Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views - The overall year-on-year revenue growth rate of public REITs declined marginally by 3 pct to -3%. The financial completion rate remained at a high level. Except for the water supply limitation of Yin Hua Shaoxing Raw Water, resulting in a 68% revenue completion rate for the water conservancy facilities sector, the revenue completion rates of the remaining sectors were above 93%. Due to the non-arrival of subsidies, the distributable amount completion rate of the energy sector was only 48%, while the completion rates of the remaining sectors were all above 94% [2]. - Consumption and affordable housing are still high-performing sectors with high revenue growth. Consumption revenue increased by 4% year-on-year, with a completion rate of 102%/114% (revenue/distributable amount, excluding new bonds, the same below), continuing to lead. The month-on-month changes of individual bonds were divergent. Huaxia Capital and CIFI Group's CM奥莱 and Huaan Bailian were weaker than other individual bonds. The market seemed to accept the seasonal attribution of Huaxia Capital and CIFI Group's CM奥莱's manager, and it rose slightly by 1.48% after the release of the second-quarter report (from July 18th to July 29th, the same throughout the text). Huaan Bailian, on the other hand, fell by 8.88%. Affordable housing revenue increased by 6% year-on-year, with a completion rate of 100%/98%, and the occupancy rate remained relatively stable [2]. - The performance of warehousing and logistics was better than expected. Although it continued to "exchange price for volume", most assets were able to achieve a stable or increasing occupancy rate, and the sector's revenue stabilized marginally. The year-on-year revenue decreased by 4%, with a month-on-month growth rate increase of 2 pct, and the completion rate was 97%/98%. The main operating pressure on the sector came from the entry of competitors rather than trade frictions. The coastal warehousing and logistics operations of Hongtu Yantian Port and Huaxia Shenzhen International Hangzhou Project were not weak [3]. - The energy sector had a high revenue completion rate, but the quarterly fluctuations in distributable amounts dragged down the market performance. The year-on-year revenue increased by 1%, with a completion rate of 99%/48%. The delayed payment of national subsidies for wind and solar projects led to cash flow shortages, and the distributable completion rate of some projects was below 53%. If the subsidies are concentrated in the second half of the year, the completion rate is expected to improve [3]. - The sectors with weak performance were mainly industrial parks and transportation. The revenue of industrial parks decreased by 14% year-on-year, and the decline marginally widened by 4 pct. The completion rates were 93%/96%, both relatively low among all sectors. Many industrial parks mentioned the pressure from the entry of competitors, and the occupancy rates generally decreased month-on-month. However, factory projects showed operational resilience, and the occupancy rates of some factories increased against the trend. After the release of the second-quarter report, the market repriced the operational resilience of Bosera Jinkai Industrial Park [3]. - The revenue of the transportation sector decreased by 2% year-on-year, and the growth rate decreased by 2 pct marginally. Only a few individual bonds showed operational improvements [3]. - Since late June, risk appetite has recovered, and stable, high-dividend assets have weakened. As of July 29th, the CSI REITs Total Return Index has corrected by 3% from its peak. In late June, the CSI REITs Total Return Index reached a phased high in February 2023, and its relative cost-effectiveness compared to stocks and bonds was relatively low. Driven by the recovery of risk appetite and the increase in REITs supply, REITs prices have declined. Valuation compression was the main theme of trading during the quarterly report period. Sectors and individual bonds with high year-to-date gains tended to fall, and price changes did not fully match performance. However, individual bonds with outstanding performance were also priced [4]. - REITs may enter a volatile range, and stable sectors are still preferred. On the one hand, REITs valuations are not low, and the improvement in risk appetite may continue. June may be a phased high. On the other hand, on July 25th, the cash distribution rate of property rights REITs was 3.86%, and the overall market IRR was 4.05%. There was still a spread of 232 BP between the IRR and the 10-year Treasury bond, supporting investor demand. Observe whether the REITs index can stabilize at the previous low price level (such as the level at the end of April). Currently, it is judged that the volatile range of the CSI Dividend Total Return is between 1052 - 1125 (1052 is the low in April, and 1125 is the high in June). If risk appetite changes drastically, it may break through the volatile range, while a slowdown in REITs supply will help stabilize the bottom of the range. When selecting bonds, first, the valuation advantages of sectors with relatively stable cycles are not extreme (the IRR spread is at the median), and stable sectors have performance support. It is expected that stable sectors such as consumption and affordable housing will still perform better. Second, the arrival of national subsidies is theoretically a short-term impact, and there may be investment opportunities after the adjustment of new energy individual bonds is in place. Third, factory-type individual bonds in industrial parks are still worthy of attention [5]. Summary by Directory REITs Overall - The overall revenue growth rate of REITs was -3% year-on-year, a 3 pct decline compared to Q1 2025. The revenue of property rights REITs decreased by 4% year-on-year. Consumption and affordable housing had positive year-on-year growth, warehousing and logistics and affordable housing stabilized marginally, while industrial parks continued to decline. The year-on-year revenue growth rates of industrial parks, warehousing and logistics, affordable housing, and consumption were -14%, -4%, +6%, and +4% respectively, with marginal changes of -4 pct, +2 pct, +6 pct, and -53 pct compared to Q1 2025. The revenue of franchise rights REITs decreased by 2% year-on-year, and the energy sector performed relatively well. The year-on-year revenue growth rates of transportation, energy, and environmental protection were -2%, +1%, and -6% respectively, with marginal changes of -2 pct, +19 pct, and -2 pct compared to Q1 2025 [17]. - After excluding the impact of new bonds, the overall market operating revenue completion rate was 96%. The revenue completion rates of the municipal, consumption, and affordable housing sectors met the standards. The distributable amount completion rate of the energy sector was relatively low due to the existence of an account period for new energy subsidies, resulting in quarterly fluctuations in the distributable amount. The completion rates of the remaining sectors were all above 94% [18][23]. Market Reaction - Since late June, risk appetite has recovered, and stable, high-dividend assets have weakened. The CSI REITs Total Return Index reached its peak on June 20th and had corrected by 3% by July 29th. Valuation compression was the main theme of trading during the quarterly report period, causing the rise and fall of REITs to not fully match performance. The month-on-month increase of individual bonds after the release of the quarterly report was generally negatively correlated with the year-to-date increase. The affordable housing sector with a high year-on-year revenue growth rate fell by 2.86%, not significantly better than other sectors, which was related to its high valuation and year-to-date increase. The industrial park sector with the most obvious marginal weakening of performance did not decline significantly, possibly because its valuation was not high, and the cash distribution rate on July 18th was at the 53% percentile in history. Some individual bonds with low valuations did not decline significantly even if their performance remained weak, such as CICC Hubei KeTou Optics Valley and Jianxin Zhongguancun. Some individual bonds with performance that exceeded expectations, such as Bosera Jinkai Industrial Park, Huatai Jiangsu Expressway, and Huaxia JINMAO Commercial, continued to rise on the basis of their significant increases this year. Several energy REITs with low distributable amounts and Guangfa Chengdu Gaotou with a large decline in occupancy rate fell significantly. Consumption had a high year-to-date increase and was still one of the three best-performing sectors after the quarterly report, indicating strong market recognition of this sector [27]. Sector Analysis - **Industrial Parks**: The revenue of industrial parks decreased by 14% year-on-year, and the growth rate decreased by 4 pct compared to the previous quarter. After excluding new bonds, the sector's revenue completion rate and distributable amount completion rate were 93% and 96% respectively. The occupancy rates generally decreased month-on-month, while rents varied. Factory-type projects showed performance resilience. New supply led to intensified competition. Some individual bonds faced significant performance pressure. At the individual bond level, Jianxin Zhongguancun Industrial Park, Huaxia Hefei High-tech, Huaxia Hangzhou HeDa High-tech, CICC Hubei KeTou, and others were worthy of attention [31][32]. - **Warehousing and Logistics**: The revenue of warehousing and logistics decreased by 4% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by 2 pct compared to the previous quarter. After excluding new bonds, the sector's revenue completion rate and distributable amount completion rate were 97% and 98% respectively. It adopted a strategy of "exchanging price for volume", and the occupancy rates of most assets were stable or increasing. The main operating pressure came from the entry of surrounding competitors. At the individual bond level, Hongtu Yantian Port, CICC Puluosi, Huaxia Shenzhen International Warehouse Logistics, and others were worthy of attention [36]. - **Affordable Housing**: The revenue of the affordable housing sector increased by 6% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by 6 pct compared to the previous