农林牧渔行业业绩

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农林牧渔行业2025H1业绩综述报告:业绩表现喜人,养殖业利润高增
Wanlian Securities· 2025-09-15 09:22
Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperforming the Market," indicating an expected relative increase of over 10% in the industry index compared to the broader market within the next six months [5][37]. Core Insights - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector showed impressive performance in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 614.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.05%, ranking third among Shenwan's primary industries. The net profit attributable to shareholders totaled 26.98 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 173.11%, ranking second in the same category [13][35]. - The sector's return on equity (ROE) improved to 4.92%, up by 3.15 percentage points year-on-year, while gross and net profit margins also increased, reaching 11.68% and 4.54%, respectively [17]. Summary by Relevant Sections Overall Industry Performance - The agricultural sector's revenue and profit growth rates are among the highest in the market, with notable improvements in profitability metrics [13][35]. Sub-sector Performance - **Planting Sector**: Revenue reached 50.22 billion yuan, up 12.94% year-on-year, but net profit decreased by 9.06% to 1.59 billion yuan. Leading companies like Nopson and Beidahuang maintained stable performance despite overall profit declines in the sector [21]. - **Feed Sector**: Revenue was 134.81 billion yuan, a 12.56% increase, with net profit soaring by 106.15% to 4.49 billion yuan. Most companies in this sector experienced both revenue and profit growth [26]. - **Agricultural Products Processing**: This sector saw a slight revenue decline of 0.32% to 164.87 billion yuan, but net profit increased by 23.55% to 3.42 billion yuan, with leading company Jinlongyu showing significant profit growth [28]. - **Breeding Sector**: Revenue reached 238.21 billion yuan, up 14.48%, with net profit skyrocketing by 584.24% to 16.93 billion yuan. Major players like Muyuan and New Hope reported substantial profit increases [30]. - **Animal Health Sector**: Revenue grew by 27.20% to 9.52 billion yuan, with net profit increasing by 90.36% to 0.98 billion yuan, indicating a recovery in this segment [32]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in pig breeding and high-quality domestic brands in the pet food sector, as the current market conditions present significant growth opportunities [3][35].
农林牧渔行业2024年报、2025年一季报总结:畜禽养殖业绩兑现,宠物食品延续高增
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-05-08 12:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry, highlighting significant profit recovery in 2024 and continued growth in 2025 [2][3]. Core Insights - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry saw a substantial turnaround in 2024, with a total net profit of 39.648 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 694% [16][17]. - Key sub-sectors such as pig farming, poultry farming, and seed industry reported impressive profit growth rates of 321%, 261%, and 130% respectively in 2024 [2][16]. - The first quarter of 2025 continued to show strong performance, with a total net profit of 9.932 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 764% [20][21]. Summary by Sections 1. Overview of 2024 and Q1 2025 Performance - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector achieved a net profit of 39.648 billion yuan in 2024, marking a significant recovery from losses in 2023 [16][17]. - In Q1 2025, the sector's net profit reached 9.932 billion yuan, continuing the positive trend from 2024 [20][21]. 2. Key Sub-Sector Performance 2.1 Pig Farming - The pig farming sector reported a total revenue of 387.9 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 30.7 billion yuan, driven by rising pig prices and reduced costs [23][28]. - In Q1 2025, the sector maintained profitability with a net profit of 7.62 billion yuan, despite a slight decline in pig prices [40][45]. 2.2 Poultry Farming - The white-feathered chicken sector faced challenges with low demand and oversupply, resulting in a revenue of 31.69 billion yuan in 2024, while the yellow-feathered chicken sector saw a recovery in profitability [2][23]. - In Q1 2025, the poultry sector's net profit was 1.2 billion yuan, a significant increase compared to the previous year [2][20]. 2.3 Pet Food - The pet food industry experienced robust growth, with total revenue of 12.15 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.3% [2][3]. - In Q1 2025, the sector's revenue reached 3.09 billion yuan, continuing the upward trend [2][20]. 2.4 Feed Industry - The feed sector faced sales pressure but saw a recovery in gross margins, with total revenue of 156.62 billion yuan in 2024 [2][3]. - In Q1 2025, the feed industry reported a revenue of 35.63 billion yuan, indicating a positive growth trajectory [2][20]. 2.5 Animal Health - The animal health sector faced increased competition in 2024, leading to a decline in profitability, but showed signs of recovery in Q1 2025 with improved sales [2][4]. - The sector's revenue in 2024 was 16.472 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.162 billion yuan [2][4]. 2.6 Seed Industry - The seed industry reported a revenue of 14.86 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 370 million yuan, affected by declining grain prices [2][4]. - In Q1 2025, the sector continued to face challenges, with a revenue of 2.43 billion yuan and a significant drop in net profit [2][4]. 3. Investment Analysis - The report suggests focusing on leading pig farming companies for long-term value, as the sector is currently at a historical low valuation [3][5]. - The pet food sector is highlighted as a long-term growth opportunity, driven by increasing pet ownership and spending [3][6]. - The feed industry is expected to see demand recovery, supported by improved livestock numbers and stable raw material prices [3][4].