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瓶片短纤数据日报-20260209
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2026-02-09 03:53
Group 1: Report Information - The report is the daily data report of bottle chips and staple fibers by Guomao Futures Research Institute, dated February 9, 2026 [1][2] Group 2: Price and Index Changes - PTA spot price decreased from 5100 to 5085, a decrease of 15 [2] - MEG domestic price decreased from 3649 to 3630, a decrease of 19 [2] - PTA closing price increased from 5144 to 5166, an increase of 22 [2] - MEG closing price decreased from 3745 to 3743, a decrease of 2 [2] - 1.4D direct - spun polyester staple fiber price increased from 6525 to 6535, an increase of 10 [2] - Staple fiber basis increased from 38 to 39, an increase of 1 [2] - 3 - 4 spread remained unchanged at - 80 [2] - Polyester staple fiber cash flow increased from 240 to 246, an increase of 6 [2] - 1.4D imitation large - chemical fiber price remained unchanged at 5300 [2] - The price difference between 1.4D direct - spun and imitation large - chemical fiber increased from 1225 to 1235, an increase of 10 [2] - East China water bottle chip price increased from 6196 to 6247, an increase of 51 [2] - Hot - filled polyester bottle chip price increased from 6196 to 6247, an increase of 51 [2] - Carbonated - grade polyester bottle chip price increased from 6296 to 6347, an increase of 51 [2] - Outer - market water bottle chip price remained unchanged at 835 [2] - Bottle chip spot processing fee increased from 613 to 683, an increase of 70 [2] - T32S pure polyester yarn price remained unchanged at 10700 [2] - T32S pure polyester yarn processing fee decreased from 4175 to 4165, a decrease of 10 [2] - Polyester - cotton yarn 65/35 45S price remained unchanged at 16800 [2] - Cotton 328 price decreased from 15640 to 15615, a decrease of 25 [2] - Polyester - cotton yarn profit increased from 1562 to 1565, an increase of 3 [2] - Primary three - dimensional hollow (with silicon) price decreased from 7300 to 7290, a decrease of 10 [2] - Hollow staple fiber 6 - 15D cash flow increased from 517 to 526 [2] - Primary low - melting - point staple fiber price remained unchanged at 7895 [2] Group 3: Market Conditions - Short fiber: The short - fiber main futures fell 16 to 6578. The price of polyester staple fiber production factories fluctuated slightly, the price of traders declined, downstream sporadic purchases were made, and the on - site transactions were few. The price of 1.56dtex*38mm semi - bright natural white (1.4D) polyester staple fiber in the East China market was 6370 - 6700 cash on the spot, tax - included self - pick - up; in the North China market, it was 6490 - 6820 cash on the spot, tax - included delivery; in the Fujian market, it was 6470 - 6750 cash on the spot, tax - included delivery [2] - Bottle chips: The mainstream negotiation price of polyester bottle chips in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets was 6210 - 6320 yuan/ton, with the average price remaining the same as the previous working day. The futures prices of PTA and bottle chips fluctuated slightly, the cost - side support was average, most of the supply - side offers remained, the market spot supply was tight, the downstream terminal demand was mainly for rigid needs, and the market negotiation focus was temporarily stable [2] Group 4: Industry Analysis - The commodity market declined significantly. PX maintained fundamental resilience during the high - level correction. Due to the Iranian geopolitical risk, the risk of crude oil prices still existed. The downstream PTA industry continued to be strong. The domestic PTA output in January was expected to reach a new high, and there was no plan to reduce production during the Spring Festival. With no new PTA production capacity throughout the year, the existing devices would operate at full capacity to match the growth of polyester demand, providing a solid demand background for PX. The PX supply side was still tight. The South Korean TDP device increased its load, and a PX factory in the Middle East was scheduled to shut down before February, with limited global effective production capacity release. The PX - mixed xylene toluene price difference remained at about 150 US dollars. In terms of the profit structure, although the PX - naphtha price difference fell to 335 US dollars/ton, it was still at a healthy level. Domestic PTA maintained high - level operation, domestic demand declined, and the production reduction of polyester factories had a limited negative feedback on PTA. The profit of bottle chips expanded, and the profit of short fibers declined [2] Group 5: Operating Rate and Sales - The direct - spun staple fiber load (weekly) increased from 86.77% to 88.84%, an increase of 2.07% [3] - The polyester staple fiber production and sales rate increased from 46.00% to 52.00%, an increase of 6.00% [3] - The polyester yarn startup rate (weekly) increased from 70.00% to 70.32%, an increase of 0.32% [3] - The recycled cotton - type load index (weekly) decreased from 54.81% to 55.44%, a decrease of 0.63% [3]
