Group 1 - The report highlights that the initial adjustments during the main upward phases of A-shares in 2015, 2017, and 2020 typically saw an average adjustment period of 11 trading days, with an average decline of nearly 5% for the overall market and a 20% pullback in popular sectors [5][28][32] - The report indicates that the current adjustment has lasted for 6 trading days with a decline of 2.35%, and popular sectors have experienced a pullback of 28.5%, suggesting that the adjustment is nearing completion and a consolidation phase is beginning [5][8][66] - The report suggests that the main upward phase of A-shares is characterized by a significant influx of household deposits into the market, which has been a driving force behind the current upward trend [15][17] Group 2 - The report outlines that the adjustment in 2015 was primarily driven by regulatory warnings and weak earnings reports, leading to a decline in market sentiment [33][36] - In 2017, the adjustment was influenced by disappointing macroeconomic data and external shocks, such as credit rating downgrades, which affected investor confidence [51][52] - The 2020 adjustment was marked by a significant outflow of northbound capital and the IPO of a major company, which created short-term liquidity pressure on the market [64][66] Group 3 - The report identifies key sectors to focus on during the current market phase, including interest rate-sensitive sectors (TMT, non-bank financials, and metals), sectors benefiting from a potential PPI recovery (chemicals, machinery, and consumer goods), and growth sectors that may see rotation (AI hardware, innovative pharmaceuticals, and defense) [8][66] - The report emphasizes that the style rotation in the market is contingent on fundamental performance, with growth sectors expected to continue leading, while a shift towards consumer and cyclical sectors may occur if earnings improve [7][8][66]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin is still in the process of rebounding, with potential for further upward movement after consolidation [1] - Many traders are anticipating a pullback and attempting to short Bitcoin, but the analyst is hesitant to short, even if a pullback occurs [1] - A breakout from the ascending triangle pattern could trigger more long positions and potentially lead to new all-time highs, but a false breakout should be monitored [1] - The analyst notes that the current rally is steep, leading some to aggressively short Bitcoin, but advises against this without significant changes [1] Funding Rates and Sentiment - Bybit's Bitcoin USD funding rate is negative, indicating many traders are shorting Bitcoin, which historically has led to further price increases [1] - The analyst remains optimistic due to the negative funding rates, suggesting a potential for continued upward movement [1] Liquidity and Target Levels - The highest liquidity for Bitcoin USDT on Binance contracts in the past month is around $110,000, suggesting a target for price movement [1] - Many traders have placed stop-loss orders above this level, creating attractive liquidity for price to reach [1] Ethereum Analysis - Ethereum is currently consolidating within a channel, and a breakout with a strong bullish candle could signal a move towards higher levels [1] - The analyst references a previous pattern (AMD) where a breakdown followed by a recovery led to higher highs, suggesting a similar potential outcome for Ethereum if it breaks back above the channel [1] Exchange Recommendations - Bybit is recommended as the most suitable exchange for technical analysis [1] - Binance and OKX are also mentioned, offering fee reductions and access to a Discord community for timely market updates [1]

Cryptocurrency Trading Performance - The trader allocated 1 million to BTC and 1 million to ETH for bottom fishing, but underestimated the rebound strength and sold too early [1] - The trader's Solana (SOL) trading was unsuccessful, missing a 50x gain opportunity and losing nearly 10,000 (1wu) on smaller altcoins [1] - The trader is holding several altcoins, including $YAPPER, $TRENCHES, and $IKUN, awaiting a market upturn [1] Investment Strategy - The trader is taking a passive approach to Base and BSC chains, awaiting potential opportunities [1] - The trader is monitoring several CEX tokens, including $B, $SKYAI, $BANANA, and F3B [1] - The trader is also tracking on-chain tokens like $EGL1, $LIBERTY, and $UPTOP [1] - The trader plans to continue monitoring $USELESS, $CRYBB, and $GOR for potential second-stage opportunities [1] Market Observation - The market's reaction is more influenced by Trump's statements than geopolitical events like ceasefires [1] - The trader acknowledges that market perspectives evolve rapidly, highlighting the impact of different viewpoints on decision-making [1] - The trader believes individual trading decisions reflect personal values and character [1]

Group 1 - The market is currently influenced by institutional strategies, with a focus on dividend stocks like banks, and potential rotation to growth sectors such as liquor, securities, and real estate if banks do not perform [3] - Large funds are less likely to sell at market peaks, and downtrends can still experience significant rebounds, indicating that the banking sector remains a strong investment area [3][5] - The current market phase is characterized by a contrast between institutional buying of core assets and retail selling of small-cap tech stocks, suggesting a divergence in investment strategies [5] Group 2 - The market sentiment is expected to lead to a new round of rebounds, particularly before mid-year performance rankings, with quantitative funds showing double-digit returns [5] - The overall market performance has been positive, with core assets rising, while retail investors have faced losses, highlighting a disconnect between institutional and retail investor outcomes [5][7] - The stock market operates on the principle of cognitive realization, where understanding market rhythms is crucial for profitability, emphasizing the importance of making informed investment choices [7]