1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - PTA: The PTA futures oscillated and declined yesterday, with a general negotiation atmosphere in the spot market and a slightly stronger spot basis. The processing margin remains at a low level. It is expected that the PTA spot price will mainly oscillate following the cost side in the short term, and the spot basis will fluctuate within a range. Attention should be paid to the changes in the equipment [5]. - MEG: On Tuesday, the price center of ethylene glycol oscillated and declined, and the spot basis continued to decline. In the long - term, there is still a pressure of inventory accumulation for ethylene glycol. In the near - term, it has improved due to a reduction in some supplies. The short - term price center of ethylene glycol is expected to operate weakly, and there is continuous upward pressure. Attention should be paid to the outflow speed of warehouse receipts in northern Jiangsu [7]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1. Previous Day's Review No content provided in the given text. 3.2. Daily Tips - **PTA**: - Fundamental: Futures oscillated down, spot negotiation general, basis slightly stronger, some polyester factories made bids, and a major supplier sold goods. Transaction prices and basis for different months were given [5]. - Basis: Spot price was 4605, 01 - contract basis was - 65, with the futures price higher than the spot price [6]. - Inventory: PTA factory inventory was 3.97 days, a decrease of 0.12 days compared to the previous period [6]. - Market: The 20 - day moving average was upward, and the closing price was above the 20 - day moving average [6]. - Main Position: Net short position, changing from long to short [5]. - Expectation: Short - term price to follow cost side, basis to fluctuate, focus on equipment changes [5]. - **MEG**: - Fundamental: Price center oscillated down, basis declined, night - session opened slightly higher and then weakened, and some traders actively bought far - month futures [7]. - Basis: Spot price was 3955, 01 - contract basis was 48, with the spot price higher than the futures price [8]. - Inventory: The inventory in East China was 62.2 tons, an increase of 5.7 tons compared to the previous period [8]. - Market: The 20 - day moving average was downward, and the closing price was below the 20 - day moving average [8]. - Main Position: Net short position, with short positions decreasing [7]. - Expectation: Long - term inventory pressure exists, short - term price to operate weakly, focus on supply changes and warehouse receipt outflow [7]. 3.3. Today's Focus No content provided in the given text. 3.4. Fundamental Data - **PTA Supply - Demand Balance Sheet**: Data from January 2024 to December 2025 were presented, including PTA capacity, production, import, total supply, polyester production, consumption, and inventory. For example, in November 2025, PTA capacity was 9472, production was 638, and the ending inventory was 296 [10]. - **Ethylene Glycol Supply - Demand Balance Sheet**: Data from January 2024 to December 2025 were provided, covering EG production, import, total supply, polyester consumption, and port inventory. For instance, in November 2025, EG production was 58, total supply was 244, and port inventory change was 12 [12]. - **Price and Margin Data**: On November 18, 2025, compared with November 17, the prices of various products such as naphtha, PX, PTA, and MEG changed, and the margins of PTA processing, MEG production, and polyester products also changed. For example, the PTA processing fee decreased from 439.48 yuan/ton to 31.70 yuan/ton [13].

