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期棉跌逾1% 但上行势头有望
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-27 01:22
Group 1: Futures Market - The Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) cotton futures fell over 1% on February 26, influenced by a stronger dollar, with the most active May cotton futures contract down 0.81 cents or 1.2%, settling at 65.36 cents per pound after reaching a new high since January 20 [1] - A commodity analyst from Kansas, Sid Love, noted that prices cannot rise or fall in a straight line, indicating periods of consolidation and volatility [1] Group 2: Price Outlook - As the growing season progresses, prices are expected to rise, with the upward momentum being more likely than downward risks [2] - If prices break through 67 cents per pound, there is potential for them to rise to 68 cents per pound or even higher [3] Group 3: Export Sales - The USDA reported that for the week ending February 19, U.S. cotton export sales increased by a net of 282,900 bales, with current year cotton export sales netting 253,200 bales, a decrease of 46% from the previous week and 12% lower than the four-week average [3] Group 4: Current Market Indicators - The Cotlook A Index on February 26 was reported at 76.45 cents per pound, an increase of 60 points [5]
期棉上涨 因美元走软且出口销售强劲
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-21 04:44
Group 1: Futures Market - Cotton futures on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) rose due to a slight decline in the dollar and a positive export sales report, with the most active May cotton futures contract increasing by 1.49 cents or 2.32%, settling at 65.63 cents per pound [1] - The dollar's decline made cotton priced in dollars more attractive to overseas buyers, potentially boosting export demand [2] - The U.S. Supreme Court's ruling against the Trump administration's tariff policy may alleviate financial pressure on cotton farmers, supporting export demand and cotton prices [3] Group 2: Export Sales - The USDA reported that for the week ending February 12, U.S. cotton export sales net increased by 466,300 bales, marking a new annual high for the market, which is a 102% increase from the previous week and a 70% increase from the four-week average [3] - The next year's U.S. cotton export sales net increased by 33,100 bales [3] Group 3: Inventory and Market Sentiment - As of February 19, ICE reported that the deliverable stock of the No. 2 cotton contract increased to 119,457 bales, up from 117,075 bales the previous trading day [4] - Market sentiment is positive as all selling pressure has dissipated ahead of the March cotton delivery period [4] Group 4: Current Market Indices - The Cotlook A Index was reported at 73.70 cents per pound, an increase of 15 points [5]
期棉收高 因出口销售数据向好
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 01:35
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that cotton futures prices are supported by decent export sales data, with the May cotton futures contract rising by 0.29 cents or 0.45% to settle at 64.33 cents per pound [1] - The USDA reported a net increase of 231,000 bales in U.S. cotton export sales for the week ending February 5, which is an 8% decrease from the previous week and a 23% decrease from the four-week average [1] - PriceFuturesGroup's vice president noted that the latest cotton export sales data is encouraging, contributing to the support of cotton prices [1] Group 2 - As of February 11, the ICE deliverable stock of the No. 2 cotton contract was 102,232 bales, up from 99,096 bales the previous day [2] - The Cotlook A Index on February 12 was reported at 73.55 cents per pound, an increase of 25 points [3]
期棉收跌 市场静待USDA供需报告
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-07 04:12
Futures Market - On February 6, ICE cotton futures closed lower as market participants awaited the upcoming USDA supply and demand report for demand signals [1] - The most actively traded March cotton futures contract fell by 0.7 cents or 1.1%, settling at 61.06 cents per pound [1] - The March cotton contract has declined by 3.3% this week, primarily pressured by overall weakness in the commodity market and a strong dollar [2] Currency Market - The dollar index, which tracks the performance of the dollar against six currencies, fell by 0.34% on Friday but still rose by 0.5% for the week, potentially marking the largest weekly gain since early January [3] - The strengthening of the dollar was catalyzed by President Trump's nomination of Waller as Fed Chair, who is viewed as a hawkish figure not favoring significant rate cuts [3] - A stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for buyers holding other currencies [4] Commodity Market Sentiment - The overall commodity market remains weak, with Jim Nunn, a manager at a Tennessee cotton brokerage, stating that there are currently