买入是假设会拉盘，因为看到大户的空投卡了不少，以及50%的空投选项要等待三天才可以申领，退出的时间点是比较确定的，三天之内走可以避免这一波抛压。所以我当时在找的就是进入的位置。如果不拉盘，就用止损来兜底。被干了 别跌了 马上打止损了😇 ...

Group 1 - The profitability of shorting alumina futures is determined solely by the "price difference" [1] - The profit and loss formula for shorting is: Profit/Loss (CNY/ton) = Opening Price - Closing Price - Fees [1] - A short position incurs losses only when the closing price exceeds the opening price [1] Group 2 - Factors that can drive alumina prices up, leading to potential losses for short sellers, include: sudden reluctance to sell in the spot market, environmental production limits in the north, and fluctuations in bauxite supply [2] - Other contributing factors include concentrated purchasing by electrolytic aluminum plants and inventory levels dropping below safety thresholds [2] - Insufficient registered warehouse receipts in the delivery month can lead to short squeezes by bulls [2] - Macroeconomic factors such as a weakening dollar and a general rise in commodity prices can create emotional premiums [2] - Setting stop-loss orders can limit and control potential losses, ensuring that there is no absolute scenario where "prices can only rise and not fall" [2]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes that trading strategies and tactics are interconnected, and there is no isolated buy or sell action, only an acceptable plan [1] - A reasonable risk-reward ratio should be at least 2:1, meaning a 7% stop-loss should correspond to a 14% profit expectation [1] - For breakout buying, if there is no floating profit within five trading days, it may indicate a wrong choice, and a stop-loss should be considered at a 3-5% loss [1] Group 2 - After achieving a floating profit of over 8%, three tactical options are available: using a 7-8% retracement as a stop-loss threshold, calculating a moving stop-loss based on the breakout candle, or employing the TR holding line as a stop-loss threshold [3] - A stable strong trend stock typically will not easily breach the TR holding line, and when it does, selling can be done in batches or all at once [5] - For most stocks outside of leading stocks, selling a portion of the position after achieving a 20% floating profit is often a good choice, as excessive greed can lead to profit loss [6] Group 3 - The volume-weighted moving average is superior in support and sensitivity compared to EMA and SMA, and practical comparisons are encouraged [8] - Momentum divergence remains an essential technique in selling strategies, with VAD and BIAS indicators being particularly useful for identifying buy and sell timing [10]

Group 1 - The core message emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies and the dangers of high leverage in trading [1][28] - The article discusses how most traders neglect to set stop-loss limits, leading to significant losses when the market turns against them [2][19] - It highlights the asymmetry between gains and losses, where a loss requires a greater percentage gain to recover [17][19] Group 2 - The article provides a table illustrating the percentage increase needed to recover from various levels of loss, showing that a 50% loss requires a 100% gain to break even [6][10] - It explains that effective stop-loss strategies can significantly enhance long-term profitability, even with the same win-loss ratio [11][15] - The discussion includes a comparison of two traders, A and B, demonstrating how better stop-loss management leads to superior outcomes over time [13][14] Group 3 - The dangers of leverage are outlined, indicating that using high leverage can exacerbate the asymmetry of returns, leading to total loss of capital [22][25] - The article references Edward Thorp's mathematical proof that suggests investors should not exceed a leverage ratio of 1.7 to avoid bankruptcy [23][30] - It warns that excessive leverage can lead to irreversible losses, particularly in volatile markets like futures trading [24][27] Group 4 - The conclusion stresses three key points: always set stop-loss limits, avoid high leverage, and recognize the mathematical limits of leverage to prevent financial ruin [28][29][30]

Risk Management - Stop-loss is crucial to avoid significant losses [1] - Cutting losses (割肉) is a better strategy than adding margin when facing losses [1] Investment Strategy - The report suggests that consistent application of stop-loss orders can prevent complete depletion of investment capital [1]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing fluctuations, with a recent breakout above the 3360-65 range, but the bullish momentum is not strong, indicating potential for a downward adjustment if it fails to maintain above the 3400 level [1][5]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold opened with volatility and showed a strong upward movement, reaching a high of 3397, but later faced a pullback below the previous low of 3391, suggesting weakening bullish strength [1][3]. - The market is currently in an overbought state after a significant rise, with the 3400 level identified as a critical resistance point. A failure to break above this level may lead to further declines [3][5]. - If gold can maintain above the 3400 level, the next targets for upward movement are 3420-25 and 3450, but a drop below this level would indicate a bearish trend [5][7]. Group 2: Silver Market Insights - The silver market also showed strength, reaching a high of 39.05, but is currently experiencing a pullback. The 39.05-39.1 area is identified as a potential double top resistance [5][7]. - Short-term support for silver is at 38.3, with further support at 37.3-35. A breakdown below these levels would signal a stronger bearish trend [5][7]. - The Shanghai gold and silver markets are following similar trends, with Shanghai gold reaching 780 and facing resistance at 788-790. A pullback to 780 could present a buying opportunity [7].