黑色建材日报 2025-11-19 钢材 黑色建材组 陈张滢 从业资格号：F03098415 交易咨询号：Z0020771 0755-23375161 chenzy@wkqh.cn 郎志杰 从业资格号：F3030112 交易咨询号：Z0023202 0755-23375125 langzj@wkqh.cn 万林新 从业资格号：F03133967 0755-23375162 wanlx@wkqh.cn 铁矿石 【行情资讯】 昨日铁矿石主力合约（I2601）收至 792.00 元/吨，涨跌幅+0.44 %（+3.50），持仓变化-10108 手，变化 至 47.13 万手。铁矿石加权持仓量 90.80 万手。现货青岛港 PB 粉 795 元/湿吨，折盘面基差 53.55 元/ 吨，基差率 6.33%。 消息方面，西芒杜铁矿项目于 11 月 11 日正式投产，但爬产仍需时间，预计年内增量 有限。 【策略观点】 供给方面，最新一期海外铁矿石发运量回升明显。发运端，澳洲、巴西发运量均有所反弹。主流矿山方面， 除 BHP 外其余三家发运均环比提升。非主流国家发运量有所增加，近端到港量减量较多，两周平滑后符合 节奏。需求方 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The steel demand has officially entered the off - season, and there is still a risk of hot - rolled coil inventory. Future attention should be paid to the production reduction rhythm. With the implementation of the Fed's easing expectations and positive signals from the China - US meeting, the market sentiment and capital environment are expected to improve, and the steel consumption end may gradually recover. In the short term, due to the impact of the cost side, the price center of finished products has slightly declined, and the demand is still weak, so the price will continue the weak shock trend. However, with the implementation of policies and changes in the macro - environment, future demand is expected to turn around [2]. - From the fundamental perspective of iron ore, affected by environmental protection restrictions and the decline in steel mill profits, the trend of declining hot - metal production continues, the demand side of iron ore continues to weaken, and the inventory pressure remains. In the short term, the ore price will run weakly, and attention should be paid to the support level of 750 - 760 yuan/ton [5]. - The black - sector pricing has recently returned to the fundamentals. The market is "attempting" a "negative feedback" transaction in the black sector, but this is considered a phased shock and emotional release with limited downside space. It is more cost - effective to look for callback positions to do long rather than short. The height after the callback depends on whether stimulus policies are introduced and their intensity [9][10]. - For industrial silicon, the supply and demand sides are weak, and the cost support is temporarily stable. It is expected that the price will consolidate and wait for new drivers. For polysilicon, the supply - demand pattern may improve marginally, but the short - term de - stocking range is expected to be limited. Attention should be paid to whether the upstream spot and futures prices can remain firm [14][16]. - For glass, the market lacks strong support from the supply - demand fundamentals, and the cost support for prices continues to weaken. It is expected that the price will continue to run weakly in the short term. For soda ash, the market has both long and short factors, and the price may continue the shock trend [19][21]. Summary by Related Catalogs Steel Products Market Quotes - The closing price of the rebar main contract was 3025 yuan/ton, down 19 yuan/ton (- 0.62%) from the previous trading day. The registered warehouse receipts decreased by 6380 tons to 100,612 tons, and the main contract positions decreased by 32 lots to 1.923701 million lots. The Tianjin aggregated price of rebar was 3210 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton, and the Shanghai aggregated price was 3190 yuan/ton, unchanged [1]. - The closing price of the hot - rolled coil main contract was 3242 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan/ton (- 0.30%) from the previous trading day. The registered warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 97,028 tons, and the main contract positions decreased by 19,179 lots to 1.326892 million lots. The Lecong aggregated price of hot - rolled coil was 3270 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton, and the Shanghai aggregated price was 3260 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan/ton [1]. Strategy Views - Rebar supply and demand both declined, and inventory continued to decline, showing a neutral performance overall. Hot - rolled coil demand declined significantly, with inventory accumulating against the season. Steel demand has entered the off - season, and the hot - rolled coil inventory risk remains. Future attention should be paid to the production reduction rhythm [2]. Iron Ore Market Quotes - The main contract of iron ore (I2601) closed at 763.00 yuan/ton, with a change of - 0.26% (- 2.00), and the positions decreased by 11,250 lots to 530,400 lots. The weighted positions were 963,000 lots. The spot price of PB fines at Qingdao Port was 775 yuan/wet ton, with a basis of 60.52 yuan/ton and a basis rate of 7.35% [4]. Strategy Views - On the supply side, the overseas iron ore shipment volume continued to decline. On the demand side, the daily average hot - metal production decreased, affected by environmental protection restrictions in Hebei and the decline in steel mill profits. The port inventory accumulation increased, and the steel mill inventory increased. Fundamentally, the demand for iron ore continues to weaken, and the inventory pressure remains. In the short term, the