quarter. After excluding new bonds, the sector's revenue completion rate and distributable amount completion rate were 100% and 98% respectively. The occupancy rates of the underlying assets fluctuated slightly, with most fluctuations within 2 pct [45]. - **Consumption**: The revenue of the consumption sector increased by 4% year-on-year. After excluding new bonds, the sector's revenue completion rate and distributable amount completion rate were 102% and 114% respectively. The month-on-month revenue was divergent. Huaxia Capital and CIFI Group's CM奥莱 and Huaan Bailian's month-on-month revenue were at least 10 pct lower than other individual bonds. At the individual bond level, Huaxia Vanke Commercial, Huaxia Capital and CIFI Group's CM奥莱, and Yifangda Huawai Agricultural Trade were worthy of attention [46]. - **Transportation**: The revenue of the transportation sector decreased by 2% year-on-year, and the decline widened by 2 pct compared to Q1 2025. After excluding new bonds, the sector's revenue completion rate and distributable amount completion rate were 95% and 97% respectively. Some individual bonds, such as Ping An Guangzhou Guanghe, CICC Anhui Expressway, and Huatai Jiangsu Expressway, performed well. At the individual bond level, Huaxia China Communications Construction, CICC Anhui Expressway, Zhongjin Shandong High-Speed, and others were worthy of attention [51]. - **Energy**: The revenue of the energy sector increased by 1% year-on-year, a 19 pct increase compared to Q1 2025, reflecting the large quarterly fluctuations in the revenue of the energy sector. The revenue and distributable amount completion rates were 99% and 48% respectively. The accounts receivable of new energy REITs such as photovoltaic and wind power were relatively high, resulting in a significantly lower distributable amount completion rate than the revenue completion rate. It is expected that the distributable amount completion rate will gradually increase in the second half of the year. At the individual bond level, Penghua Shenzhen Energy, CITIC Construction Investment National Power Investment New Energy, and others were worthy of attention [55]. - **Utilities**: Except for Yin Hua Shaoxing Raw Water, the revenue completion rates were at a relatively high level of 95% - 110%. At the individual bond level, AVIC Shougang Biology and Yin Hua Shaoxing Raw Water were worthy of attention [63].

Core Viewpoint - The second quarter reports of 66 REITs indicate a mixed performance across different sectors, with varying levels of operational pressure and resilience observed in different segments [3][4]. Group 1: Sector Performance Overview - Industrial parks are still under pressure due to new supply and demand contraction, with a need for time to reach a new balance in rental levels and occupancy rates. The revenue for this sector decreased by 1.9% quarter-on-quarter [3][5]. - Logistics and warehousing projects maintained a high occupancy rate of 94.3% in Q2, showing better resilience than expected despite rental pressures, with an average rental decline of only 2% [3][10]. - Affordable rental housing exhibited the least revenue fluctuation in Q2, maintaining stable occupancy and rental levels, while national rental prices continued to decline [3][4]. - Traditional retail faced a 5.5% quarter-on-quarter revenue decline due to seasonal factors, necessitating cautious long-term growth assessments [3][4]. - Highway projects showed significant performance differentiation, with freight traffic performing better than passenger traffic [3][4]. - The municipal environmental sector remained stable, with wastewater treatment fundamentals holding steady and seasonal characteristics in heating demand becoming evident [3][4]. - Energy projects showed improvement in wind resources, particularly offshore wind, outperforming gas and hydropower [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Metrics and Market Trends - The total distributable amount for REITs decreased both year-on-year (down 3.1%) and quarter-on-quarter (down 5.4%), reflecting operational changes across projects [4]. - The market valuation has adjusted, presenting opportunities for quality project allocations, focusing on stable cash flow and potential turnaround opportunities [4][5]. - The logistics sector is expected to see significant new supply in the second half of 2025, with approximately 2.5 million square meters expected, primarily in key urban areas [10][11]. - Demand in the logistics sector is primarily driven by e-commerce and third-party logistics, with significant contributions from seasonal events like the 618 shopping festival [10][11]. Group 3: Regional Insights - In Beijing, the business park market saw no new projects in Q2, with a net absorption of 95,000 square meters, indicating a recovery in demand [6]. - Shanghai's business park market experienced a moderate recovery in demand, particularly from the TMT sector, which accounted for 41% of the total demand [7]. - The vacancy rate in key urban areas varies significantly, with the Pearl River Delta showing a low vacancy rate of 6.15%, while the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has a higher rate of 27.1% [11][15].

