赛轮轮胎 20260106 摘要 赛轮轮胎通过全球化布局有效应对汇率波动，国内工厂进口天然橡胶以 美元计价，出口比例较高，汇率波动带来影响但总体可控，园区结售汇 操作平滑了汇率损益。 欧盟对中国半钢胎双反调查预计 2025 年 1 月公布初步结果，赛轮已将 出口欧洲产品转移至越南基地生产，柬埔寨和越南订单充足，海外工厂 开工率高，产量创新高，对公司整体影响不大。 赛轮轮胎新工厂建设稳步推进，印尼和墨西哥工厂处于产能爬坡阶段， 预计 2026 年 3 月达设计产能；新和平工厂首台已下线；董家口半钢胎 项目预计四季度投产；埃及项目计划 2025 年三季度首台下线。 面对国内半钢胎市场竞争加剧，赛轮轮胎 2025 年目标设定相对保守， 侧重 OE 配套市场，配套销售目标为 800 万条，替换市场目标增加 100 万条，已与代理商探讨产品规划和营销策略。 全球最低税政策对赛轮轮胎产生影响，柬埔寨作为香港全资子公司需补 足 15%税率，预计未来一两年大部分国家将实施全球最低税，享受低于 15%优惠税率将更难。 Q&A 请介绍一下赛轮轮胎在 2024 年第四季度的经营情况及面临的挑战。 2024 年，赛轮轮胎面临诸多挑战 ...

Market Overview - The three major U.S. indices rose, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq approaching historical highs. The Dow Jones increased by 404.41 points (0.94%) to 43,386.84 points, the Nasdaq rose by 194.36 points (0.97%) to 20,167.91 points, and the S&P 500 gained 48.86 points (0.80%) to 6,141.02 points [1] - European markets showed mixed results, with Germany's DAX30 up by 138.48 points (0.59%) to 23,646.43 points, while France's CAC40 fell by 0.85 points (0.01%) to 7,557.31 points [2] - In the Asia-Pacific region, the Nikkei 225 index rose by 1.65%, while the KOSPI index in South Korea fell by 0.92% [3] Currency and Commodities - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.18% to 97.679. The euro strengthened to 1.1661 USD, and the British pound rose to 1.3663 USD [3] - Crude oil prices increased, with light crude for August delivery rising by 32 cents (0.49%) to 65.24 USD per barrel, and Brent crude up by 5 cents (0.07%) to 67.73 USD per barrel [3] - Gold prices slightly decreased, with spot gold at 3,328.32 USD per ounce, and COMEX gold futures at 3,341.6 USD per ounce [4] Corporate News - Meta has hired influential OpenAI researcher Trapit Bansal to strengthen its AI reasoning model efforts, indicating a significant investment in AI talent [10] - CoreWeave is in talks to acquire Core Scientific, with potential for a deal in the coming weeks, highlighting the ongoing consolidation in the AI and digital infrastructure sectors [11] - Morgan Stanley analysts have raised Microsoft's target price to 530 USD, citing its advantageous position in the upcoming generative AI innovation cycle due to successful investments in OpenAI [12]