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AI将受困于人类数据
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-16 12:34
Core Insights - The article discusses the transition from the "human data era" to the "experience era" in artificial intelligence, emphasizing the need for AI to learn from first-hand experiences rather than relying solely on human-generated data [2][5][10] - Richard S. Sutton highlights the limitations of current AI models, which are based on second-hand experiences, and advocates for a new approach where AI interacts with its environment to generate original data [6][7][11] Group 1: Transition to Experience Era - The current large language models are reaching the limits of human data, necessitating a shift to real-time interaction with environments to generate scalable original data [7][10] - Sutton draws parallels between AI learning and human learning, suggesting that AI should learn through sensory experiences similar to how infants and athletes learn [6][8] - The experience era will require AI to develop world models and memory systems that can be reused over time, enhancing sample efficiency through high parallel interactions [3][6] Group 2: Decentralized Cooperation vs. Centralized Control - Sutton argues that decentralized cooperation is superior to centralized control, warning against the dangers of imposing single goals on AI, which can stifle innovation [3][12] - The article emphasizes the importance of diverse goals among AI agents, suggesting that a multi-objective ecosystem fosters innovation and resilience [3][12][13] - Sutton posits that human and AI prosperity relies on decentralized cooperation, which allows for individual goals to coexist and promotes beneficial interactions [12][14][16] Group 3: Future of AI Development - The development of fully intelligent agents will require advancements in deep learning algorithms that enable continuous learning from experiences [11][12] - Sutton expresses optimism about the future of AI, viewing the creation of superintelligent agents as a positive development for society, despite the long-term nature of this endeavor [10][11] - The article concludes with a call for humans to leverage their experiences and observations to foster trust and cooperation in the development of AI [17]
AI将受困于人类数据
腾讯研究院· 2025-06-16 09:26
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transition from the "human data era" to the "experience era" in artificial intelligence, emphasizing the need for AI to learn from first-hand experiences rather than relying solely on human-generated data [1][5][12]. Group 1: Transition to Experience Era - AI models currently depend on second-hand experiences, such as internet text and human annotations, which are becoming less valuable as high-quality human data is rapidly consumed [1][5]. - The marginal value of new data is declining, leading to diminishing returns despite the increasing scale of models, a phenomenon referred to as "scale barriers" [1][5]. - To overcome these limitations, AI must interact with its environment to generate first-hand experiences, akin to how infants learn through play or athletes make decisions on the field [1][5][8]. Group 2: Technical Characteristics of the Experience Era - In the experience era, AI agents need to operate continuously in real or high-fidelity simulated environments, using environmental feedback as intrinsic reward signals rather than human preferences [2][5]. - The development of reusable world models and memory systems is crucial, along with significantly improving sample efficiency through high parallel interactions [2][5]. Group 3: Philosophical and Governance Implications - The article highlights the superiority of decentralized cooperation over centralized control, warning against the dangers of imposing single objectives on AI, which mirrors historical attempts to control human behavior out of fear [2][5][18]. - A diverse ecosystem of multiple goals fosters innovation and resilience, reducing the risks of single points of failure and rigidity in AI governance [2][5][18]. Group 4: Future Perspectives - The evolution of AI is seen as a long-term journey requiring decades of development, with the success hinging on stronger continuous learning algorithms and an open, shared ecosystem [5][12]. - The article posits that the creation of superintelligent agents and their collaboration with humans will ultimately benefit the world, emphasizing the need for patience and preparation for this transformation [12].
强化学习之父:LLM主导只是暂时,扩展计算才是正解
量子位· 2025-06-10 02:23
Core Viewpoint - The dominance of large language models (LLMs) is temporary, and they will not remain at the forefront of technology in the next five to ten years [1][2]. Group 1: Current State of AI - Richard Sutton, a Turing Award winner and father of reinforcement learning, emphasizes that current AI models like ChatGPT rely on analyzing vast amounts of human-generated data [9]. - He argues that pursuing human-like thinking will only achieve "human-level" performance, and in fields like mathematics and science, the knowledge within human data is nearing its limits, making further innovation through mere imitation difficult [10][11]. Group 2: Future of AI Learning - Sutton believes AI must transition from relying on human data to acquiring "experience data" through first-person interactions with the world [13][14]. - He illustrates this with the example of AlphaGo's unconventional move against Lee Sedol, showcasing AI's potential for innovative thinking through experiential learning [14]. - The future of AI will belong to an "experience era," where agents learn from interactions, which exceeds the capabilities of current LLMs [18]. Group 3: Reinforcement Learning and Computational Power - Sutton states that the core path to the future of AI lies in reinforcement learning, which is centered around experiential learning [19]. - To fully leverage reinforcement learning, deep learning algorithms with continuous learning capabilities are essential [20]. - The support of large-scale computational power is crucial for expanding AI capabilities and meeting increasing performance demands [22][23]. Group 4: Decentralized Cooperation Among Agents - Sutton discusses the potential for decentralized cooperation among agents with different goals, suggesting that they can achieve mutual benefits through interaction [24]. - He critiques the calls for centralized control of AI, attributing such views to fear of the unknown, and advocates for embracing the diversity of individual goals to establish a cooperative order [26]. Group 5: The Design Era - Sutton introduces the concept of a "design era," where machines become increasingly life-like, yet emphasizes the fundamental differences between life and technology [29]. - He posits that the goal of developing AI is to achieve the ultimate design—creating agents capable of self-design, with humans acting as catalysts and creators in this process [29]. Group 6: Community Reactions - Sutton's statements have sparked intense discussions within the community, with supporters arguing that breakthroughs often arise from the unknown and that LLMs may be approaching their limits [30][31].
强化学习之父Richard Sutton:人类数据耗尽,AI正在进入“经验时代”!
AI科技大本营· 2025-06-06 10:18
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that true intelligence in AI should stem from experience rather than pre-set human data and knowledge, marking a shift towards an "Era of Experience" in AI development [5][16]. Summary by Sections Introduction to the Era of Experience - The current era in AI is characterized by a transition from reliance on human-generated data to a focus on experiential learning, where AI systems learn through interaction with the world [9][16]. Key Insights from Richard Sutton's Speech - Richard Sutton argues that genuine AI must have a dynamic data source that evolves with its capabilities, as static datasets will become inadequate [6][9]. - He highlights that the essence of intelligence lies in the ability to predict and control sensory inputs, which is fundamental to AI and intelligence [13]. The Learning Process - The learning process in both humans and animals is based on interaction with the environment, where actions determine the information received, leading to a deeper understanding [10][11]. - Sutton illustrates that AI should emulate this learning process by engaging with the world to generate new data and enhance its capabilities [10][12]. Transition from Human Data to Experience - The article outlines a timeline of AI evolution, indicating that the current "Human Data Era" is nearing its end, paving the way for the "Experience Era" where AI learns through real-world interactions [14][16]. - Sutton emphasizes that the future of AI lies in its ability to continuously learn from experiences, which is essential for unlocking the full potential of the "Experience Era" [17]. Decentralized Cooperation - The concept of "decentralized cooperation" is introduced as a framework for understanding social organization, where multiple agents pursue their own goals while collaborating for mutual benefit [24][25]. - Sutton argues that human prosperity and the future of AI should be built on this foundation of decentralized cooperation rather than centralized control [27][28]. Conclusion - The article concludes by encouraging a shift in perspective towards viewing interactions between humans and AI through the lens of decentralized cooperation versus centralized control, which could provide valuable insights into future developments in AI [28].