Core Insights - The Chinese military trade is entering a "DeepSeek" moment, driven by a global increase in military spending and a shift towards systematic exports [1] - Chinese military equipment has gained international recognition for its cost-effectiveness, moving beyond the "low-end cheap" label [1] - The military trade strategy is now integrated into the "Belt and Road" initiative, linking defense exports with infrastructure and energy cooperation [1] Industry Overview - The military ETF (512660) has seen over 600 million yuan in net inflows in the past five days, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The ETF tracks the CSI Military Industry Index, which includes representative listed companies in aerospace, aviation, shipbuilding, weaponry, and military electronics [2] - The index reflects the overall performance of the military industry and has a high concentration in defense-related sectors [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the positive outlook for the military industry in China, driven by upcoming events such as the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Anti-Japanese War and World Anti-Fascist War, which will feature new military technologies [1] - The military sector has seen continuous net inflows of capital this year, with the military ETF (512660) experiencing a growth of over 40% in shares, reaching a current scale of over 15.7 billion yuan [3] - China's military exports have gained a global market share of 5.80% from 2019 to 2023, with approximately 60% of these exports going to Pakistan, indicating a potential for increased military trade and long-term performance improvements in the industry [4] Group 2 - The military ETF (512660) tracks the China Securities Military Index, which covers a wide range of military sectors including aviation, military electronics, and naval equipment, showcasing the overall performance of the military industry [7] - The China Securities Military Index has demonstrated defensive strength during market downturns, with the smallest declines in 2018, 2022, and 2023, and ranked first in returns among peers in 2024 [7] - The military sector is expected to benefit from increased domestic demand driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan," "Centenary of the Army," and the push for self-sufficient domestic alternatives, indicating strong positive expectations for the industry's fundamentals [8]

7月4日，上海证券交易所正式批准中国船舶换股吸收合并中国重工的交易方案，标志着这场涉及1151.5 亿元资金、超4000亿元资产的"世纪重组"尘埃落定。依据2024年报财务数据测算，本次交易实施后中国 船舶作为存续公司总资产规模将超过4000亿元，年收入规模突破1300亿元，将成为全球规模最大、业务 最完备的上市造船巨头，持续引领全球船舶工业发展。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 未来军贸装备需求及溢价带来装备量价齐升，受"十四五任务冲刺"+"建军百年目标"+"自主可控国产替 代"三重逻辑催化，军工板块内需增长确定性也较高，行业基本面具备较强的正向预期。 军工利好催化不断，军工ETF（512660）近5日净流入超4.6亿元。 军工ETF（512660）跟踪的是中证军工指数，该指数由中证指数有限公司编制，从沪深市场中选取涉及 航天、航空、船舶、兵器、军事电子等国防军工领域的代表性上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映军工 行业相关上市公司证券的整体表现。该指数覆盖了国防军工行业的多个子领域，具有较高的行业集中度 和鲜明的军工特色。 消息面，民航局通用航空和低空经济工作领导小组成立。领导小组成立6个专项工作组，分别为适航管 ...

兴业证券表示，从基本面角度出发， 2025年是"十四五"收官之年，行业需求已迎来结构性反转并将延 续至2027年。2023年以来受行业人事变动影响较小的方向有望延续稳健增长，显著延后的方向有望迎来 系统性修复、爆发式增长。 军工ETF（512660）跟踪的是中证军工指数，该指数由中证指数有限公司编制，从沪深市场中选取涉及 航天、航空、船舶、兵器、军事电子等国防军工领域的代表性上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映军工 行业相关上市公司证券的整体表现。该指数覆盖了国防军工行业的多个子领域，具有较高的行业集中度 和鲜明的军工特色。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 在"十四五"攻关任务驱动下，资产证券化率较高的军工产业链上游企业订单自春节以后同环比高增，推 动2月中旬-4月中旬相关标的股价显著上行。在以元器件企业为代 ...

