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破发三天仍未“回正”,公募REITs打新不香了?
证券时报· 2025-11-11 05:02
Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of newly listed public REITs has significantly declined, contrasting sharply with the high subscription multiples during their issuance, with some even falling below their issue prices [1][2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The overall public REITs market has been sluggish, with trading volume and turnover rates decreasing since August, leading to lower new issuance returns [4][5]. - As of November 10, the CSI REITs total return index has dropped by 5.32% in the second half of the year [2]. - Several newly listed REITs have shown poor performance post-listing, with some experiencing minimal price increases or even declines [3][4]. Group 2: Specific REIT Performance - A software park REIT listed on November 6 opened below its issue price and has remained in a state of decline, closing at 3.596 yuan, below the issue price of 3.66 yuan [2]. - Other newly listed REITs have also struggled, with one only achieving a 3.5% increase over its first seven trading days [3]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The sentiment in the REITs market is affected by the performance of underlying assets and the overall market conditions, leading to a "divided" situation in new issuance returns [5][6]. - Analysts suggest focusing on three main lines in the secondary market: stable anti-cyclical sectors, assets with marginal recovery in demand, and those with strong expansion demands from original equity holders [7].
破发三天仍未“回正”,公募REITs打新不香了?
Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of newly listed public REITs has significantly declined, contrasting sharply with their initial high subscription multiples, with some even falling below their issue prices [1][2][4] Group 1: Market Performance - The overall public REITs market has been experiencing a downturn, with the CSI REITs total return index dropping by 5.32% in the second half of the year as of November 10 [2][4] - Trading volume and turnover rates for public REITs have decreased since August, with volumes dropping from 32.57 billion units in August to 20.31 billion units in October [4][6] - As of November 10, the average decline in the secondary market for public REITs over the past three months was 4.25%, with 14 products experiencing declines exceeding 10% [6] Group 2: Individual REIT Performance - A software park REIT listed on November 6 opened below its issue price and closed at 3.596 yuan, reflecting a 0.11% decline [2] - Several newly listed REITs have shown lackluster performance post-listing, with one REIT only achieving a cumulative increase of 3.5% over seven trading days [3] - Despite high initial subscription demand, with some products seeing subscription multiples as high as 535.2 times, the subsequent market performance has been disappointing [3][4] Group 3: Sector Analysis - The industrial park and logistics warehouse sectors have been particularly hard hit, with significant declines in performance metrics such as EBITDA and distributable cash flow [7][8] - In contrast, the affordable housing and municipal environmental protection sectors have shown resilience, with most projects reporting positive revenue growth [7][8] - Data center REITs have performed well, with some achieving over 40% gains since their listing [1][7] Group 4: Investment Strategy - Analysts suggest that future investments in public REITs should focus on selecting high-quality projects, particularly in stable, anti-cyclical sectors, and those with strong expansion demands [1][8] - The recommendation includes being cautious with long lock-up period investments and focusing on three main lines in the secondary market: stable anti-cyclical sectors, marginally recovering sectors, and high-quality asset reserves [1][8]
破发三天仍未“回正”,公募REITs打新不香了?
券商中国· 2025-11-11 02:01
Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of newly listed public REITs has significantly declined due to the overall sluggish market, with some REITs even trading below their issue price [1][3][5]. Market Performance - Since August, the trading volume and turnover rate of public REITs have been continuously decreasing, leading to a drop in new issuance returns [2][6]. - The overall market for public REITs has seen a decline, with the CSI REITs Total Return Index falling by 5.32% in the second half of the year as of November 10 [3][6]. Individual REIT Performance - Several newly listed REITs have shown poor performance post-listing, with some experiencing significant declines. For instance, a software park REIT listed on November 6 traded below its issue price shortly after [3][4]. - Specific REITs have recorded minimal gains post-listing, with one REIT only achieving a cumulative increase of 3.5% over seven trading days [4]. Subscription and Market Sentiment - High subscription rates were observed during the issuance of recent REITs, with some achieving record high subscription multiples of 320.5 times and 361.9 times [4][5]. - The decline in secondary market trading sentiment has negatively impacted the pricing of newly issued REITs, making it difficult to achieve returns above 10% [5][6]. Sector Analysis - The performance of public REITs has shown significant differentiation, with certain sectors like industrial parks and logistics warehouses facing challenges, while sectors such as affordable housing and municipal environmental projects have performed better [8][9]. - Data center REITs have been highlighted as strong performers, with some achieving over 40% gains since their listing [2][8]. Investment Strategy - Analysts suggest focusing on three main lines in the secondary market: stable anti-cyclical sectors, assets with marginal recovery in demand, and high-quality assets with strong expansion potential [2][9]. - In the primary market, it is recommended to select projects with favorable spreads and quality assets while being cautious about long lock-up periods [9].