来源：环球时报 【环球时报特约记者 陈立非】因为美国"本土制造"的要求，近年台积电持续扩大对美投资，赴美国亚 利桑那州设置晶圆厂。不过台媒援引加拿大科技新闻网站Wccftech的报道称，最新统计显示，美国厂的 扩张反而严重损害了台积电的利润，由于当地生产成本居高不下，让晶圆的毛利率与在台湾相比大幅缩 水。 台湾《工商时报》1月5日报道称，根据相关数据，台积电台湾晶圆厂每片晶圆的人力成本约1800美元， 美国晶圆厂则高达3600美元，整整高出一倍。晶圆折旧方面的差距更为惊人，"晶圆折旧"指的是晶圆厂 建设与设备投资在使用年限内的成本摊提。台湾厂每片晶圆折旧费用约1500美元，美国厂却高达7289美 元，是台湾厂的4倍多。台湾晶圆厂单片晶圆毛利率约62%，而受人力成本和折旧费用影响，美国晶圆 厂毛利率仅约8%，几乎只剩台湾厂的1/8。 台湾网络媒体"风传媒"报道称，美国晶圆厂产能规模与产能利用率相对较低，若美国的晶圆厂采用相同 制程技术，但产量仅为台湾厂的1/4，那么每一片在美国生产的晶圆，实际上都必须背负更高的"房贷 式"成本。 台湾中时新闻网称，人力成本同样是一大挑战。台积电在美国晶圆厂的用人选择只有两种：聘 ...

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector is experiencing a bullish trend driven by AI, with significant capital inflow and optimistic growth forecasts for domestic chip manufacturers, particularly highlighted by the upgrade of Cambricon's target price by Goldman Sachs, indicating a potential upside of nearly 50% [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On August 25, the chip ETF fund (159599) opened with a price increase of over 5%, reflecting strong market enthusiasm with 18 million shares subscribed within the first half hour [1]. - Key stocks in the sector saw substantial gains, with Haiguang Information rising over 14%, and other notable increases from companies like Cambricon and Chipone [1]. Group 2: Investment Drivers - Goldman Sachs raised its target price for Cambricon due to increased capital expenditure forecasts for Chinese cloud services, predicting a 23% and 17% increase for 2025 and 2026 respectively, with year-on-year growth of 86% and 13% [2]. - The release of DeepSeek's new model, optimized for next-generation domestic chips, and a planned investment of 4.5 billion yuan in AI R&D over the next three years further support the bullish outlook [2]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The semiconductor industry is expected to continue its optimistic growth trajectory, with a focus on storage, power, foundry, ASIC, and SoC performance as the third quarter approaches [3]. - The domestic semiconductor supply chain is accelerating localization, presenting opportunities for companies involved in mature processes and specialized technologies, as well as for domestic semiconductor equipment and materials firms [3]. Group 4: Historical Performance - The CSI Chip Industry Index has shown a strong performance since 2016, with a total increase of 182%, outperforming other indices during the same period [4]. - As of August 22, 2025, the index's valuation stands at 102 times PE-TTM, indicating a potential 22% upside to its historical peak [4].

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by AI and optimistic forecasts for 2025, despite ongoing supply chain risks [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - Semiconductor stocks surged today, with Shanghai Hejing and Cambrian Technology hitting the daily limit, and Shengke Communication rising over 14% [1] - The storage sector is expected to see a continuous increase in contract prices in Q3 2025, with leading companies projected to report clear quarter-on-quarter growth [1] Group 2: Company Performance and Opportunities - Companies in the power analog sector are showing signs of market recovery, with impressive growth rates reported in Q2 [1] - Leading wafer foundries are initiating price increases, with optimistic performance outlooks for Q2 and Q3, and expected high utilization rates in Q3 [1] - AISoC chip companies are benefiting from the increasing penetration of AI hardware, with high growth reflected in Q1 and Q2 results, and a positive outlook due to upcoming AI glasses releases [1] - ASIC companies are gradually showing revenue growth, supported by Deepseek's entry into the market [1] - The CIS sector is experiencing increased demand driven by smart vehicle needs and new flagship smartphone releases [1] Group 3: Industry Trends - The equipment and materials sector is seeing strong performance from leading manufacturers in Q1 2025 and parts of Q2, with accelerated resource integration driven by a new wave of mergers and acquisitions [1] - The focus on localizing the semiconductor supply chain is prompting investors to consider opportunities in mature processes and specialty technologies at SMIC, as well as the development of domestic semiconductor equipment and materials companies [2]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector is experiencing a significant rally, driven by anticipation surrounding the release of DeepSeek-R2, with key stocks like Cambricon Technologies seeing substantial gains [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Major stock indices continued to rise, with the semiconductor ETF (159995) up by 3.17% as of 13:30 [1] - Notable gains among component stocks include Cambricon up 20.00%, Haiguang Information up 3.84%, and SMIC up 2.73% [1] - Other stocks such as Northern Huachuang, Zhaoyi Innovation, and OmniVision also experienced slight increases [1] Group 2: Anticipation of DeepSeek-R2 - The expected release window for DeepSeek-R2 is between August 15 and August 30, 2025, which has heightened market expectations following the release of ChatGPT-5 [1] - Cambricon, once a market benchmark in A-shares, surged to its daily limit amid rumors surrounding DeepSeek-R2 [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Jin Yuan Securities highlights three main investment themes in the context of accelerating domestic semiconductor supply chain localization: 1. Focus on SMIC's growth opportunities in mature processes and specialty technologies 2. Attention to the development opportunities for domestic semiconductor equipment and materials companies 3. Monitoring the synergistic effects brought by supply chain localization among domestic chip design companies [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of the U.S. government's decision to impose a 100% tariff on imported semiconductor chips not produced domestically, highlighting the challenges and developments in the semiconductor industry, particularly in relation to major companies like Apple and Tesla [2][3]. Group 1: U.S. Semiconductor Policy - On August 6, U.S. President Trump announced a 100% tariff on imported semiconductor chips not produced in the U.S., although specific details and definitions of "American-made" chips remain unclear [2]. - Since 2020, the U.S. has announced over 130 semiconductor manufacturing projects totaling $600 billion, indicating a significant push towards domestic production [4]. Group 2: Company Developments - Apple has confirmed that Samsung Electronics will supply chips produced at a factory in Texas for its products, including the iPhone [3]. - Tesla signed a $16.5 billion agreement with Samsung to procure chips, with plans for Samsung's Texas factory to produce the next-generation AI6 chip for Tesla [3]. - Analysts predict that Samsung's foundry business will receive new orders for image sensor chips for Apple's iPhone 18s and Tesla by 2026 [3]. Group 3: Industry Challenges - The semiconductor supply chain is complex, and achieving complete self-sufficiency in any country is challenging, with most only able to achieve partial self-sufficiency [4]. - Despite over $400 billion in investments through subsidies and tax incentives since 2022 to boost chip manufacturing, the establishment of chip factories in the U.S. has faced difficulties, with TSMC's U.S. factory only recently beginning production [4].