近日A股市场出现盘整。个股赚钱效应与市场人气同步减弱的背后，是内外因素交织下的资金集体避险 行为。面对这场调整，一线私募机构展现出了截然不同的应对之策。在11月中旬股票私募平均仓位创下 近112周新高的背景下，有的机构选择高仓位坚守，有的则通过衍生品进行风险对冲，有的机构积极调 整结构，为下一轮行情布局。 ● 本报记者王辉 多因素共振引发市场调整 止于至善则采用了更为精细的风险对冲手段。何理透露："我们在市场处于高位时，会购买一些虚值看 跌期权来保护组合不发生极端回撤。" 涌津投资董事长谢小勇则更关注资金面因素，他认为"海外流动性再收紧"是重要诱因。10月末以来，美 联储态度转鹰，美元指数冲高导致外资资金短期净流出，对A股高估值科技板块形成直接压力。同时， 近期题材炒作监控趋严，两融与游资活跃度快速下降，短线资金被迫降杠杆，形成了"多头回吐"的局 面。 从资金行为角度来看，百亿级私募勤辰资产表示，临近年末，机构资金兑现浮盈等防守性行为自然会导 致市场出现短期波动。这一判断与涌津投资观察到的"年内最活跃的资金在11月集中兑现收益"现象不谋 而合。 另一家百亿级私募淡水泉则从更底层的市场逻辑出发，认为市场定价正从 ...

Core Insights - The private equity market is experiencing a significant increase in positions, with the stock private equity position index reaching 80.16% as of October 31, marking a new high for the year [1][2] - The rise in positions reflects a positive shift in market expectations, with a notable increase from a low of 73.93% in August [2] - The majority of private equity firms are fully invested, with 63.21% in a full position, indicating strong confidence in market conditions [2] Position Distribution - As of October 31, 80.07% of large private equity firms (over 100 billion) maintained positions above 80%, while those managing between 50 billion and 100 billion reached 85.02% [2] - Smaller private equity firms are also increasing their positions, with most categories exceeding the 80% threshold [2] Market Consensus - There is a consensus among private equity firms that a structural market trend will continue, leading to a preference for high positions [3] - Firms anticipate a potential market correction in November but believe it will serve as a buildup for the next market rally [3] Investment Focus - Private equity firms are focusing on two main sectors: technology and cyclical industries [4] - The technology sector is driven by the AI revolution and advancements in the semiconductor industry, while cyclical industries are shifting towards quality improvement and international market expansion [4] Portfolio Strategy - Current portfolio strategies emphasize a combination of core (high-quality blue-chip) and satellite (innovative growth) investments [5] - Core investments focus on undervalued quality companies across various sectors, while satellite investments target high-growth areas such as AI computing and biotechnology [5]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to enter a new phase supported by dual underlying logic: the increasing importance of capital markets in wealth allocation and a shift in market pricing logic from valuation-driven to fundamental-driven [1][2] Group 1: Market Outlook - The A-share market has seen a rise in valuations, but there is no systemic bubble present [1] - Capital markets may experience temporary disturbances but are unlikely to cool down significantly [1] - The focus will shift from sector effects to individual stock effects in the future [1] Group 2: Investment Focus - The company will concentrate on sectors with structural growth potential that can maintain profitability without relying on overall economic recovery [1] - Key areas of interest include emerging growth sectors such as AI technology innovation and energy infrastructure [1] - The semiconductor industry is expected to enter a critical breakthrough period as domestic technology, capacity, and supply chains improve [1] - Changes in global young consumer behavior are anticipated to create sustained growth opportunities in service-oriented and emotional value-driven consumption [1] Group 3: Cyclical Sector Opportunities - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to bring structural opportunities, shifting industry growth logic from disorderly expansion to quality improvement [2] - Leading companies with competitive advantages are likely to benefit from industry policy guidance and market clearing [2] - Expanding into overseas markets has become a necessary strategy for many leading companies, opening new growth avenues [2]