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming military parade on September 3rd, commemorating the 80th anniversary of China's victory in the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression, is expected to boost the military industry sector, which has historically shown independent excess returns prior to such events [1][2]. Military Industry Performance - The military industry sector has been active recently, with the military ETF (512660) experiencing an 8% increase in the past five days. This performance is attributed to the upcoming parade as well as ongoing military trade demand and international geopolitical fluctuations [4]. - The military ETF (512660) has seen a significant increase in shares, growing over 40% year-on-year, with its current scale exceeding 15.6 billion yuan [4]. Military Trade Demand - Chinese military equipment has gained recognition in various real combat scenarios, leading to increased international demand. Pakistan has announced plans to acquire several advanced Chinese military products, including the J-35 stealth fighter and the Hongqi-19 air defense system [5]. Global Military Expenditure Trends - Global military expenditures are on the rise due to ongoing geopolitical risks. NATO members have agreed to increase military spending to 5% of GDP, while China's military spending remains below the average of major military powers, indicating potential for growth [8]. Emerging Themes in Military Industry - New themes such as low-altitude economy, commercial aerospace, deep-sea technology, large aircraft, and military intelligence are becoming increasingly active. These themes are expected to deepen and evolve, contributing to a potential recovery in the military industry [10]. Financial Performance and Outlook - The military industry sector is projected to see a recovery in margins and profitability starting in Q1 2025, following a dip in Q4 2024. The increase in total prepayments by 9.35% year-on-year suggests a rebound in downstream orders [12]. - The military ETF (512660) is noted for its liquidity and defensive characteristics, having shown the smallest decline during market downturns in 2018, 2022, and 2023, while ranking first in returns among peers in 2024 [14][17].

今日A股震荡走高。上证指数收于3444.43点，上涨0.59%，成交额5671亿元；深证成指收于10465.12 点，上涨0.83%，成交额9197亿元。板块方面，国防军工、传媒、通信板块领涨，非银金融、银行板块 迎来回调。 今日发布的6月官方制造业PMI继续回升至49.7，新订单指数回升到扩张区间。经历中美贸易风险的阶 段性缓释后，PMI下行压力减轻。不过从绝对数值来看，制造业PMI已连续三个月处于荣枯线之下，经 济的结构性风险仍存。其中，PMI从业人员指数与PMI生产经营活动指数不升反降，显示关税反复的不 确定性仍在影响企业的投资决策。 回顾2025年上半年，上证指数小幅收涨2.76%。随着流动性改善、风险偏好回暖带来资金流入，A股下 半年有望维持结构性牛市。美元指数延续相对弱势，待9月前后市场交易美联储降息预期后，美元指数 和美债利率或将进一步下行，有利于市场风险偏好提升和成长风格表现。从个股盈利来看，下半年抢出 口效应预计减弱，但财政仍有发力空间，A股盈利或将实现V型修复。风格展望方面，7~8月建议关注受 益于流动性的偏中小市值风格，投资者可以选配中证1000增强（159679）等ETF。 上周，央行 ...

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector continues to show strong performance, with military ETFs experiencing significant growth amid rising global military expenditures and geopolitical tensions [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - Military ETFs (512660) have surged over 3%, with trading volume exceeding 350 million yuan, indicating strong investor interest [1]. - The military ETF has seen a year-to-date share increase of over 40%, reaching a total size of over 15 billion yuan, making it the largest in its category [1]. Group 2: Geopolitical Context - The NATO summit has led to a commitment from member countries to increase military spending to 5% of GDP, highlighting a global trend of rising defense budgets [1]. - China's military spending as a percentage of GDP remains below the average of major military powers, suggesting significant growth potential in defense expenditure [1]. Group 3: Domestic Developments - Recent announcements from Pakistan regarding the acquisition of advanced Chinese military equipment, such as the J-35 stealth fighter and HQ-19 air defense system, indicate growing international recognition of Chinese military products [1]. - The military sector is expected to benefit from the completion of defense construction tasks and long-term goals set for 2027 and 2035, which will likely drive demand for military equipment [3]. Group 4: Financial Outlook - The military sector is projected to experience a profit bottoming out in Q4 2024, marking the first negative net profit quarter in a decade, but signs of recovery are expected in Q1 2025 with improvements in gross and net profit margins [1][3]. - Total prepayments in the military sector have increased by 9.35% year-on-year, indicating a rebound in downstream orders and potential for upward performance in the future [1]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Investors are encouraged to consider military ETFs (512660) as they cover the entire military industry chain and offer good elasticity and defensive attributes, making them a valuable tool for capitalizing on industry opportunities [5].