ore price will run weakly, and attention should be paid to the support level of 750 - 760 yuan/ton [5]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon Market Quotes - The main contract of manganese silicon (SM601) closed down 0.96% at 5764 yuan/ton. The spot price of 6517 manganese silicon in Tianjin was 5700 yuan/ton, with a conversion to the futures price of 5890 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, and a premium of 126 yuan/ton over the futures price. The main contract of ferrosilicon (SF601) closed down 1.79% at 5588 yuan/ton. The spot price of 72 ferrosilicon in Tianjin was 5550 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton from the previous day, and a discount of 12 yuan/ton to the futures price [8]. Strategy Views - In November, the black - sector pricing has returned to the fundamentals. The market is "attempting" a "negative feedback" transaction in the black sector, but this is considered a phased shock and emotional release with limited downside space. For manganese silicon, its fundamentals are still not ideal, and attention should be paid to the manganese ore end. For ferrosilicon, its supply - demand fundamentals have no obvious contradictions, and its operability is relatively low [9][10]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon Market Quotes - The main contract of industrial silicon (SI2601) closed at 9180 yuan/ton, down 1.18% (- 110). The weighted positions decreased by 13,304 lots to 426,734 lots. The spot price of 553 industrial silicon in East China was 9350 yuan/ton, unchanged, with a basis of 170 yuan/ton. The spot price of 421 was 9750 yuan/ton, unchanged, with a basis of - 230 yuan/ton [12]. - The main contract of polysilicon (PS2601) closed at 51,930 yuan/ton, down 3.33% (- 1790). The weighted positions increased by 11,791 lots to 234,183 lots. The average price of N - type granular silicon was 50.5 yuan/kg, the average price of N - type dense material was 51 yuan/kg, and the average price of N - type re - feeding material was 52.2 yuan/kg, all unchanged, with a basis of 270 yuan/ton [15]. Strategy Views - For industrial silicon, the supply and demand sides are weak, and the cost support is temporarily stable. It is expected that the price will consolidate and wait for new drivers. For polysilicon, the supply - demand pattern may improve marginally, but the short - term de - stocking range is expected to be limited. Attention should be paid to whether the upstream spot and futures prices can remain firm [14][16]. Glass and Soda Ash Market Quotes - The glass main contract closed at 1053 yuan/ton, down 1.50% (- 16). The North China large - plate price was 1110 yuan, unchanged, and the Central China price was 1140 yuan, unchanged. The weekly inventory of float glass sample enterprises was 63.136 million cases, down 2.654 million cases (- 4.03%). The top 20 long - position holders increased 55,903 long positions, and the top 20 short - position holders increased 66,853 short positions [18]. - The soda ash main contract closed at 1215 yuan/ton, down 0.90% (- 11). The heavy - soda price in Shahe was 1176 yuan, unchanged. The weekly inventory of soda ash sample enterprises was 1.7142 million tons, up 12,200 tons. The heavy - soda inventory was 899,600 tons, up 13,200 tons, and the light - soda inventory was 814,600 tons, down 1000 tons. The top 20 long - position holders reduced 31,273 long positions, and the top 20 short - position holders reduced 11,482 short positions [20]. Strategy Views - For glass, the market lacks strong support from the supply - demand fundamentals, and the cost support for prices continues to weaken. It is expected that the price will continue to run weakly in the short term. For soda ash, the market has both long and short factors, and the price may continue the shock trend [19][21].

Market Overview - U.S. stocks showed mixed performance with the Nasdaq Composite falling over 0.4% on Tuesday, while the Dow increased by 0.13% to 47,430.01 and the S&P 500 dropped 0.15% to 6,823.18 [1] - Energy shares rose by 0.9%, while information technology stocks decreased by 0.7% [1] Company Performance - Sea Ltd (NYSE:SE) shares increased by approximately 4% after reporting fiscal Q3 2025 results, with revenue rising 38.3% year-on-year to $5.99 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $5.65 billion. However, earnings per share were 59 cents, missing the consensus forecast of 77 cents [2] Commodity Market - Oil prices increased by 1.1% to $60.76, gold rose by 0.7% to $4,151.60, silver went up by 1.4% to $51.030, while copper fell by 0.3% to $5.0915 [5] European Market - European shares experienced gains, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 rising by 0.8%, Spain's IBEX 35 Index gaining 0.8%, London's FTSE 100 increasing by 0.8%, Germany's DAX 40 up by 0.2%, and France's CAC 40 climbing by 0.9% [6] Asian Market - Asian markets closed mixed, with Japan's Nikkei 225 down by 0.14%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng up by 0.18%, China's Shanghai Composite declining by 0.39%, and India's BSE Sensex rising by 0.40% [7] Notable Stock Movements - MSP Recovery Inc (NASDAQ:MSPR) shares surged 104% to $0.65 after a previous decline of 15% [9] - Quoin Pharmaceuticals Ltd – ADR (NASDAQ:QNRX) shares increased by 51% to $12.47 following the achievement of target loadings for proprietary delivery technologies [9] - Surmodics Inc (NASDAQ:SRDX) shares rose by 50% to $41.08 after a court denied the FTC's bid to block an acquisition [9] - Vor Biopharma Inc (NASDAQ:VOR) shares dropped 48% to $9.87 due to a public offering announcement of $100 million [9] - Salarius Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ:SLRX) shares fell 50% to $1.00 after announcing a $7 million public offering [9] - Outset Medical Inc (NASDAQ:OM) shares decreased by 42% to $7.04 after reporting worse-than-expected Q3 results and cutting FY25 sales guidance [9]

Core Insights - The article discusses the pervasive nature of market design in everyday life, illustrating how even simple choices, like breakfast, are influenced by complex market operations [2][3] - It highlights the transformation of markets from traditional matching systems to standardized commodity markets, using wheat and coffee as primary examples [4][6] Market Transformation - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange established a standardized grading system for wheat, allowing for anonymous and efficient trading, which eliminated the need for buyers to know the seller's identity [4][5] - The transition from a matching market to a commodity market increases market "thickness," enabling any buyer to purchase from any seller, thus enhancing efficiency [5] Coffee Market Evolution - The establishment of the Ethiopian Commodity Exchange in 2008 introduced an anonymous coffee grading system, allowing buyers to purchase coffee without knowing the supplier's identity [6][7] - The grading system incentivizes coffee farmers to harvest only ripe cherries, improving the overall quality of coffee available in the market [7] Market Dynamics - There exists a tension between commoditization and product differentiation, where sellers aim to attract buyers in a thick market while also wanting their products to stand out [8][9] - The article illustrates that while consumers may prefer standardized products for convenience, they also appreciate unique offerings that require more effort to find [9][10] Local Market Appeal - Farmers' markets are presented as a blend of matching and commodity markets, where buyers can connect with local sellers, enhancing the shopping experience [10]

Market Overview - U.S. stocks showed mixed trading, with the Nasdaq Composite falling over 50 points, while the Dow increased by 0.03% to 47,327.39 and the S&P 500 decreased by 0.09% to 6,790.33 [1] - Energy shares rose by 1.1%, while consumer staples stocks fell by 0.7% [1] Company Earnings - Cummins Inc (NYSE:CMI) reported third-quarter earnings of $5.59 per share, exceeding market expectations of $4.81 per share, with quarterly sales of $8.317 billion compared to expectations of $7.971 billion [2] Commodity Prices - Oil prices increased by 0.1% to $59.63, gold rose by 0.6% to $4,016.60, silver gained 0.6% to $48.300, and copper saw a slight increase of 0.1% to $4.9905 [5] European Market Performance - European shares were predominantly lower, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 declining by 0.3%, while Spain's IBEX 35 Index rose by 0.2% [6] Asian Market Performance - Asian markets closed mostly higher, with Japan's Nikkei 225 surging by 1.34% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng gaining 2.12% [7] Job Cuts Announcement - U.S.-based employers announced 153,074 job cuts in October, a significant increase from 54,064 in the previous month [8] Stock Movements - Baiya International Group Inc. (NASDAQ:BIYA) shares surged by 121% to $0.6032, while Forge Global Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:FRGE) increased by 68% to $43.83 following an acquisition agreement with Charles Schwab [9] - MingZhu Logistics Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:YGMZ) shares rose by 43% to $0.1801, while DIH Holding US, Inc. (NASDAQ:DHAI) shares dropped by 64% to $0.6608 [9] - ACV Auctions Inc. (NYSE:ACVA) shares fell by 37% to $5.13 after cutting its full-year sales guidance, and Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (NYSE:ASPN) decreased by 36% to $4.74 after lowering its full-year earnings and sales guidance [9]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - PTA: The spot market negotiation atmosphere is relatively dull, mostly by traders. The polyester factories are less active. The spot basis fluctuates within a range, and the market sentiment is wait - and - see. In the short term, the price is expected to fluctuate following the cost side. Pay attention to device changes [5]. - MEG: The price center of ethylene glycol has been continuously weakening, and the market negotiation is light. The supply is expected to be in surplus in the medium and long term, and the market sentiment is under pressure. It is expected that the price center of ethylene glycol will weaken in the near future. Pay attention to cost and device changes [7]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1. Previous Day's Review No relevant content provided. 