| [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 503.08 | 488.13 | 629.78 | 792.52 | 964.95 | | 同比（%） | 11.19 | (2.97) | 29.02 | 25.84 | 21.76 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 21.72 | (61.62) | (6.44) | 18.97 | 36.09 | | 同比（%） | (32.16) | (383.69) | 89.56 | 394.71 | 90.29 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.11 | (0.30) | (0.03) | 0.09 | 0.18 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 330.18 | (116.39) | (1,114.38) | 378.12 | 198.70 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2026 年 02 月 23 日 证券研究报告·公司深 ...

（总台央视记者 赵超逸 黄惠馨） 发言人张晗表示，面对台湾半导体全产业链迁美，岛内舆论担忧、业界担忧、民众担忧，只有民进党当 局还在竭力粉饰太平。民进党当局为 "倚外谋独"、无底线媚美卖台，跪送台湾半导体产业优势，却要 岛内民众和业界承担无法挽回的损失，必然导致业界恐慌、民怨沸腾，必定自食恶果。 1月28日，国务院台办举行例行新闻发布会。有记者问：对于美台关税谈判的结果，岛内有舆论担忧， 如果未来三年台湾的半导体供应链产能的40%转移到美国，将会重创台湾的经济，大量的高科技人才包 括中下游产业链都会出现"出走潮"，将会是台湾未来10年追不回的损失。请问发言人对此有何评论？ ...

Core Insights - The front-end measurement and inspection equipment is a crucial segment of the semiconductor equipment market, accounting for approximately 13% of the total market size [1][5][11] - The global semiconductor measurement and inspection equipment market is projected to reach $15.22 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18.7% [1][7] - The market for front-end measurement and inspection equipment in mainland China is experiencing rapid growth, with an average annual compound growth rate of 30% from 2020 to 2024, reaching a market size of 43.8 billion yuan in 2024 [1][9] Group 1: Industry Overview - Front-end measurement is essential for quality control in semiconductor manufacturing, involving the measurement of parameters such as film thickness and surface defects [2][4] - The global semiconductor equipment market is expected to rebound in 2024, achieving a historical sales high of $117 billion, with significant contributions from China, South Korea, and Taiwan [4][5] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The front-end measurement equipment market is dominated by a few international leaders, with KLA holding over 50% market share, indicating a highly concentrated supply market [1][11] - Domestic companies like Zhongke Feimeasure and Shanghai Precision Measurement are emerging as suppliers of front-end measurement equipment, driven by the rapid development of China's semiconductor industry [1][12] Group 3: Future Trends - The domestic market share of front-end measurement equipment is expected to increase as local companies enhance their understanding of technology and manufacturing processes [1][13] - There is a growing demand for improved performance in measurement and inspection equipment, focusing on sensitivity, accuracy, stability, and throughput to ensure high yield rates in semiconductor production [1][14]

Company Overview - Yitang Co., Ltd. successfully listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on July 8, with a stock price of 8.45 yuan per share and stock code 688729 [3] - Established in 2015, Yitang is a global semiconductor equipment company focused on the research, production, and sales of wafer processing equipment for integrated circuit manufacturing [3] - The company provides various equipment and solutions, including dry stripping equipment, rapid thermal processing equipment, and dry etching equipment, to global integrated circuit manufacturers [3] Market Position - Yitang has established itself as a globally recognized supplier of integrated circuit manufacturing equipment, serving major global storage chip manufacturers and logic circuit manufacturers [3] - The company has a stable and extensive customer base, including the top ten chip manufacturers worldwide and leading domestic manufacturers, which strengthens its competitive position in the specialized equipment market [3] - As of the end of 2024, Yitang's cumulative global installed base exceeds 4,800 units, maintaining a leading position in its respective segments [3] Industry Trends - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a third wave of relocation, with a shift towards mainland China, enhancing the industry's overall prosperity and creating new development opportunities [4] - National policies, including the "14th Five-Year Plan," support the growth of the semiconductor and integrated circuit industries, driven by emerging sectors such as 5G, AI, and IoT [4] - Yitang's shipment volume and revenue in mainland China are on an upward trend from 2022 to 2024, with revenue from this region expected to reach 66.67% by 2024 [4] Future Outlook - Yitang plans to enhance its research and manufacturing capabilities in integrated circuit equipment, increase investments in China, and leverage local supply advantages to boost revenue from the mainland [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rise of domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturers, particularly focusing on Xidian Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (referred to as Xidian), which has achieved significant milestones in the probe testing technology sector, breaking foreign monopolies and positioning itself as a leading player in the Chinese market [2][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Xidian is primarily engaged in the research, production, and sales of semiconductor-specific equipment, with a focus on probe testing technology [2]. - The company is the first in mainland China to achieve industrial application of 12-inch wafer probe testing equipment, breaking the long-standing foreign monopoly [2][4]. - As of 2019, Xidian held a 13% market share in the mainland probe testing equipment market, ranking fourth overall and first among domestic manufacturers [2]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - Xidian has successfully developed and mass-produced 6-inch wafer probe testing equipment, which has been sold to major domestic semiconductor manufacturers [4]. - The company has mastered several core technologies, including high-precision fast-response large-stroke precision stepping technology and automatic needle alignment technology [6]. - Xidian's product range has expanded from manual to fully automatic probe testing equipment, covering sizes from 4 inches to 12 inches [5][6]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Xidian's revenue has shown rapid growth, with figures of 399 million yuan, 442 million yuan, 546 million yuan, and 335 million yuan from 2021 to the first nine months of 2024, driven by increased demand in the downstream industry [6]. - The company's revenue from probe testing equipment has consistently accounted for nearly 95% of its total revenue [5]. - The market share of Xidian in mainland China has increased from 19.98% in 2021 to 25.70% in 2023 [7]. Group 4: Market Opportunities - The global semiconductor industry is undergoing a significant shift, with a notable portion of new semiconductor wafer plants being established in mainland China [8]. - The domestic semiconductor equipment market has substantial room for growth, with current localization rates of 16.4% for front-end equipment and 13.2% for back-end equipment [9]. - Xidian plans to raise 545 million yuan through its IPO to invest in R&D and expand its production capacity, aiming to enhance its market presence and product offerings [10].