瓶片短纤数据日报-20260206
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2026-02-06 03:07
Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The commodity market has declined significantly. PX maintains fundamental resilience during its high - level correction. Due to the Iran geopolitical risk, the risk of crude oil prices still exists. The downstream PTA industry remains strong. China's PTA production in January is expected to reach a new high with no production cut plan for the Spring Festival. With no new PTA capacity throughout the year, existing facilities will operate at full capacity to meet the growing polyester demand, providing a solid demand base for PX. The PX supply remains tight, with the South Korean TDP plant increasing its load and a Middle - Eastern PX plant scheduled to shut down before February, resulting in limited global effective capacity release. The profit structure is still healthy. Domestic PTA maintains high - level operation, with domestic demand declining. The production cuts of polyester factories have a limited negative impact on PTA. Bottle chip profits expand, while staple fiber profits decline [2] Group 3: Summary by Indicators Price Indicators - PTA spot price dropped from 5140 to 5100, a decrease of 40. MEG domestic price fell from 3675 to 3649, a decrease of 26. PTA closing price decreased from 5218 to 5144, a decrease of 74. MEG closing price decreased from 3788 to 3745, a decrease of 43. The price of 1.4D direct - spun polyester staple fiber decreased from 6575 to 6525, a decrease of 50. The price of 1.4D imitation large - chemical fiber remained unchanged at 5300. The price difference between 1.4D direct - spun and imitation large - chemical fiber decreased from 1275 to 1225, a decrease of 50. The price of East China water bottle chips decreased from 6256 to 6196, a decrease of 60. The price of hot - filled polyester bottle chips decreased from 6256 to 6196, a decrease of 60. The price of carbonated - grade polyester bottle chips decreased from 6356 to 6296, a decrease of 60. The price of outer - market water bottle chips remained unchanged at 835. The price of T32S pure polyester yarn remained unchanged at 10700. The price of polyester - cotton yarn 65/35 45S remained unchanged at 16800. The price of cotton 328 decreased from 15660 to 15640, a decrease of 20. The price of primary three - dimensional hollow (silicon - containing) remained unchanged at 7300. The price of primary low - melting - point staple fiber remained unchanged at 7895 [2] Basis and Spread Indicators - Short - fiber basis increased from 12 to 38, an increase of 26. The 3 - 4 spread decreased from - 70 to - 80, a decrease of 10 [2] Cash - flow and Profit Indicators - Polyester staple fiber cash - flow increased from 240 to 246, an increase of 6. Bottle - chip spot processing fee decreased from 630 to 613, a decrease of 17. T32S pure polyester yarn processing fee increased from 4125 to 4175, an increase of 50. Polyester - cotton yarn profit increased from 1521 to 1562, an increase of 41. Hollow staple fiber 6 - 15D cash - flow increased from 474 to 517, an increase of 43 [2] Operating Rate and Sales - to - Production Ratio Indicators - Direct - spun staple fiber load (weekly) increased from 86.77% to 88.84%, an increase of 2.07%. Polyester staple fiber sales - to - production ratio decreased from 56.00% to 46.00%, a decrease of 10.00%. Polyester yarn operating rate (weekly) increased from 70.00% to 70.32%, an increase of 0.32%. Regenerated cotton - type load index (weekly) decreased from 54.81% to 55.44%, a decrease of 0.63% [3]
瓶片短纤数据日报-20260203
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2026-02-03 03:07