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the REITs industry [2] Core Insights - The REITs index experienced a slight increase of 0.03% this week, contrasting with a 1.08% decline in the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [4][13] - The total market capitalization of the REITs industry is approximately 198.2 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of about 92.0 billion yuan [2] - Recent approvals include two new REIT projects: Zhongyin Zhongwaiyun Warehousing Logistics REIT and Guotai Junan Lingang Innovation Manufacturing Industrial Park REIT [6][9] - The trading volume for REITs decreased by 20.2% this week, totaling 2.38 billion yuan, with an average daily turnover rate of 0.5% [40] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The REITs index rose by 0.03%, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell by 1.08% [13] - 28 REITs saw price increases, 0 remained stable, and 38 experienced declines, with the largest gain being 5.07% for the招商高速 REIT and the largest loss being 4.22% for the 华夏合肥高新 REIT [17] Trading Activity - The trading activity for REITs decreased, with a total trading amount of 2.38 billion yuan, down 20.2% from the previous week [40] - Specific sectors such as highways and ecological protection saw significant declines in trading volumes, with highway REITs trading at 600 million yuan, down 23.0% [40] Project Approvals and Announcements - Recent approvals include the Zhongyin Zhongwaiyun Warehousing Logistics REIT and the Guotai Junan Lingang Innovation Manufacturing Industrial Park REIT [6][9] - Several REITs announced dividend distributions, including 华夏合肥高新产园 REIT and 中航易商仓储物流 REIT [9][12] Valuation Situation - The estimated yield for various REITs ranges from -1.95% to 10.80%, with the highest yield observed in 华夏中国交建 REIT at 10.80% [42] - The P/NAV ratio for REITs varies between 0.75 and 1.79, indicating differing valuation levels across the sector [42]

点击小程序查看报告原文 Abstract 项目基本面经营分化差异加剧。1）产业园： 产业园区供需压力进一步加大，大部分项目主动或被动进入降价竞争。我们统计板块收入同环比分别下降 11.8%和7.7%。由于供需端矛盾尚未缓解，我们认为产业园后续经营或仍将持续波动。 2）物流仓储： 大部分项目通过下调租金应对供给冲击和存量竞 争，促使同口径下板块收入重回下降通道，同环比下滑4.8%和3.6%。供需再平衡过程中，一季度特朗普关税不确定性或也将影响物流仓储租户行为。 3） 保租房： 保租房板块受宏观经济影响较小，一季度板块收入仅出现小幅波动，出租率维持较高水平，租金水平变化则出现小幅分化，其中政策性保租房 租金保持稳定或略有上涨，市场化项目则出现环比下滑，但整体仍符合预期。 4）消费： 得益于各地促消费政策，消费REITs一季度开局良好，我们测算 可比口径收入环比上升1.7%，收入完成度较好。 5）高速： 受低基数与路网变化的影响，高速项目表现分化明显，往后看我们认为板块仍有望延续稳中 向好态势，但路网变化对于单条路产影响较大，应持续关注分流影响。 6）市政环保： 生物质发电项目吨发表现、成本管控好于预期，水务受合肥 ...

Group 1: Core Views - The macroeconomic environment in China is expected to remain under pressure in 2024, with a weak recovery phase, but there are structural resilience highlights in the REITs market [2][4] - The average performance completion rate of public REITs projects exceeded 100%, indicating stable performance realization [2][3] - The forced dividend characteristic of public REITs is emphasized, with an average of 2 dividend distributions expected in 2024 [2][3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The operating resilience of REITs projects is attributed to controllable asset supply-demand contradictions, alignment with policy directions, and stable payment terminal projects [2][4] - The average rental income of second-tier industrial park projects is projected to decline by 5.4% year-on-year, while first-tier parks are adopting strategies to maintain occupancy rates [5][6] - The logistics real estate market is experiencing a short-term adjustment, with average effective rent declining by 4.0% year-on-year [7][8] Group 3: Investment Structure - Institutional investor participation in public REITs reached a record high of 96.45%, with brokerage firms becoming a significant pricing force [3][4] - The insurance sector's participation remained stable compared to the previous year, indicating a cautious approach to incremental allocation [3][4] Group 4: Sector Performance - Retail properties are entering a phase of stock competition, with over half of key cities experiencing a decrease in vacancy rates, although rental prices remain under pressure [9][10] - The rental housing market is seeing increased supply, but listed projects are maintaining operational resilience, with overall income growth of 0.6% year-on-year [10][11] - Toll revenue for expressways is under pressure due to various factors, but there is a gradual improvement in performance observed in Q4 2024 [12][13]