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棕榈油:价格归位,春之序章豆油:旧倦尽散,共赴新光
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-02-13 02:20
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report presents the latest data on the fundamentals of the oil and fat industry, including futures prices, trading volumes, open interests, spot prices, basis, and price spreads of palm oil, soybean oil, and rapeseed oil. It also includes macro and industry news, such as investigations into the Fed Chair, palm oil price and export policies in Malaysia, and crop production forecasts in the US, Brazil, and Argentina [1][2][3][4][5] 3. Summary of Relevant Catalogs Fundamentals Tracking - **Futures Prices**: Palm oil futures closed at 8,782 yuan/ton during the day session with a -1.39% decline and 8,798 yuan/ton at night with a 0.18% increase; soybean oil futures closed at 8,082 yuan/ton during the day with a -0.35% decline and 8,106 yuan/ton at night with a 0.30% increase; rapeseed oil futures closed at 9,047 yuan/ton during the day with a -0.92% decline and 9,093 yuan/ton at night with a 0.51% increase. The Malaysian palm oil futures closed at 4,037 ringgit/ton during the day with a -0.57% decline and 4,044 ringgit/ton at night with a 0.17% increase. The CBOT soybean oil futures closed at 57.90 cents/pound with a 0.70% increase [1] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of palm oil futures was 328,615 lots with an increase of 37,882 lots, and the open interest was 400,972 lots with a decrease of 16,264 lots. The trading volume of soybean oil futures was 209,635 lots with an increase of 18,360 lots, and the open interest was 651,133 lots with a decrease of 12,182 lots. The trading volume of rapeseed oil futures was 131,858 lots with a decrease of 18,765 lots, and the open interest was 251,961 lots with a decrease of 8,435 lots [1] - **Spot Prices**: The spot price of 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong was 8,900 yuan/ton with a decrease of 50 yuan/ton; the spot price of first - grade soybean oil in Guangdong was 8,610 yuan/ton with an increase of 20 yuan/ton; the spot price of fourth - grade imported rapeseed oil in Guangxi was 10,070 yuan/ton with no change. The FOB price of Malaysian palm oil was 1,075 dollars/ton with a decrease of 5 dollars/ton [1] - **Basis**: The basis of palm oil in Guangdong was 118 yuan/ton; the basis of soybean oil in Guangdong was 528 yuan/ton; the basis of rapeseed oil in Guangxi was 1,023 yuan/ton [1] - **Price Spreads**: The spread between rapeseed oil and palm oil futures was 265 yuan/ton; the spread between soybean oil and palm oil futures was - 700 yuan/ton; the 5 - 9 spread of palm oil was 14 yuan/ton; the 5 - 9 spread of soybean oil was 60 yuan/ton; the 5 - 9 spread of rapeseed oil was 23 yuan/ton [1] Macro and Industry News - The US Treasury Secretary agreed to an investigation of Fed Chair Powell by the Senate Banking Committee [2] - Malaysia raised the reference price of crude palm oil in March but kept the export tax rate at 9%. From February 1 - 10, 2026, the palm oil production in Malaysia decreased by 7.58% compared to the same period last month, and the export volume decreased by 16.1% [3][4] - The USDA's 102nd Agricultural Outlook Forum will be held on February 19th, focusing on agricultural trade policies under the "Trump Paradigm" [4] - Brazil's 2025/26 soybean production is estimated to be 1.7798 billion tons, and the export volume is expected to be 1.122 billion tons. Argentina's 2025/26 soybean production is estimated to be around 48 - 48.5 million tons [4][5] - From February to April 2026, the probability of La Nina turning into ENSO - neutral is 60%, and the neutral state is expected to last until the Northern Hemisphere summer [5] Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of palm oil and soybean oil is -1 [6]
期棉收高 因出口销售数据向好
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 01:35
(来源:锦桥纺织网) 来源:锦桥纺织网 ICE公布数据显示,截至2月11日,ICE可交割的2号期棉合约库存为102232包,前一日为99096包。 汇市:美元指数上涨。股市:纽约股市三大股指显著上涨。油市:国际油价微涨。 二、现货 12日CotlookA指数73.55美分/磅,涨25点。 ICE交投最活跃的5月棉花期货合约上涨0.29美分或0.45%,结算价报64.33美分/磅。 美国农业部(USDA)周四公布的出口销售报告显示,2月5日止当周,当前年度美棉出口销售净增23.1万 包,较前周减少8%,较前四周均值减少23%。下一年度美棉出口销售净增5.09万包。 PriceFuturesGroup的副总裁JackScoville表示:"最新公布的棉花出口销售数据表现还不错,这帮助支撑 棉价。" 在谈到短期展望时,堪萨斯州的大宗商品分析师SidLove表示:"我认为情况会保持平稳,但我预计在作 物播种之前,会有短暂的支撑,之后我们将关注厄尔尼诺现象如何发展。" 美国气候预测中心(CPC)表示,2026年2-4月,拉尼娜现象转为厄尔尼诺南方涛动中性状态(ENSO- neutral)的概率为60%,且中性状态预计将 ...