在日本维新会加持下,高市早苗终于坐上了日本首相的宝座。然而,这是高市早苗和自民党以政策妥协为 代价换来的,这笔"政治赌债"今后势必要逐一偿还。被维新会"裹挟"的高市早苗,首相之位能否坐稳、能 坐多久,都是未知数。 自民党新任总裁高市早苗10月21日在国会首相指名选举中当选日本第104任首相,成为日本首位女首相。 然而,她的拜相之路充满波折。在公明党与自民党分道扬镳后,急于登上首相之位的高市早苗变得"饥不择 食"。在与国民民主党没能谈妥的情况下,她急于与维新会接触,而后者一口气提出了12项苛刻条件,有求 于人的高市早苗几乎照单全收。这场"闪婚"毫无疑问会留下诸多隐患。 作为自民党内极端右翼政客,高市早苗与同样属于右翼的维新会有很多"共同语言"。双方在联合执政协 议中明确,将提前修订《国家安全保障战略》等"安保三文件",加快扩充军备,推动放宽武器出口限制。另 外,还将设立独立的对外情报机构,加快推进"反间谍法"等立法。 当前日本民众关注的焦点是物价问题,这也是石破茂政府应对效果不彰导致民调不高的主要原因之一。 如果"副首都构想"得以成真,可能会造成政府财政紧张,用于民生的资金不足,抑制物价飞涨的政策受挫。 若是如 ...

Group 1 - The coalition between the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the Japan Innovation Party (JIP) is fraught with multiple hidden risks from the outset [2] - The proposal by JIP to reduce the number of National Diet members has sparked significant opposition within the LDP [2] - If the goal of reducing the number of Diet members is not achieved, JIP's opposition could lead to a deadlock in the operation of the government [2] Group 2 - JIP's representative emphasized that without first achieving the reduction of Diet members, discussions on social security reform and other reforms cannot proceed [4]

据悉，维新会向自民党提出了12点合作要求，包括下调消费税率、政治"黑金"问题、建立副首都构想、 削减国会议员等。维新会要求废除税收特别措施，并在2年内将食品消费税率下调至0%；禁止企业捐 款，在秋季临时国会上通过削减议员席位的相关法案；在2026年通过"副首都构想"相关法案。 双方在修宪、外交与安保等基本政策上达成了一致。藤田16日表示："在国家观方面，高市和我有很多 相似之处。" 藤田17日进一步表示，在维新会主张的"削减10%国会议员、禁止企业与团体政治捐款"问题上，双方理 解加深。维新会已经告知立宪民主党和国民民主党中止在野党阵营合作。藤田在宣布这一决定时说，与 立宪民主党和国民民主党合作"非常困难"。 公明党决定退出与自民党的执政联盟，一度令日本临时国会选举产生下一任首相的形势变得混乱起来。 三大在野党磋商联合推出统一候选人，挑战自民党总裁高市早苗。然而，随着自民党与日本维新会就联 合执政达成一致，高市早苗又看到了成为日本第一位女首相的希望。 高市首相位置稳了？ 在与公明党决裂后，高市表示"在国会召集日之前，将竭尽所能"。高市早苗选前就宣称考虑扩大执政联 盟，并与政策理念相近的国民民主党数次接触，这也 ...

Core Viewpoint - The discussions between Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the Japan Innovation Party (JIP) focus on establishing a coalition government, with agreements on constitutional amendments and security policies, while addressing various economic reforms and political issues [1][3][5]. Group 1: Policy Discussions - The LDP and JIP initiated policy discussions on October 16, with a focus on 12 key projects, including reducing the number of Diet members and lowering the consumption tax rate [1][3]. - Both parties reached a consensus on fundamental policies regarding constitutional amendments and foreign security [1][3]. - The discussions are set to continue on October 17, aiming for a decision before the temporary Diet session on October 21 [3]. Group 2: Economic and Political Reforms - The JIP's demands include social security reforms to alleviate the burden on eligible workers, addressing political corruption, and proposals for a secondary capital to decentralize Tokyo [3][5]. - In the economic sector, the JIP seeks to abolish special tax measures and aims to reduce the food consumption tax rate to 0% within two years [3]. - The JIP insists on limiting political donations and plans to push for legislation to reduce the number of Diet members during the upcoming temporary Diet session [3][5].