3.2. Daily Tips - **PTA** - Fundamental: The PTA futures fluctuated and consolidated yesterday. The spot market negotiation atmosphere was average, and the spot basis loosened. The mainstream spot basis is at 01 - 75 [5]. - Basis: The spot price is 4525, and the 01 - contract basis is - 79, with the futures price at a premium. It is neutral [6]. - Inventory: The PTA factory inventory is 4.03 days, a decrease of 0.04 days compared to the previous period. It is bullish [6]. - Disk: The 20 - day moving average is upward, and the closing price is above the 20 - day moving average. It is bullish [6]. - Main position: The net short position is decreasing. It is bearish [6]. - **MEG** - Fundamental: On Tuesday, the price center of ethylene glycol continued to weaken, and the market negotiation was light. The overall sentiment in the market was weak. The spot basis of this week weakened to a premium of about 70 yuan/ton over the 01 contract. The overseas market price of ethylene glycol dropped significantly. It is neutral [7]. - Basis: The spot price is 3995, and the 01 - contract basis is 94, with the futures price at a discount. It is neutral [7]. - Inventory: The total inventory in the East China region is 49.8 tons, a decrease of 1.7 tons compared to the previous period. It is bearish [7]. - Disk: The 20 - day moving average is downward, and the closing price is below the 20 - day moving average. It is bearish [7]. - Main position: The main net short position is increasing. It is bearish [7]. 3.3. Today's Focus No relevant content provided. 3.4. Fundamental Data - **PTA Supply - Demand Balance Sheet**: It shows the PTA production capacity, load, output, import, total supply, polyester production, consumption, and other data from January 2024 to December 2025 [10]. - **Ethylene Glycol Supply - Demand Balance Sheet**: It shows the ethylene glycol production, import, total supply, polyester production, consumption, and other data from January 2024 to December 2025 [12]. - **Price**: It includes the prices and price changes of various products such as naphtha, p - xylene, PTA, ethylene glycol, and polyester on November 4 and November 3, 2025 [13]. - **Inventory Analysis**: It shows the inventory data of PTA, ethylene glycol, PET chips, and polyester products from 2020 to 2025 [41]. - **Polyester Upstream and Downstream Start - up Rates**: It shows the start - up rates of PTA, p - xylene, ethylene glycol, polyester factories, and Jiangsu and Zhejiang looms from 2020 to 2025 [52][56]. - **Profit**: It shows the profit data of PTA, ethylene glycol, and polyester products from 2020 to 2025 [60][62].

Market Performance - The US stock market indices opened higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.94%, S&P 500 up 1.05%, and Nasdaq up 1.35% as of 22:47 [1] - The Dow Jones reached 46,624.16, Nasdaq at 22,986.57, and S&P 500 at 6,733.85 [2] Technology Sector - Major US tech stocks saw collective gains, with Apple rising 4.12% to a record high of $262.68 per share, bringing its market capitalization to $3.91 trillion [2] - The iPhone 17 series showed strong early sales, outperforming the iPhone 16 series by 14%, with the basic model nearly doubling sales in China [2] Semiconductor Industry - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surged by 2.21%, reaching a historical high, with Micron Technology rising over 6% at one point [3] - Other semiconductor stocks like ON Semiconductor, AMD, and TSMC also experienced significant gains, with increases of over 4% [3] Chinese Market - The China Dragon Index rose over 2%, with Baosheng E-commerce leading with a 10.64% increase, followed by iQIYI and Kingsoft Cloud [4] - The FTSE China A50 Index futures saw a rise of 0.74% [4] Commodity Market - International gold prices reached new highs, with spot gold at $4,348 per ounce, reflecting a short-term increase of over 2% [4] - COMEX gold also rose by over 3%, with both spot and COMEX silver prices increasing by more than 2% [4] Economic Outlook - Market expectations are leaning towards a 25 basis point reduction in the Federal Reserve's benchmark interest rate to a range of 3.75% to 4.00% [6] - The US government shutdown has led to delays in the release of several economic data points, increasing market uncertainty [6]

Equity Market - The technology sector continues to show strong momentum, with a significant net inflow of 340 billion CNY in technology-themed ETFs in September, up from 413 billion CNY in August[18] - The total net inflow for industry and thematic ETFs reached a one-year high of 964 billion CNY in September, with notable increases in financial and real estate sectors[18] - The top net outflow was from the CSI 300 ETF, which saw a reduction of 146.46 billion CNY, as some investors sought structural opportunities near the 3900-point mark of the Shanghai Composite Index[12] Bond Market - Bond ETFs have gained popularity, with a net inflow of 921 billion CNY in September, primarily driven by the Sci-Tech bond ETFs[58] - Major banks net purchased 3302 billion CNY in interest rate bonds, while other banks showed net