从基本面来看，行业整体盈利能力的提升为板块上行奠定了坚实基础。Wind数据显示，2025年前三季 度，有色金属行业归母净利润同比增长41.43%，其中，第三季度同比增幅进一步扩大至50.81%。矿业 ETF（159690）跟踪的中证有色金属矿业指数弹性优势更大，前三季度、单季度归母净利润分别为 49.48%、55.62%。 | 指数 | 润增长率(%) | 第三季度归母净利 前三季度归母净利 平均ROE（％） 润增长率(%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 有色矿业 | 55.62 | 49.48 | 12.14 | | 有色金属(申万) | 50.81 | 41.43 | 10.61 | | 沪深300 | 10.43 | 5.22 | 8.01 | | SSH黄金股票 | 48.61 | 38.66 | 12.91 | 来源：Wind，截至2025.11.14 中证有色金属矿业指数覆盖工业金属、贵金属、能源金属、小金属等细分行业，一篮子配置特性能够有 效分散单一品种的价格波动风险。此外，招商基金表示，在能源转型（电动车、光伏）、AI算力建 设、全球宽松政策的共同推动下，资源 ...

11月25日，A股有色金属板块走强，华锡有色涨停，股价再创新高，中金黄金、锡业股份、东方锆业、 兴业银锡、洛阳钼业涨超4%，紫金矿业、山东黄金、江西铜业、赣锋锂业涨超2%。矿业ETF （159690）涨2.74%。 来源：Wind，截至2025.11.14 中证有色金属矿业指数覆盖工业金属、贵金属、能源金属、小金属等细分行业，一篮子配置特性能够有 效分散单一品种的价格波动风险。此外，在能源转型（电动车、光伏）、AI算力建设、全球宽松政策 的共同推动下，资源需求具备长期支撑，或有助于帮助投资者便捷布局"资源新周期"。 中原证券认为，供需矛盾下，铜价格中枢或将上移。供应端方面，全球铜矿品位下降、资本开支长期不 足带来的新增矿山项目有限以及矿端扰动加剧共同制约供应增长，导致铜精矿市场持续偏紧。需求端来 看，受益于全球宽松货币周期与绿色转型趋势，电力投资、新能源汽车及数据中心建设等领域对铜的需 求形成有力支撑。 贵金属方面，东莞证券指出，黄金与美元指数呈显著负相关，当前美元信用体系遭遇考验，推动黄金货 币属性重估复归。同时，美联储需要在控通胀与稳经济中寻求平衡，货币政策路径不确定性升温，进一 步推升黄金避险溢价。尽管 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metals industry has become a market focus since 2025, showing outstanding performance with a cumulative increase of 77.71% year-to-date, leading among 31 first-level industries in the Shenwan classification [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - The overall profitability of the non-ferrous metals sector has improved, with a year-on-year growth of 41.43% in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2025, and a further increase to 50.81% in the third quarter [2][3] - The CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Index has shown even greater elasticity, with net profit growth rates of 49.48% for the first three quarters and 55.62% for the third quarter [3] - The valuation of the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Index is currently at 24.16 times PE-TTM, positioned at the 39% historical percentile [3] Group 2: Sector Breakdown - All segments of the non-ferrous metals industry, except for energy metals and new metal materials, have achieved net profit growth in the first three quarters, with industrial metals, precious metals, and minor metals showing increases of 34.27%, 57.31%, and 45.49% respectively [3] - Institutional investors have increased their holdings in the non-ferrous metals sector, with public funds' holding ratio rising to 5.69% in Q3 2025, marking a 1.43% increase from the previous quarter and the highest level since 2021 [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - The industry is expected to benefit from a new cycle in global resources, with a positive outlook on copper, aluminum, and precious metals. Copper and aluminum prices have increased by 5.90% and 5.64% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [8] - Gold prices have surged by 39.88% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with central banks globally purchasing over 1,045 tons of gold in 2024, continuing a trend of high demand [8] - The lithium industry is seeing an improved supply-demand balance, while cobalt prices are expected to rise due to supply constraints from the Democratic Republic of Congo [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant impact of rising international gold prices on the non-ferrous metals sector, leading to a surge in mining ETFs and stock prices of key companies [1] - On October 9, the first trading day after the holiday, the mining ETF (159690) surged by 7%, marking a six-day winning streak, with several component stocks hitting the daily limit [1] - The price of Comex gold reached a historical high, surpassing $4000 per ounce, driven by factors such as the U.S. government shutdown and increased central bank gold purchases [1] Group 2 - Citic Securities suggests that the weakening dollar and the ongoing competition in economic development will support strong resource prices, particularly in copper, which has recently exceeded $10,500 per ton [1] - The report indicates that the supply-demand imbalance in copper is exacerbated by production halts at major mines due to accidents, further driving up prices [1] - Additionally, the analysis from Founder Securities points to a favorable environment for continuous interest rate cuts in the U.S., which could support a long-term bullish trend for gold and silver [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a market shift where previously strong sectors like AI and TMT are experiencing significant pullbacks, while financial and resource sectors are performing relatively well, indicating a potential style switch in the market [1] - The mining ETF (159690) has seen a net inflow of over 20 million yuan in the last three trading days, reflecting increased investor interest in sectors with reasonable valuations and strong profit improvement expectations [1] - The non-ferrous metal sector is currently viewed as having a reasonable valuation and profit matching, providing strong defensive and allocation value in the current market environment [2] Group 2 - The non-ferrous metal industry has shown strong structural resilience, particularly in precious and energy metals, which have maintained high prosperity levels, making them key areas of market focus [3] - The energy metal sector has emerged as one of the 21 secondary industries showing signs of bottom reversal, indicating a steady recovery in industry prosperity [5] - Despite overall pressure on the upstream resource sector in the first half of 2025, the non-ferrous metal industry demonstrates strong anti-cyclical capabilities and growth resilience, making it a valuable area for ongoing market attention [7] Group 3 - Expectations of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve are likely to end the previous tightening monetary environment, which could boost global manufacturing activity and fixed asset investment recovery [9] - The recent increase in shipments of industrial machinery, generators, and primary metals indicates robust demand in traditional manufacturing, which is beneficial for the non-ferrous metal sector as it is a key industrial metal and raw material [9] - The mining ETF closely tracks the CSI Non-Ferrous Metal Mining Theme Index, providing exposure to key metal resources such as copper, gold, rare earths, aluminum, and lithium, with top holdings including leading companies in the industry [9]

