Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the defense and military industry, suggesting an increase in focus on military investments in September [3][5]. Core Insights - The defense and military sector is expected to see favorable support from its fundamentals, with anticipated overperformance in Q3 reports due to a surge in military orders since Q1 [5]. - The industry is entering a significant growth cycle with the "14th Five-Year Plan" and increasing military trade expectations, which are projected to catalyze market performance [5]. - The report highlights a strong correlation between global geopolitical uncertainties and the rising demand for military trade, indicating a robust future for China's military exports [5]. - Key investment targets include high-end combat capabilities and new technology in military equipment, with a focus on unmanned and informationized systems [5]. Market Review - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Index fell by 10.25%, while the CSI Military Leaders Index dropped by 11.4%, underperforming the broader market indices [3][6]. - The report notes that the military sector's performance ranked last among 31 Shenwan primary industry sectors [6]. - Individual stock performance varied significantly, with top gainers including Chunxing Precision (up 22.91%) and Yingliu Co. (up 11.48%), while the largest losers included Inner Mongolia First Machinery (down 23.76%) and Chengfei Integration (down 22.71%) [12][13]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan military sector is 84.59, indicating it is in the upper range historically, with a valuation percentile of 71.06% since January 2014 [13][14]. - The aerospace and aviation equipment sectors are noted to be at relatively high valuation levels since 2020 [19]. Key Valuation Targets - The report lists several key companies with their projected net profits and PE ratios for the upcoming years, indicating a focus on high-growth potential within the military sector [21]. - Notable companies include AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (market cap of 1,548 billion, PE of 46) and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft (market cap of 702.2 billion, PE of 69) [21].

Group 1 - The company achieved a revenue of 519 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 688.61% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 53.04 million yuan, marking a turnaround from loss to profit with a year-on-year increase of 234.75% [1] - The company's military trade business generated revenue of 341 million yuan, indicating strong demand for air defense early warning radar products in the context of international security [1] Group 2 - The company established a low-altitude division in December 2023 to actively expand into the low-altitude economy sector [2] - The company reported R&D expenditures of 47.96 million yuan, accounting for 9.24% of its revenue, with breakthroughs in key technologies such as interference recognition and suppression [2] - The defense industry is entering an upward cycle driven by domestic demand for military construction, with expectations of increased military trade demand due to global geopolitical changes [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the defense and military industry, suggesting an increase in focus on military investments [4][5]. Core Insights - The military trade supply and demand are strongly resonating, creating a new industry landscape, with expectations for continuous progress [5]. - The military industry is entering an upward cycle, driven by domestic demand from military construction, particularly in the transition to "mechanization + informationization" and the upcoming "intelligent + unmanned" equipment [5]. - The global geopolitical changes are expanding military trade demand, with China's military products gaining recognition, leading to a strong resonance between supply and demand in military trade [5]. - The growth cycle in the military sector is expected to enhance industry valuations, with a recognition of "technological equity" in military advancements [5]. - Recommendations include increasing attention to military investments, focusing on next-generation equipment and precision-guided weapons, which are expected to see initial growth by 2025 [5]. Market Review - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Index rose by 2.26%, while the CSI Military Leaders Index increased by 3.68%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 0.69% [6][4]. - The top five performing stocks in the defense and military sector were Beihua Co. (23.37%), Yingliu Co. (20.37%), Feilihua (15.98%), AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (12.78%), and Aerospace Power (11.37%) [6][13]. - The bottom five performing stocks included Changchun Yidong (-9.36%), Rongfa Nuclear Power (-6.6%), Rainbow Co. (-6.14%), Guorui Technology (-5.02%), and Galaxy Electronics (-4.66%) [6][13]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan Military Sector is 83.84, placing it in the upper range historically, with a valuation percentile of 71.57% since January 2014 [14]. - Valuations are slightly differentiated among sub-sectors, with aerospace and aviation equipment at a relatively high valuation since 2020 [14][19]. Key Valuation Targets - The report lists key valuation targets in the military sector, including companies like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, AVIC Chengfei, and others, with projected net profits and PE ratios for the coming years [21].

Group 1 - The military industry is entering a significant upward cycle, driven by domestic demand from military construction, particularly during the transition to the next generation of military equipment after a century of military development [1] - The global military trade is experiencing a supply-demand resonance due to increasing geopolitical changes, with China's military products gaining recognition for their performance and supply capabilities, leading to a robust future for China's military trade [1] - The growth cycle in the military industry is expected to enhance industry valuations, as the reshaping of global military trade and domestic construction cycles open up significant opportunities for the sector [1] Group 2 - The military ETF (512660) is the largest in its category, covering the entire military industry chain and providing a crucial tool for capitalizing on industry allocation opportunities [2] - The index tracked by the ETF reflects the overall performance of representative listed companies in the defense and military industry, with a high concentration in various subfields [2]

Investment Rating - The report rates the defense and military industry as "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights that orders are being transmitted in an orderly manner, signaling an impending performance inflection point for the industry [3]. - It selects 48 key companies across the military industrial chain, with a total market capitalization of 1,320.52 billion, accounting for approximately 48.4% of the total market capitalization of the Shenwan Defense and Military Industry Index [3]. - The expected total performance for these 48 companies in Q2 2025 is approximately 6.768 billion (down 11.2% year-on-year), and for H1 2025, it is expected to be around 11.336 billion (down 17.7% year-on-year) [3]. - The report notes performance differentiation across various segments due to customer structure and revenue recognition timing [3]. - The military industry is entering a significant upward cycle driven by domestic demand, particularly due to military modernization efforts [3]. - The report anticipates a strong resonance between supply and demand in military trade, driven by global geopolitical changes and increased recognition of Chinese military products [3]. - The growth cycle in the military sector is expected to enhance industry valuations, with a focus on technological equity and recognition of military advancements [3]. - The report suggests increasing attention to the military sector, particularly in areas such as next-generation equipment and precision-guided weapons, which are expected to enter a growth phase in 2025 [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Expectations - The report provides performance forecasts for key companies, indicating significant variances in growth rates across different segments [4][5]. - For example, Torch Electronics and Hongyuan Electronics are expected to see growth rates of 61% and 49% respectively in H1 2025, while companies like Zhihua Technology and Aerospace Electric are projected to decline by 69% and 78% respectively [3][4]. Market Dynamics - The report emphasizes that the core driver of domestic demand in the military sector is military construction, with a transition towards a new cycle characterized by "intelligent and unmanned" capabilities [3]. - It also notes that the military trade landscape is evolving, with increased global demand and recognition of Chinese military capabilities following recent geopolitical events [3]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies key investment targets within the military sector, including high-end combat capabilities and new quality combat combinations [3]. - Specific companies highlighted for potential investment include AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, AVIC Chengdu Aircraft, and others involved in advanced materials and electronic components [3].