Core Viewpoint - The British pound has strengthened against the US dollar, reaching a high of 1.3338, supported by improved UK services PMI data, while the dollar remains under pressure ahead of anticipated Fed rate cuts [1]. Economic Data - The UK services PMI was revised up from an initial value of 50.5 to 51.3, remaining above the expansion threshold of 50.0. The composite PMI also rose to 51.2 [1]. - Despite the improvement in data, S&P Global noted that the economic fundamentals remain weak, with a slowdown in business activity and the largest drop in employment since February. Additionally, output price inflation has decreased to its lowest level since January 2021 [1]. Central Bank Expectations - The market expects the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 basis points in December, with a consensus that the central bank will then enter a prolonged pause to mitigate the risk of inflation resurgence [1]. - Conversely, the dollar is under pressure as the market has fully priced in a third consecutive rate cut by the Fed in December, with expectations for at least two more cuts by 2026 [1]. Technical Analysis - On the H4 chart, GBP/USD is on a strong upward trajectory, approaching a key resistance level at 1.3354. The price remains above the middle Bollinger Band, indicating a bullish trend [3]. - A successful breakout above 1.3354 could initiate a new upward movement targeting the resistance range of 1.3363-1.3380. If a pullback occurs, the important support level is at 1.3280, with a potential deeper correction if this level is breached [3]. - The H1 chart shows that GBP/USD maintains an upward trend, currently in a correction phase but still above the local support at 1.3179, which is the starting point of the previous upward movement. The overall structure remains bullish, with a potential retest of 1.3350 if the price stays above the middle Bollinger Band [6]. Conclusion - The strength of GBP/USD is attributed to the clear divergence in central bank policy expectations, favoring the pound in the short term. The currency pair is testing the critical resistance level of 1.3354, with a successful breakout likely to accelerate the upward trend, while failure to break could lead to a pullback towards 1.3280. Upcoming meetings of the Fed and the Bank of England will be crucial in determining whether this momentum can be sustained [7].