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国电电力(600795):扣非盈利高增长 2527年分红承诺超预期
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-08-21 05:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with expected net profits of 7.01 billion, 7.88 billion, and 8.67 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 12.1x, 10.8x, and 9.8x [4]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in non-recurring profit, with a 56.12% year-on-year growth in the first half of 2025, despite a 45.11% decline in net profit attributable to shareholders [4]. - The company has committed to a minimum dividend payout ratio of 60% from 2025 to 2027, with a minimum cash dividend of 0.22 yuan per share, indicating strong confidence in its market value management [4]. - The company experienced a decline in revenue of 9.52% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 77.655 billion yuan [4]. Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a revenue of 776.55 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, down 9.52% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.687 billion yuan, with a non-recurring profit of 3.410 billion yuan, reflecting a 45.11% decline [4]. - The gross margin, net margin, and non-recurring net margin for the first half of 2025 were 16.27%, 8.90%, and 4.39% respectively, showing a mixed performance compared to the previous year [4]. - The company’s financial expenses decreased by 10.5% year-on-year to 2.883 billion yuan, contributing to improved cash flow [4]. Segment Performance Summary - In terms of electricity generation, the company reported a decline in coal power generation by 7.5% and a significant increase in solar power generation by 122.8% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [4]. - The average on-grid electricity price decreased by 29.5 yuan per megawatt-hour year-on-year, impacting revenue from coal and wind power [4]. - The net profit from coal power, hydropower, wind power, and solar power for the first half of 2025 was 4.51 billion, 1.21 billion, 0.69 billion, and 0.77 billion yuan respectively, with hydropower showing a substantial increase of 357% year-on-year [4].