内销修复

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新宝股份(002705):外销高景气延续
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 08:46
公司发布2024年 和25Q1业绩: 25Q1:收入38.34 亿(同比+10.4%),归母净利润2.47 亿(同比+43.0%),扣非归母净利润2.45 亿 (同比+15.3%)。 24Q4:收入41.31 亿(同比+6.2%),归母净利润2.68 亿(同比+11.1%),扣非归母净利润2.87 亿(同 比+47.5%)。 24 年:收入168.21 亿(同比+14.8%),归母净利润10.53 亿(同比+7.7%),扣非归母净利润10.84 亿 (同比+8.8%)。 分红:每10 股派发现金红利4.5 元(含税),叠加回购合计分红率42%(上年42%)。 收入分析 25Q1: 外销29.8 亿(同比+16%)相比Q4 同比+14%延续高增,抢出口叠加高景气,且公司公告拟向印尼子公 司增资5 千万美元夯实海外供应链能力。 Q1 收入符合预期,归母净利润增速较高主因衍生品投资及公允价值损失同比减少约4 千万。 投资建议: 我们的观点: 公司代工品类不断扩充,外销延续高增,已布局印尼基地应对关税扰动;内销品牌矩阵逐步完善,有望 受益国补加速修复。 盈利预测:我们预计 2025-2027 年公司收入190/209 ...
新宝股份(002705):海外需求旺盛带动外销增长 Q1利润表现亮眼
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 08:46
事件:公司2024 年全年实现营业收入168.21 亿元,同比+14.84%,归母净利润10.53亿元,同比 +7.75%;其中2024Q4 实现营业收入41.31 亿元,同比+6.15%,归母净利润2.68 亿元,同比+11.07%。公 司2025 年Q1 全年实现营业收入38.34 亿元,同比+10.36%,归母净利润2.47 亿元,同比+43.02%。24 年 公司向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利 4.50元(含税),分红比例42.02%。 风险提示:新品销售不及预期;自有品牌销售不及预期;外销订单不及预期;原材料价格上涨及运费上 涨导致利润下滑。 海外需求旺盛带动外销增长,内销增长有所承压分地区看, 24A 公司内外销收入同比-4.42%/+21.68% , 其中24Q4 内外销同比-11.3%/+14.1%。2024 年海外小家电总体需求比较旺盛,外销增速较好;内销 受国内消费市场景气度低迷等因素影响表现较弱。25Q1 内外销收入同比-4.94%/+15.77% ,外销延续较 好的增长趋势,内销仍有所承压。针对美国对华加征关税政策,近年来公司也在印度尼西亚进行了产能 布局,设立了两个制造基地,以应 ...
新宝股份(002705):外销高景气延续
Huaan Securities· 2025-04-29 08:24
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company continues to experience high growth in exports, with Q1 2025 external sales reaching 2.98 billion (up 16% year-on-year) [5] - Domestic sales in Q1 2025 were 860 million (down 5% year-on-year), showing a narrowing decline compared to Q4 [5] - The company plans to increase its investment in its Indonesian subsidiary by 50 million to strengthen its overseas supply chain capabilities [5] - The company has successfully expanded its product categories, with kitchen appliances and home appliances showing year-on-year revenue growth of 16% and 17% respectively in 2024 [5] - The company expects to benefit from domestic subsidies and a recovery in brand positioning, particularly in its self-owned brands [8] Revenue Analysis - In Q1 2025, total revenue was 3.834 billion (up 10.4% year-on-year), with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 247 million (up 43.0% year-on-year) [6] - For the full year 2024, total revenue was 16.821 billion (up 14.8% year-on-year), with a net profit of 1.053 billion (up 7.7% year-on-year) [6] - The company reported a cash dividend of 4.5 per 10 shares (including tax), resulting in a total dividend payout ratio of 42% [6] Profit Analysis - In Q1 2025, the gross margin increased by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year and 3.0 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating an improvement in profitability [7] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 20.9%, reflecting a decrease due to increased export ratios and intensified domestic competition [7] Financial Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 19 billion, 20.9 billion, and 22.8 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.8%, 10.2%, and 9.1% [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 1.178 billion, 1.309 billion, and 1.435 billion for the same years, with growth rates of 11.9%, 11.2%, and 9.6% respectively [10]