Group 1 - The market has experienced increased volatility since September, with popular sectors like artificial intelligence and TMT undergoing corrections, while resource stocks have continued to strengthen [1] - The mining ETF (159690) opened higher on September 3, rising by 0.53% with a turnover rate exceeding 6%, indicating active trading [2] - Recent data shows that the mining ETF has seen a net inflow of nearly 21 million yuan over the past three trading days [2] Group 2 - The precious metals sector has achieved double-digit growth in both revenue and net profit for two consecutive quarters, indicating strong fundamental support [2] - The energy metals industry has shown signs of bottom reversal, with improvements in revenue growth, net profit growth, and ROE over the last two quarters [2] - Despite overall pressure on the upstream resource sector in the first half of 2025, the non-ferrous metals industry is expected to exhibit strong anti-cyclical capabilities and growth resilience due to structural opportunities [3] Group 3 - The expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve has led to a general increase in precious metal prices [3] - The mining ETF closely tracks the CSI Non-Ferrous Metal Mining Theme Index, providing exposure to key metal resources such as copper, gold, rare earths, aluminum, and lithium [3] - Resource stocks are currently among the best-matched sectors in terms of fundamentals and valuations, with price increases reflecting earnings elasticity due to rising prices [6]

Group 1 - The ETF market showed mixed performance with mining ETFs leading the gains at 3.06% [1] - Gold fund ETFs also performed well, increasing by 2.77% [1] - The CSI 2000 ETF from Fuguo rose by 2.60% [1] Group 2 - On the downside, the Hang Seng ETF from E Fund fell by 4.6% [1] - The Hong Kong Enterprise ETF decreased by 3.21% [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect 100 ETF dropped by 2.99% [1]