| 华泰研究 | | | 更新报告 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 6 月 | 05 日│中国香港 | 通信服务 | 6 月 5 日万国数据出席了我们组织的 2025 年中期策略会，会上公司表示： 1）国内数据中心的需求情况发生了明显的改善迹象，AI 推理需求不断在国 内一线城市涌现，大型 CSP 的订单持续释放，若后续芯片短缺问题得到有 效缓解，行业供需拐点将体现的更为明显；2）DayOne 在业务拓展方面取 得突破性进展，成功进军欧洲市场并斩获新订单；3）公司顺利完成了可转 债和增发融资工作，公募 REITS 项目发行在即，资本结构有望进一步优化。 国内业务：AI 应用需求带动行业供需情况持续向好 1Q25 在国内 AI 应用需求带动下，公司存量数据中心的上架率达到 75.7%， 环比提升 1.9pct，去库存情况良好；同时，公司新签数据中心订单达到 151.6MW。尽管短期国内 AI 芯片供应存在不确定性，但已签约订单的上架 和确收具备保障，中长期来看，AI 应用将为数据中心行业带来比云时代更 大、更可持续的发展机会。此外，政策正引导行业大型化、绿色化、集约 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with revenue and adjusted EBITDA exceeding expectations, driven by order backlog delivery and new order acceleration [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.723 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.0%, and adjusted EBITDA of 1.324 billion yuan, up 16.1% [1]. - The net profit for the quarter was 411 million yuan, influenced by asset disposal gains of 1.057 billion yuan from the first ABS project [1]. - The adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 48.6%, reflecting a 0.4 percentage point increase due to reduced operating costs [2]. Group 2: Operational Metrics - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company operated in an area of 610,685 square meters, a 14.6% year-on-year growth, with an operational IT scale of approximately 1,313 MW [2]. - The cabinet utilization rate reached 75.7%, a 1.9 percentage point increase, indicating a recovery in domestic data center demand [2]. - The overseas business signed contracts totaling 537 MW, with an operational scale of 143 MW, generating revenue of 0.66 million USD and adjusted EBITDA of 0.21 million USD in Q1 2025 [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The company maintains its 2025 revenue guidance of 11.29 to 11.59 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.4% to 12.3%, and adjusted EBITDA of 5.19 to 5.39 billion yuan, a growth of 6.4% to 10.5% [3]. - The net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio decreased to 6.6 times in Q1 2025, down from 7.7 times in Q1 2024, indicating improved leverage [3]. - The company plans to continue advancing public REITs issuance, which is expected to further reduce leverage and interest expenses, enhancing performance [3]. Group 4: Valuation - The company adjusted its 2025 EV/EBITDA target valuation from 15 times to 16 times, reflecting improved cash flow from increased cabinet utilization and REITs projects [3]. - The target price based on the SOTP valuation method is set at 40.47 HKD per share, up from the previous 36.37 HKD per share, maintaining a "buy" rating [3].

证券研究报告 万国数据-SW (9698 HK) EBITDA 增长提速，上架率提升 | 华泰研究 | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 5 月 | 21 日│中国香港 | 通信服务 | 万国数据 1Q25 实现营业收入 27.23 亿元，同比增长 12.0%，实现调整后 EBITDA 13.24 亿元，同比增长 16.1%，高于彭博一致预期的 12.87 亿元， 主要受益于积压订单的交付和新订单的快速推进。本季度公司完成首单 ABS 项目交割，并确认资产处置收益 10.57 亿元，在此影响下，本季度实 现净利润 4.11 亿元。我们认为，随着国内 AI 应用步入蓬勃发展期，AI 推理 需求的增长有望带动公司国内数据中心空置率下降，从而为公司带来估值提 升及业绩改善机遇，维持"买入"评级。 上架率及 EBITDA 利润率提升，海外业务签约规模达 537MW 国内业务方面，截至 1Q25 末，公司在运营面积达到 610,685 平方米（同比 增长 14.6%），在运营 IT 规模约 1313MW，公司在运营/储备规模分别达到 369MW/900MW。机柜利用率达 75. ...