新华社洛杉矶12月18日电（记者谭晶晶）美国《科学》杂志18日公布其评选的2025年度十大科学突 破，"全球可再生能源增长势不可当"获评年度头号突破。该杂志认为，2025年，全球可再生能源生产开 始在多个领域超过传统能源，这一重大转型主要由中国引领。中国在太阳能电池板、风力涡轮机以及锂 电池储能等领域持续扩大布局，巩固了其在全球可再生能源生产和相关技术方面的引领地位。（完） ...

Core Insights - The International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised its global renewable energy growth forecast for 2030 down by 248 gigawatts compared to last year [1] - Despite continued growth in photovoltaic (PV) power, the expectations for the US and China have begun to slow [1] - The IEA now expects global renewable energy installed capacity to grow by 4600 gigawatts by 2030, down from the previous forecast of 5500 gigawatts for the next six years [1] - PV power is projected to account for approximately 80% of this incremental growth [1] Summary by Category US and China Market Dynamics - The renewable energy growth forecast for the US has been cut by nearly 50%, primarily due to the cancellation of federal tax incentives and other regulatory measures [1] - China's shift from fixed pricing to competitive bidding has also pressured project economics [1] - Strong growth in other regions partially offsets the downward revisions in the US and China [1] Emerging Markets - India is expected to become the second-largest growth market for renewable energy globally, following China [1] - Geothermal power capacity in the US, Japan, Indonesia, and other emerging markets is anticipated to reach historical highs [1] - Pumped storage generation is expected to grow by 80% over the next five years compared to the past five years [1] Market Concentration - The IEA notes that PV power and rare earth supply chains remain concentrated in China, with expectations that China's market share in key areas will exceed 90% by 2030 [1]

Core Insights - The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) reported that global renewable energy growth is set to reach a historic high in 2024, but it still falls short of established targets [1][2] - In 2023, the new installed capacity of renewable energy, including solar, wind, and hydropower, reached approximately 582 GW, marking a year-on-year increase of about 15% [1] - To meet the target set at the 2023 UN Climate Conference in Dubai, global renewable energy capacity must increase by 1,122 GW annually starting in 2025, requiring a growth rate of 16.6% over the next decade [1] - IRENA's Director-General, Francesco La Camera, indicated that while challenges exist, the renewable energy growth targets are achievable, with new installations potentially reaching 750 GW by 2025 [1] - The report highlighted that global energy efficiency only improved by 1% in 2024, significantly below the required annual growth rate of 4% to meet set goals [1] Investment Needs - There is an urgent need for large-scale investments in the grid, supply chains, and clean technologies such as solar, wind, batteries, and hydrogen production [2] - From 2025 to 2030, renewable energy investments must expand to at least $1.4 trillion annually, more than doubling from the $624 billion projected for 2024 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The International Energy Agency (IEA) has halved its renewable energy growth forecast for the United States by 2030, despite a global push to double green power capacity during the same period [1] Group 1: Policy Impact - The downward revision of the U.S. renewable energy growth forecast is attributed to several policy changes implemented during the Trump administration [1] - Key policy adjustments include the gradual phase-out of federal tax credits for clean energy facilities, the implementation of import restrictions, the suspension of new offshore wind leasing projects, and the imposition of permitting restrictions on solar and wind projects on federal lands [1] Group 2: Global Renewable Energy Outlook - By the end of this decade (2030), global renewable energy generation capacity is expected to increase by 4,600 gigawatts, with solar energy accounting for nearly 80% of this growth [1]