selling behavior[66] - Insurance companies increased their net purchases of long-term interest rate bonds to 2561 billion CNY, up from 2046 billion CNY in August[69] Commodity Market - Gold ETFs experienced a net inflow of 55.98 billion CNY in September, although this was lower than the monthly inflows seen from February to April 2025[73] - Domestic investors shifted their focus from gold to gold stocks, with gold stock ETFs seeing significant performance improvements[73] Market Sentiment - The margin trading balance increased by 1674.06 billion CNY in September, marking the highest level since 2019, indicating a sustained high risk appetite among investors[47] - Southbound trading reached a record high of 1726.53 billion CNY in September, with Alibaba contributing significantly to the net purchases in the retail sector[53]

Section 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Section 2: Core Views - A-share major indices generally declined this week, with only the Shanghai Composite Index slightly rising. The ChiNext and STAR 50 indices weakened significantly, falling more than 2%. The four stock index futures also declined collectively, with the CSI 500 being the most resilient. After the National Day holiday, the A-share market opened higher, but there was profit-taking and fear of high prices, leading to a significant adjustment on Friday [6][11]. - Treasury bond futures had mixed performances this week. The current bond market has a mix of bullish and bearish factors. The economic data shows a pattern of "strong supply and weak demand," and the foundation for the recovery of effective demand is not yet solid, which provides some support for the bond market. However, in the absence of incremental positive news, the market is sensitive to negative news, and it is expected that Treasury bond futures will continue to be in a weakly oscillating pattern in the short term [6]. - The commodity market still shows a pattern of weak crude oil and strong gold. Since crude oil and gold have a large weight in the commodity index, it is expected that the commodity index will continue to fluctuate widely [6]. - The widening of the US-Japan interest rate differential has increased the expectation of a US dollar rebound. The dovish stance of the Federal Reserve limits the significant upward space. Japan's new political party is implementing fiscal stimulus and maintaining a loose stance, putting short-term pressure on the Japanese yen. The euro's trend mainly follows the inverse fluctuation of the US dollar [6][10]. Section 3: Summary by Directory 3.1 This Week's Summary and Next Week's Allocation Recommendations Stocks - The CSI 300 declined by 0.51%, and the CSI 300 stock index futures declined by 0.63%. The A-share market had a good start after the National Day holiday, but then adjusted due to profit-taking. The recommendation is to buy on dips [6][11]. Bonds - The 10-year Treasury bond yield declined by 0.10%, with a weekly change of -0.18 BP. The main 10-year Treasury bond futures rose by 0.09%. The bond market is in a mixed situation, and the recommendation is to wait and see cautiously [6]. Commodities - The Wind Commodity Index rose by 0.76%, and the China Securities Commodity Futures Price Index rose by 0.94%. The commodity market has a pattern of weak crude oil and strong gold, and the recommendation is to mainly wait and see [6]. Foreign Exchange - The euro against the US dollar declined by 1.45%, and the euro against the US dollar 2512 contract declined by 1.51%. The US dollar is expected to rebound, the yen is under pressure, and the euro follows the US dollar's inverse trend. The recommendation is to wait and see cautiously [6][10]. 3.2 Important News and Events - China has taken steps in extraterritorial jurisdiction, including export controls on rare earths and related technologies and adding foreign entities to the unreliable entity list. China and Italy held the 12th Joint Meeting of the Governmental Committee, and Premier Li Qiang met with the President of the European Commission [13]. - The US Federal Reserve showed a willingness to cut interest rates further this year, but many officials were cautious due to inflation concerns. Hamas announced that the Gaza war had ended. The OECD raised the global economic growth forecast, and the US government shutdown continued [15]. 3.3 This Week's Domestic and International Economic Data - The US 1-year inflation expectation in September was 3.38%. The eurozone's retail sales month-on-month rate in August was 0.1%. Germany's industrial output month-on-month rate in August was -4.3%, and its trade surplus was 17.2 billion euros. France's trade deficit in August was 5.53 billion euros. Japan's trade surplus in August was 105.9 billion yen [16]. - The central bank's open market operations had a net withdrawal of 164.23 billion yuan this week [18]. 3.4 Next Week's Important Economic Indicators and Economic Events - Next week, important economic data such as China's September export and import year-on-year rates, Germany's September CPI month-on-month rate, and the US September NFIB small business confidence index will be released [79].