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The commodity market has declined significantly. PX maintains fundamental resilience during its high - level correction. Due to the geopolitical risks in Iran, there are still risks in crude oil prices. The downstream PTA industry remains strong, with China's PTA production in January expected to reach a new high, and there are no plans for Spring Festival production cuts. With no new PTA production capacity throughout the year, existing facilities will operate at full capacity to meet the growing polyester demand, providing a solid demand foundation for PX. The PX supply remains tight, with the South Korean TDP plant increasing its load and a Middle - Eastern PX plant scheduled to shut down before February, resulting in limited global effective production capacity release. The PX - mixed xylene toluene spread remains around $150. In terms of the profit structure, although the PX - naphtha spread has fallen to $335/ton, it remains at a healthy level. China's PTA maintains high - level operation, domestic demand has declined, and the production cuts by polyester factories have a limited negative impact on PTA. Bottle chip profits are expanding, while staple fiber profits are declining [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Indicators Price and Price Change - PTA spot prices dropped from 5280 to 5095, a decrease of 185; MEG domestic prices fell from 3835 to 3722, a decrease of 113; PTA closing prices decreased by 178 from 5270 to 5092; MEG closing prices dropped by 146 from 3913 to 3767; 1.4D direct - spun polyester staple fiber prices decreased by 140 from 6685 to 6545; short - fiber basis decreased by 5 from 23 to 18; the 3 - 4 spread increased by 28 from - 56 to - 28; polyester staple fiber cash flow increased by 6 from 240 to 246; the price of 1.4D imitation large - chemical fiber remained unchanged at 5300; the price difference between 1.4D direct - spun and imitation large - chemical fiber decreased by 140 from 1385 to 1245; East China water bottle chip prices decreased by 126 from 6309 to 6183; hot - filled polyester bottle chip prices decreased by 126 from 6308 to 6183; carbonated - grade polyester bottle chip prices decreased by 126 from 6409 to 6283; foreign - market water bottle chip prices decreased by 15 from 845 to 830; bottle chip spot processing fees increased by 70 from 510 to 580; T32S pure polyester yarn prices remained unchanged at 10720; T32S pure polyester yarn processing fees increased by 140 from 4035 to 4175; polyester - cotton yarn 65/35 45S prices remained unchanged at 16800; cotton 328 prices decreased by 125 from 15695 to 15570; polyester - cotton yarn profits increased by 140 from 1435 to 1575; the price of primary three - dimensional hollow (with silicon) remained unchanged at 7300; the cash flow of hollow staple fiber 6 - 15D increased by 196 from 301 to 497; the price of primary low - melting - point staple fiber remained unchanged at 7895 [2] Market Conditions - Short - fiber: The main short - fiber futures dropped 240 to 6484. In the spot market, the prices of polyester staple fiber production plants were stable with a slight decline, and traders' prices followed the futures price decline. Downstream buyers replenished stocks at low prices, but there was not much trading volume. The price of 1.56dtex*38mm semi - bright (1.4D) polyester staple fiber was 6410 - 6690 in the East China market (cash on delivery, tax - included, self - pick - up), 6530 - 6810 in the North China market (cash on delivery, tax - included, delivered), and 6550 - 6750 in the Fujian market (cash on delivery, tax - included, delivered) - Bottle chip: The mainstream negotiation price of polyester bottle chips in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets was 6200 - 6350 yuan/ton, with the average price dropping 75 yuan/ton compared to the previous working day. The PTA and bottle chip futures prices fluctuated weakly, the cost - side support weakened, most supply - side quotes were lowered, the market spot supply was tight, and downstream end - user demand was mainly for rigid needs, causing the market negotiation center to shift down [2] Operating Rate and Production and Sales - The direct - spun staple fiber load (weekly) decreased by 2.07% from 88.84% to 86.77% - Polyester staple fiber production and sales decreased by 21% from 65% to 44% - The polyester yarn startup rate (weekly) increased by 0.32% from 70% to 70.32% - The recycled cotton - type load index (weekly) decreased by 0.63% from 54.81% to 55.44% [3]