评论区有坏人告诉我爆仓即止损你们可别骗我何币 (@hebi555):最近自己也在瞎几把搞交易不会看线纯粹凭感觉几天赚5到10WU然后暴涨或者暴跌，然后就把我几天辛苦赚的一波带走了止盈我会，关键什么情况下该止损，我是真不会啊求教各位大佬怎么止损？？ https://t.co/kFMlgWd5GP ...

最近自己也在瞎几把搞交易不会看线纯粹凭感觉几天赚5到10WU然后暴涨或者暴跌，然后就把我几天辛苦赚的一波带走了止盈我会，关键什么情况下该止损，我是真不会啊求教各位大佬怎么止损？？ https://t.co/kFMlgWd5GP ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the concept of stock market financing, emphasizing the use of leverage to enhance investment scale while requiring self-funds as collateral [1] Group 1: Stock Selection Criteria - Preferred stocks for financing should have an average daily trading volume exceeding 100 million and show consistent profitability over the past three years, ensuring good liquidity and relatively stable volatility [2] - Stocks with short-term price increases exceeding 80%, high price-to-earnings ratios, or delisting risks should be avoided to prevent risk transmission to financing operations [2] Group 2: Leverage Ratio Management - Initial participation should maintain a self-fund to financing fund ratio of 1:0.8, allowing for a maximum financing of 800,000 when self-funds are 1 million [3] - In a historically low market with reasonable stock valuations, this ratio can be adjusted to 1:1.2; conversely, in high market conditions or significant stock price increases, it should be reduced to below 1:0.5 [3] Group 3: Suitable Scenarios - Financing is suitable during clear upward market trends and when individual stock fundamentals are improving, as this increases the probability of price appreciation [4] - In volatile or declining markets, financing risks increase significantly, warranting a reduction or suspension of financing activities [4] Group 4: Collateral Ratio Management - The collateral ratio is calculated as (self-funds + market value of financed stocks) ÷ total financing liabilities, with a warning line at 130% and a liquidation line at 120% [5] - If the ratio approaches 130%, additional self-funds or selling part of non-financed holdings is necessary to restore the ratio above 150% [5] Group 5: Cost Accounting - Financing interest is calculated daily, with annual rates typically between 6.5% and 7.5%, necessitating prior cost assessments [7] - Short-term financing should not exceed 8 trading days to avoid interest accumulation, while medium to long-term financing requires ensuring expected stock price increases cover interest and transaction costs [7] Group 6: Risk Control Measures - Each financing transaction should have a stop-loss set at 4%-5% of self-funds, triggering immediate liquidation if losses reach this threshold [8] - Financing funds should not be concentrated in a single stock, with individual stock holdings limited to 40% of total financing to mitigate non-systematic risks [8] Group 7: Operational Discipline - A detailed financing transaction plan should be established, outlining stock selection criteria, entry points, stop-loss and take-profit levels, and holding periods, with strict adherence to the plan [9] - After two consecutive financing losses, financing activities should be paused for one week for review, and profits should be gradually used to repay part of the financing liabilities to reduce leverage [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, highlighting that holding onto losing positions is always a mistake, regardless of the market conditions [1] - Recent fluctuations in gold prices demonstrate a pattern of rapid reversals, indicating a volatile trading environment where both bulls and bears are actively engaged [5][9] - The article notes that gold experienced a significant rebound after breaking below the 3320 level, contrasting with previous trends where it had surged before declining [3][5] Group 2 - The analysis indicates that the gold market is currently characterized by a "super sweep" phenomenon, where prices are subject to rapid changes both intraday and over longer periods [5] - Short-term support levels for gold are identified at 3336 and 3320-25, with resistance levels at 3356-58 and 3375-80, suggesting a cautious trading approach [7] - The commentary on silver suggests that it will continue to experience volatility, with key support at 37.3 and resistance at 38.4, indicating potential trading opportunities [7][9]