Core Viewpoint - The Japan Restoration Party is negotiating with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) to form a governing coalition, presenting a document outlining 12 policy demands, with a total of approximately 50 specific requests [1][3]. Economic Policies - The Japan Restoration Party aims to reduce the food consumption tax to zero within two years and withdraw the cash distribution plan promised by the LDP during the Senate elections [6]. - A comprehensive review of tax measures and subsidies is proposed, with a focus on eliminating ineffective projects [6]. Social Security - The party insists on fulfilling the agreement to lower social insurance fees, which aligns with the consensus reached among the LDP, Komeito, and the Japan Restoration Party [6]. - There is a proposal to redefine "elderly" to explore a fairer burden-sharing of social insurance fees [6]. Political Reform - The Japan Restoration Party is advocating for a ban on corporate and group donations, setting a cap of 10 million yen on annual donations to political groups [5][6]. - The party also proposes a 10% reduction in the number of Diet members, aiming to pass related legislation in the temporary Diet session of 2025 [9]. Foreign and Security Policies - The party seeks to revise security documents ahead of schedule and remove five categories of restrictions on the transfer of defense equipment [6]. - A proposal for a counter-espionage law is also on the agenda [6]. Differences and Negotiations - Significant differences exist between the Japan Restoration Party and the LDP regarding the regulation of corporate and group donations, with the former firmly opposing any concessions [3][8]. - The LDP supports transparency in funding and does not see the need for stricter regulations, leading to a breakdown in coalition talks with Komeito [9]. - Despite these differences, the Japan Restoration Party shows a willingness to negotiate, indicating a potential for compromise on other issues if their core demands are met [9].

Core Viewpoint - The meeting between Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the Japan Innovation Party (JIP) on October 15 aims to establish a cooperative relationship for the upcoming prime ministerial election and potentially form a governing coalition [2][3]. Group 1: Political Cooperation - The LDP and JIP agreed to start policy discussions on October 16, with JIP's representative indicating support for LDP's leader, if consensus is reached [2][3]. - High-profile discussions included the JIP's proposal for a "sub-capital" concept, with plans to introduce legislative proposals in the 2026 regular session [3][6]. - The LDP and JIP hold a combined total of 231 seats in the House of Representatives, just two short of the majority needed, enhancing the likelihood of High City becoming Prime Minister if they collaborate [6][7]. Group 2: Challenges Among Opposition Parties - The three opposition parties, including the Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP), JIP, and the National Democratic Party (NDP), have not reached a consensus on basic policies, which could hinder their ability to support a unified candidate in the prime ministerial election [2][5][7]. - The NDP's leader expressed skepticism about forming a coalition with the LDP after the Komeito party's exit from the ruling coalition, indicating a complex political landscape [4][6]. Group 3: Policy Discussions - Key topics for discussion between the LDP and JIP include social security reform, political funding measures, and the foreigner policy [3][6]. - The LDP's High City proposed a mechanism for discussions with the NDP to address income tax exemption thresholds, aiming for collaboration in the prime ministerial election [6][7]. - The CDP's leader indicated a willingness to make concessions on security laws, while the JIP and NDP maintain a supportive stance towards the current security legislation [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the personnel adjustments within Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) under the leadership of new party president Takashi Saito, emphasizing the integration of factions to strengthen governance and maintain party unity [1][3]. Group 1: Personnel Changes - Takashi Saito is coordinating the appointment of Shunichi Suzuki from the Aso faction as the LDP Secretary-General and Taro Aso as Vice President, aiming to solidify the Aso faction as a pillar of the administration [1][3]. - Saito plans to decide on key positions such as Secretary-General, General Affairs Chairman, and Policy Research Council Chairman by October 7, with an expectation to be named the 104th Prime Minister in mid-October [3]. - The inclusion of former competitors in the presidential election for significant roles is also being considered, reflecting a strategy to unify the party [3]. Group 2: Political Strategy - Saito's governance approach emphasizes "active participation of all" and "collective strength of all generations," indicating a desire for inclusivity within the party [3]. - The article highlights the historical context of previous LDP presidents sidelining their election rivals, suggesting Saito's strategy aims to avoid such pitfalls given the current political landscape [5]. - Saito is also considering appointing former Defense Minister Minoru Kihara to a significant position, indicating a focus on maintaining strong alliances within the party [5]. Group 3: Policy Focus - Saito's immediate policy priorities include addressing rising prices, such as the repeal of the temporary gasoline tax rate, and discussing tax and social security reforms for medium to long-term strategies [6]. - The article notes that the Japan Restoration Party is open to negotiations for joining the ruling coalition, while the Komeito party has expressed concerns over certain policy proposals [6]. - Saito is also expected to engage in diplomatic efforts, including coordinating a visit from U.S. President Trump around October 28 [6].