud service providers [3]. Automotive Electronics and AIoT - The automotive and industrial products segment saw revenue of 1.56 billion yuan in 2024, a remarkable growth of 91.09%, with a gross margin of 19.20% [4]. - The AIoT and other businesses generated revenue of 4.67 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 187.93%, with a gross margin of 15.29% [4]. Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 3.68 billion yuan, 4.59 billion yuan, and 5.54 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 18, 15, and 12 times [5][7].