Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ternium's EBITDA margin reached 10% in 2025, supported by a cost reduction program that generated $250 million in savings compared to 2024 [4] - Net income for the fourth quarter totaled $171 million, impacted by one-time charges related to an impairment in one of its mining operations [13][14] - Cash generated by operations reached $2.3 billion in 2025, allowing the company to finance capital expenditures [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The steel segment experienced a decline in shipments due to weaker volumes in the US and Brazil, but higher volumes in Mexico partially offset this decline [15] - Mining cash operating income increased sequentially, driven by stronger shipments and higher realized iron ore prices [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Apparent consumption of steel in Mexico decreased by 10% in 2025, with flat products consumption down 14% compared to 2024 [23] - The Mexican government raised import tariffs on steel from 25% to 35%, aiming to protect local producers [5][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Ternium is focusing on enhancing operational efficiency and reducing costs while expanding its footprint in Mexico with new facilities [8][11] - The company is optimistic about profitability improvements in 2026, driven by cost reductions and favorable trade policies [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the importance of ongoing trade negotiations in North America and expressed confidence in reaching a mutually beneficial agreement [10][11] - The company is cautious about the timing of the USMCA renewal, projecting it may not significantly impact 2026 but could be more relevant in 2027 [24][25] Other Important Information - Ternium secured a $1.25 billion loan through a green financing facility to support its new projects, which received several awards for sustainability [8][9] - The company proposed an annual dividend of $2.7 per ADS for fiscal year 2025, maintaining the same level as 2024, reflecting confidence in future prospects [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for the Mexican market and demand recovery - Management noted that demand in Mexico was significantly low in 2025, with expectations for a 4% market growth in 2026, driven by local steel mills gaining market share [23][24] Question: Impact of anti-dumping measures in Brazil - Management indicated that the impact of anti-dumping measures would be gradual, with expectations for a moderate increase in domestic prices [22][26] Question: Ternium's plan if USMCA is not renewed - Management stated that they operated in 2025 without a renewed USMCA and would continue to adapt to the environment, focusing on market share gains [30][34] Question: Volume expectations for 2026 - Management expects volume increases in Mexico, with a recovery in Argentina anticipated in the second half of the year, while Brazil is expected to maintain healthy volume levels [35][36] Question: Margin potential without USMCA changes - Management expressed that they expect to enhance margins in 2026, aiming for a return to the 15%-20% range, but acknowledged that this would depend on market conditions [40][44] Question: Capital allocation priorities - Management confirmed that both increasing dividends and exploring growth opportunities in key markets are priorities, with no immediate plans for share buybacks [87]

Core Insights - North Africa is emerging as a key engine of economic growth in Africa, driven by strong performances from Egypt and Morocco, while countries like Mauritania remain heavily reliant on resource-based rent economies [1] Economic Growth Projections - The International Monetary Fund forecasts that the overall growth rate for the six North African countries (Mauritania, Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Egypt, Libya) will reach 4% in 2025, surpassing the average growth rate of 3.9% for Sub-Saharan Africa and 2% for the Middle East [1] Economic Diversification and Challenges - Morocco and Egypt have made significant progress in economic diversification and attracting foreign investment, while Mauritania faces challenges due to its heavy reliance on mining and marine fishing for revenue, indicating a closed rent-seeking economic model [1] - Tunisia, Algeria, and Libya are also hindered by structural issues that prevent them from fully unleashing their economic potential [1] Future Outlook - The report emphasizes that North Africa's ability to maintain its status as a leading growth region in Africa depends on the implementation of substantial economic structural reforms, deepening regional trade integration, and reducing reliance on natural resources as the primary source of income [1]

Core Insights - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) urges Asian countries to reduce non-tariff barriers and promote regional trade integration to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs and global financial shocks [1] Group 1: Trade and Economic Growth - Trade has been a core driver of economic growth in Asia, with increasing intra-regional trade spurred by U.S. trade tensions and a surge in artificial intelligence investments [1] - Further regional trade integration, including the elimination of trade barriers, can help Asian nations diversify their export markets, reduce costs, and offset some negative impacts of tariffs [1] Group 2: Recommendations for Trade Agreements - The IMF suggests that Asia could benefit from broader trade agreements, similar to the European Union model, as the current reliance on bilateral agreements leads to overlapping rules and inconsistent standards [1] - Srinivasan, Director of the IMF's Asia and Pacific Department, stated that deeper regional integration could provide a buffer against external shocks [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) has continuously developed and expanded over 24 years, demonstrating inclusiveness, attractiveness, and vitality [1]. Group 1: SCO's Role and Impact - The SCO is the largest regional international organization in terms of area and population, providing a reliable platform for equal dialogue and cooperation to address regional issues, which is beneficial for combating terrorism and promoting economic development [1]. - The interest expressed by several countries in joining the SCO or becoming dialogue partners reflects international recognition of the organization [1]. - The SCO offers a valuable cooperation platform for Global South countries, representing a vision for more just and inclusive regional governance amid challenges like geopolitical conflicts and protectionism [1]. Group 2: Sri Lanka's Engagement with SCO - Sri Lanka, as a dialogue partner of the SCO, is actively seeking deeper participation in cooperation, particularly in security, counter-terrorism, supply chain, and port collaboration [2]. - The country places high importance on port development and aims to align with the regional trade integration promoted by the SCO, establishing a regional port cooperation platform [2]. - This initiative is expected to significantly reduce Sri Lanka's port operation and transshipment costs, enhancing regional trade competitiveness [2].

Core Viewpoint - The Monetary Authority of Singapore emphasizes that Asian economies must remain flexible and should not succumb to tit-for-tat tariff retaliation, advocating for enhanced regional trade integration [1] Group 1 - Asian economies are encouraged to strengthen regional trade integration to foster economic resilience [1] - The need for flexibility in economic policies is highlighted to navigate global trade tensions [1]