no positive factors in the market [5] - The Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures have risen for four consecutive days due to optimistic demand prospects [5] - Nunn indicated that this situation may lead farmers to plant more soybeans and fewer cotton crops, suggesting a trend where more farmers may abandon cotton planting in favor of soybeans next year [5] USDA Report Expectations - Investors are awaiting the USDA supply and demand report, which is expected to provide future demand forecasts for cotton [5] - The USDA's export sales report showed a net increase of 249,800 bales in U.S. cotton export sales for the week ending January 29, a 23% increase from the previous week but a 5% decrease from the four-week average [5] - Net export sales to China increased by 36,600 bales, while next year's net export sales were 114,900 bales [5] Spot Market - On February 6, the Cotlook A Index was reported at 72.80 cents per pound, down 40 points [8]
期棉收低 但空头回补及软商品和油价涨势提供支撑
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 02:04
Group 1 - The cotton futures on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) closed lower on December 29, but remained close to the multi-week high reached the previous week, supported by short covering, a general rise in soft commodity markets, and increasing oil prices [1] - The ICE March cotton contract fell by 0.14 cents or 0.22%, settling at 64.35 cents per pound, after reaching its highest level since December 3 the previous Friday [1] - According to StoneX's risk management expert, there appears to be some short covering, but no specific factors are driving this rebound; it seems to be forming a new upward trend [1] Group 2 - As of December 16, speculators increased their net short positions in ICE cotton futures by 1,822 contracts to 60,573 contracts, indicating a cautiously optimistic sentiment [1] - International oil prices rose by over $1 on the same day, making cotton more attractive as a substitute for polyester fibers, which have become more expensive [1] - The overall soft commodity market saw small increases in cocoa, raw sugar, and coffee futures [2] Group 3 - The National Bureau of Statistics of China reported that the national cotton planting area for 2025 is projected to be 4,468.7 million mu, an increase of 2.113 million mu or 5.0% from the previous year; the yield is expected to be 148.6 kg/mu, up by 3.8 kg/mu or 2.6%; and the total production is forecasted at 6.641 million tons, an increase of 477,000 tons or 7.7% [2] - In the grain market, Chicago wheat prices fell on December 29 due to ample global wheat supply putting pressure on the market [3] - The Cotlook A Index on December 29 was reported at 74.50 cents per pound, an increase of 50 points [4]
期棉收跌 因美元小幅反弹
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-13 05:07
Group 1: Futures Market - On December 12, ICE cotton futures declined due to a slight rebound in the dollar and weak export demand, with the March cotton contract settling at 63.83 cents per pound, down 0.14 cents or 0.22% [1] - The USDA reported a net increase of 187,600 bales in U.S. cotton export sales for the week ending November 13, a decrease of 36% from the previous week but a 10% increase compared to the four-week average, with net sales to China increasing by 5,700 tons [1] - The USDA's supply and demand report predicted a 1% increase in U.S. cotton production to 14.3 million bales, due to upward revisions in yield estimates from several states in the Southeast and Delta regions [1] Group 2: Inventory and Market Conditions - As of December 11, ICE deliverable stocks of the No. 2 cotton contract remained stable at 13,971 bales [2] - The Cotlook A Index was reported at 74.20 cents per pound on December 11, reflecting an increase of 25 points [3]
期棉收高 受助于技术性买盘
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 01:50
Group 1: Futures Market - On December 10, ICE cotton futures rose, supported by technical buying, with the most active March cotton futures contract increasing by 0.26 cents or 0.41%, settling at 64.12 cents per pound [1] - The USDA's December supply and demand report indicated a 1% increase in U.S. cotton production to 14.3 million bales, due to upward adjustments in production estimates for the southeastern U.S. and Delta regions [1] - Global cotton production for the 2025/26 season is estimated at 119.79 million bales, slightly down from the previous estimate of 120.08 million bales [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The ICE deliverable 2 cotton contract inventory remained stable at 13,971 bales as of December 9 [3] - The Cotlook A Index on December 10 was reported at 73.95 cents per pound, an increase of 25 points [4] - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut is expected to support consumer spending, which may boost demand for cotton and textile products [2]