必须承认，基本面在慢慢地变好。M1增速延续改善，从去年8月至今已回升一年。历史经验表明，M1反弹通常会领先企业盈利0.5-1年。再看明晟中国指 数，已连续三年盈利增长对股市产生正向贡献。但目前市场的情绪抢跑基本面太远了，我说几个数据你感受一下。至今年9月24日，牛市启动一周年，中证 全指的估值从14.7倍，拉升到最高21.5倍，涨幅接近50%。A股中1435只个股股价翻倍。换句话说，市场中平均每4只股票，就有一只翻倍股。2019至2021年 是创业板牛市，但过去一年的创业板，大概能齐平那三年牛市的涨幅。 上周五下午三点整，中芯国际，阿里巴巴，京东，宁德时代等的下跌，精确到秒。牛市多急跌，正常。A股这里，九月以来还在高歌猛进的只剩下科创 50etf，创业板etf与恒生科技了。上证50，中证1000，中证2000，港股新消费，生物医药本月至今都是跌的。就算最火热的科技，也主要是题材发酵，比如 周三的阿里云栖大会，周四小米谈造芯，市场暂未找到主心骨。资金只能在高位热点和低位板块之间做切换。 当时，斯大林懵了，咱军突然后撤几百公里，领土都不要了？我军的军人荣誉何在？ 德军也懵了，你吖突然跑没影了，害我军追了几百公里， ...

Market Overview - A-shares major indices collectively rose today, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.22% closing at 3828.58 points, Shenzhen Component Index up 0.67% at 13157.97 points, ChiNext Index up 0.55% at 3107.89 points, and the STAR Market 50 Index up 3.38% at 1408.64 points [3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 21,215 billion, a decrease of 2,023 billion compared to the previous trading day [3] Broker Influence - Brokers played a crucial role in today's market, reversing the indices from the brink of significant declines at least three times during the day [4] - The broker sector, led by CITIC Securities, rose approximately 1%, ranking among the top gainers [4] Sector Performance - Technology stocks remained the focus, with notable gains in precious metals (up 6.18%), consumer electronics (up 2.79%), semiconductors (up 2.54%), and communication services (up 1.77%) [4] - The banking sector showed a lackluster performance, down 0.95%, while insurance fell slightly by 0.04% [6] Individual Stock Movements - In the Shanghai market, several stocks performed strongly, including Cambrian (up 3.81%), Haiguang Information (up 10%), and Industrial Fulian (up 6.6%) [4] - Conversely, in the Shenzhen market, stocks like Xinyi Technology and Zhongji Xuchuang experienced declines of 2% and 0.8%, respectively [4][5] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The market sentiment is mixed, with a significant number of stocks declining despite the overall index rise; the median decline for falling stocks was 0.44% [9] - The current market environment is characterized by narrow fluctuations, with the Shanghai market experiencing a "long-term consolidation" state, which may deplete the momentum of bullish investors [8]