2号期棉合约
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期棉上涨 因美元走软且出口销售强劲
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-21 04:44
Group 1: Futures Market - Cotton futures on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) rose due to a slight decline in the dollar and a positive export sales report, with the most active May cotton futures contract increasing by 1.49 cents or 2.32%, settling at 65.63 cents per pound [1] - The dollar's decline made cotton priced in dollars more attractive to overseas buyers, potentially boosting export demand [2] - The U.S. Supreme Court's ruling against the Trump administration's tariff policy may alleviate financial pressure on cotton farmers, supporting export demand and cotton prices [3] Group 2: Export Sales - The USDA reported that for the week ending February 12, U.S. cotton export sales net increased by 466,300 bales, marking a new annual high for the market, which is a 102% increase from the previous week and a 70% increase from the four-week average [3] - The next year's U.S. cotton export sales net increased by 33,100 bales [3] Group 3: Inventory and Market Sentiment - As of February 19, ICE reported that the deliverable stock of the No. 2 cotton contract increased to 119,457 bales, up from 117,075 bales the previous trading day [4] - Market sentiment is positive as all selling pressure has dissipated ahead of the March cotton delivery period [4] Group 4: Current Market Indices - The Cotlook A Index was reported at 73.70 cents per pound, an increase of 15 points [5]
期棉收高 因出口销售数据向好
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 01:35
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that cotton futures prices are supported by decent export sales data, with the May cotton futures contract rising by 0.29 cents or 0.45% to settle at 64.33 cents per pound [1] - The USDA reported a net increase of 231,000 bales in U.S. cotton export sales for the week ending February 5, which is an 8% decrease from the previous week and a 23% decrease from the four-week average [1] - PriceFuturesGroup's vice president noted that the latest cotton export sales data is encouraging, contributing to the support of cotton prices [1] Group 2 - As of February 11, the ICE deliverable stock of the No. 2 cotton contract was 102,232 bales, up from 99,096 bales the previous day [2] - The Cotlook A Index on February 12 was reported at 73.55 cents per pound, an increase of 25 points [3]
期棉收高 受助于技术性买盘
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 01:50
Group 1: Futures Market - On December 10, ICE cotton futures rose, supported by technical buying, with the most active March cotton futures contract increasing by 0.26 cents or 0.41%, settling at 64.12 cents per pound [1] - The USDA's December supply and demand report indicated a 1% increase in U.S. cotton production to 14.3 million bales, due to upward adjustments in production estimates for the southeastern U.S. and Delta regions [1] - Global cotton production for the 2025/26 season is estimated at 119.79 million bales, slightly down from the previous estimate of 120.08 million bales [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The ICE deliverable 2 cotton contract inventory remained stable at 13,971 bales as of December 9 [3] - The Cotlook A Index on December 10 was reported at 73.95 cents per pound, an increase of 25 points [4] - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut is expected to support consumer spending, which may boost demand for cotton and textile products [2]
新棉超预期丰产 棉价或继续向上将触发套保压力
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-01 00:07
Group 1 - The main cotton futures contract closed at 13,725 CNY/ton, with a weekly decline in open interest by 1,643 contracts [1] - During the week of November 24-27, cotton futures opened at 13,480 CNY/ton, reaching a high of 13,745 CNY/ton and a low of 13,465 CNY/ton, resulting in a weekly change of 1.89% [1] - As of November 25, the ICE deliverable inventory of No. 2 cotton contracts remained unchanged at 20,344 bales [2] Group 2 - The domestic import volume for the 2024/25 season is expected to be low, with the same import policy likely to continue into the 2025/26 season [4] - U.S. wholesalers of apparel and fabric have slightly increased their inventory, while retailers are primarily reducing stock; China's cotton exports to Southeast Asia and the U.S. and Europe remain stable, with minimal tariff impact [4] - The USDA's November report raised expectations for increased production in the external market, leading to a weaker external market and a rebound in U.S. cotton contracts due to low prices [4] Group 3 - As of November 27, the number of cotton futures warehouse receipts was 4,079, an increase of 90 from the previous trading day [3] - The domestic market is experiencing a traditional off-season in November that is not as weak as expected, with favorable downstream trading conditions [4] - However, the unexpectedly high yield of new cotton is creating significant hedging pressure within the price range of 13,700 to 14,000 CNY/ton, which may trigger further hedging pressure if prices continue to rise [4]