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【环球财经】世贸组织大幅下调2026年全球货物贸易增长预期
Xin Hua She· 2025-10-08 00:56
新华财经日内瓦10月7日电(记者焦倩) 世界贸易组织7日发布最新全球贸易展望报告说,受全球经济 复苏乏力和美国关税政策等因素影响,2026年全球货物贸易增长预期大幅下调至0.5%,较8月预测的 1.8%显著降低。 受货物贸易和生产的关联影响,服务贸易也将间接受到关税冲击。报告预测,2025年全球服务出口增速 将从2024年的6.8%降至4.6%,2026年进一步降至4.4%。 世贸组织总干事伊维拉当天在新闻发布会上表示,尽管单边关税措施和贸易政策不确定性带来强劲逆 风,但得益于多边贸易体系所提供的稳定性,以及成员针对关税变化采取的适当应对措施,全球贸易仍 展现一定韧性。 在该报告中,世贸组织将2025年全球货物贸易增长预期从8月预测的0.9%上调至2.4%。 报告显示,2025年上半年,全球货物贸易量同比增长4.9%,以美元计价的全球货物贸易额同比增长 6%。北美地区为规避高关税提前扩大进口、宏观经济条件改善、人工智能相关商品需求激增是驱动增 长的主要因素。 (文章来源:新华社) 世贸组织经济学家强调,贸易限制措施和政策不确定性向更多经济体及行业蔓延,构成主要下行风险。 ...
世贸组织大幅下调2026年全球货物贸易增长预期
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-10-07 21:51
新华社日内瓦10月7日电(记者焦倩)世界贸易组织7日发布最新全球贸易展望报告说,受全球经济复苏乏力和美国关税政策等因素影响, 2026年全球货物贸易增长预期大幅下调至0.5%,较8月预测的1.8%显著降低。 受货物贸易和生产的关联影响,服务贸易也将间接受到关税冲击。报告预测,2025年全球服务出口增速将从2024年的6.8%降至4.6%,2026年 进一步降至4.4%。 10月7日,在瑞士日内瓦世界贸易组织总部,世贸组织总干事伊维拉(中)在新闻发布会上讲话。新华社记者 马汝轩 摄 这是10月7日在瑞士日内瓦世界贸易组织总部拍摄的当日发布的最新全球贸易展望报告封面。新华社记者 马汝轩 摄 世贸组织总干事伊维拉当天在新闻发布会上表示,尽管单边关税措施和贸易政策不确定性带来强劲逆风,但得益于多边贸易体系所提供的稳 定性,以及成员针对关税变化采取的适当应对措施,全球贸易仍展现一定韧性。 世贸组织经济学家强调,贸易限制措施和政策不确定性向更多经济体及行业蔓延,构成主要下行风险。 10月7日,在瑞士日内瓦世界贸易组织总部,世贸组织总干事伊维拉(后左三)在新闻发布会上讲话。新华社记者 马汝轩 摄 在该报告中,世贸组织将20 ...
新华财经晚报:7月份CPI环比上涨0.4% PPI环比降幅3月份以来首次收窄
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-09 11:06
Economic Indicators - In July, China's CPI increased by 0.4% month-on-month, reversing a 0.1% decline from the previous month, while year-on-year it remained flat; the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.8%, marking the highest increase since March 2024 [1] - The PPI in July decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, but the decline was less than the previous month, indicating a narrowing of the decrease for the first time since March, with a year-on-year drop of 3.6% [1] Healthcare Standards - The National Medical Insurance Administration has released the first national standard in the healthcare sector, titled "Technical Specifications for Convenient Services of Medical Insurance Information Platform," which will be implemented on January 1, 2026, marking a significant milestone in the standardization of medical insurance in China [2] Robotics Industry - The global robotics industry experienced explosive growth in the first half of the year, with domestic manufacturers seeing average growth rates between 50% and 100%, a rare occurrence in the industry’s history [3] - The CEO of Yushutech emphasized that while current hardware is not perfect, it is sufficient for present needs, with future improvements focused on reducing costs and enhancing reliability [3] Trade and Tariffs - The average trade-weighted tariff rate imposed by the U.S. on all products has surged to 20.11%, significantly higher than 2.44% at the beginning of the year, marking the highest level since 1933 [3][4] - The World Trade Organization has downgraded its forecast for global goods trade growth in 2026 from 2.5% to 1.8%, citing the negative impact of recent tariff adjustments on global trade prospects [3][4]