注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险 等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 消息面上，6月24日国新办发布会确认，9月3日将在首都天安门举行盛大阅兵仪式，重点展示我军 改革重塑后的军兵种结构布局及新型作战力量，包括无人智能、水下作战等前沿装备。6月18日第55届 巴黎航展开幕，中国航空工业集团携歼-20、歼-35A等30项重点产品参展，其中歼-35A首次境外亮相。6 月11日，AG600大型水陆两栖飞机获颁生产许可证，标志着我国大型航空应急救援装备体系建设取得关 键里程碑。 浙商证券指出，国防军工行业2025年将迎来拐点，军贸将发力并打开增长及估值空间。全球军备竞 赛开启，外需打开，性价比、实战能力将助力中国市场份额大幅提升。中长期聚焦新质战斗力、新质生 产力，航空装备等领域将持续发力。人事调整、订单推迟、供应链降价的负面影响因素触底，军工板块 有望迎来拐点。2025年为"十 ...

每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 国信证券指出，国防军工及航空装备Ⅱ行业受益于产业升级和自主可控趋势，核心装备国产化是产 业自主崛起的基础，突破高端装备瓶颈将推动下游产业真正实现自主化。从需求侧看，新兴市场成长和 出口崛起带来机遇，重点关注具备全球竞争力的细分行业龙头。供给侧方面，存量更新及进口替代成为 关键，船舶、轨交设备、核电设备等细分行业受益于存量更新或逆周期调节，景气相对稳健。核电设备 领域，三代核电已进入批量化建设阶段，四代核电示范正式商运，未来批量化建设可期。此外，燃气轮 机行业迎来全球更新周期，同时受益于AI数据中心带来的增量需求，景气上行趋势明显。行业整体估 值水平相对稳定，长期看好高端装备自主可控及出口发展带来的结构性机会。 军工ETF（512660）跟踪的是中证军工指数（399967），该指数由中证指数有限公司编制，从沪深 市场中选取 ...

军工ETF（512660）跟踪的是中证军工指数（399967），该指数由中证指数有限公司编制，从沪深 两市中选取涉及航空航天、兵器装备等国防军工行业的代表性上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映军工 行业相关上市公司证券的整体表现。中证军工指数具有鲜明的行业特征和周期性风格，其成分股主要来 自与国防现代化建设相关的高科技企业。 中泰证券指出，国防军工行业在地缘事件频发背景下，军贸逻辑正从情绪催化向基本面强化过渡。 2025年以来，印巴冲突推动军贸价值重估，军贸业务有望突破国内定价瓶颈，提供更高利润率并提振板 块估值。航空装备领域订单拐点确立，25Q1航空主机厂合同负债环比增长22%，元器件订单显著改 善，军工电子全年订单有望维持高位。航发领域去库存及补差价接近尾声，新机型转批产将带动需求回 升。兵器装备方面，远火及无人地面装备受益内需回暖与军贸高景气，核心公司2025年收入指引大幅增 长。商业航天进入规模化部署关键期，2025年我国计划发射约2100颗卫星，可回收火箭技术突破将降低 成本瓶颈。国产大飞机C919批产提速，2025年预计交付20-30架，发动机国产替代进程加速。 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本 ...