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中信证券:冷源侧供需进入紧平衡状态 把握产业上行周期
智通财经网· 2025-07-02 01:44
Core Insights - The global computing power market is entering a new high prosperity cycle, with rapid expansion in the HVAC and cooling markets [1] - The supply and demand in the cooling source sector are gradually reaching a tight balance, with major overseas manufacturers leading the market [1] - The main solution for cabinet cooling is currently the cold plate liquid cooling, which is continuously upgraded due to the increasing power density of servers [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - The construction of AIDC infrastructure is accelerating, leading to an upturn in HVAC equipment demand [1] - The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicts that by 2030, AI-driven data centers will account for 9% of the total electricity load in the U.S., resulting in a 14 GW installation gap [1] - Cooling systems represent the second-largest expenditure in new data centers, with the cooling source production side accounting for approximately 15% of AIDC construction investment [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The cooling machine compressor market is experiencing an upturn, with an increase in the penetration rate of liquid cooling technologies [2] - The mechanical refrigeration method is becoming more prevalent due to the rising power density of servers, leading to an increase in the demand for cooling water units [2] - The cold plate solution has become the mainstream application in cabinet cooling, consisting of four core components: cold plate, CDU, manifold, and quick connector [2] Group 3: Market Size and Growth - Major players in the cooling source sector include Johnson Controls, Carrier, Daikin, and Trane, which dominate the overseas market [3] - The market for cooling water units is projected to reach approximately 25.1 billion yuan by 2025, with compressors accounting for about 7.5 billion yuan [3] - The global liquid cooling market for data centers is estimated to be around 1.982 billion USD in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 25.9% [3] - The market for cold plates, CDU, manifold, and quick connectors is expected to grow significantly, with a projected CAGR of 40% from 2025 to 2027 [3]
全球算力市场步入新一轮高景气周期;看好创新药板块
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-02 01:03
Group 1: Global Computing Power Market - The global computing power market is entering a new high prosperity cycle, with rapid expansion in the HVAC and cooling market [1] - Four companies dominate the cooling source side in overseas markets, as global computing power construction accelerates, leading to a gradually balanced supply and demand [1] - On the cabinet side, cold plate liquid cooling is the current mainstream solution, with continuous upgrades and iterations of related product solutions due to the trend of increasing server power density [1] Group 2: Pharmaceutical Innovation and Internationalization - China's innovative drug development has achieved phased results, with a focus on innovation-driven strategies and internationalization, along with self-control and outpatient marketing model reforms as key investment directions for the second half of the year [2] - The innovative drug sector is expected to benefit from strong domestic policy support in addition to overseas achievements, leading to a steady upward trend in the sector [2] - It is recommended to focus on three areas: innovation-driven strategies, internationalization, and outpatient marketing model reforms, particularly in the innovative drug field which has the highest beta effect [2] Group 3: Solid-State Battery Commercialization - Solid-state batteries are expected to achieve commercial application by 2027, with equipment leading the way as the lithium battery equipment industry gradually emerges from the bottom [3] - Since September 2024, the operating rates of leading domestic battery manufacturers have improved, and overseas orders for leading lithium battery equipment companies have continued, with significant domestic improvements expected [3] - Recent catalysts for solid-state batteries include developments from companies like Guoxuan High-Tech and QuantumScape, indicating a strong momentum in the industry [3]