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12只翻倍基曝光,基民回本了吗
21世纪经济报道· 2025-08-15 00:20
Core Viewpoint - The market has seen significant recovery, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking the previous high from September 2022, indicating a bullish trend in the equity market [1][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of August 13, 2023, 160 funds have doubled in value since the September 2022 peak, with 12 funds achieving this milestone in 2023 alone [1][6]. - The "Wande Equity Mixed Fund Index" has risen by 19.67% this year, and since the September 2022 rally, it has increased by 43.18% [6][8]. - The Hang Seng Innovation Drug Index has surged by 109% this year, while the Wande Innovation Drug Index has increased by 51% [13]. Group 2: Fund Recovery and Redemption - Research indicates that the average return of new funds launched between 2019 and 2021 has returned to break-even, while existing funds from the previous bull market show an average loss of 5% [8][9]. - Despite the recovery, there is significant redemption pressure on equity funds, with a 56.43% increase in net redemptions for active equity funds in Q2 2025 [10]. - Investors are showing a tendency to redeem funds once they reach break-even, reflecting a lack of confidence in long-term returns [10][11]. Group 3: Sector Focus and Fund Management - Funds heavily invested in innovative sectors such as pharmaceuticals, AI, and robotics have generally maintained their positions, with few making significant adjustments [1][12]. - The majority of funds focused on innovation sectors have not reduced their holdings, despite some individual fund managers considering adjustments due to high valuations [13][14]. - There is a notable trend of funds shifting towards fixed-income products, with 50% to 70% of monthly sales in certain banks being allocated to these products [1][11].
翻倍基来了 谁在落寞?谁在狂欢?
Core Insights - The Shanghai Composite Index has recently surpassed the previous high from September 24, 2022, reaching a nearly four-year peak [1] - As of August 13, 2023, the market has seen 160 funds double in value since the last high, with 12 funds achieving this feat in 2023 alone [2][4] - The active equity funds have shown a rapid recovery in net value, with the "equity mixed fund index" rising by 19.67% this year and 43.18% since the last high [6][8] Fund Performance - The top-performing funds this year are heavily invested in innovative pharmaceuticals, AI, humanoid robots, and computing power, with the best performer, Huatai-PB Hang Seng Innovation Drug ETF, achieving over 132% returns [4][12] - A total of 219 funds have reported returns between 50% and 100% this year, primarily in sectors like pharmaceuticals, technology, and new consumption [5][6] Redemption Trends - Despite the recovery, many funds are facing significant redemption pressure, particularly those heavily invested in electric new energy, pharmaceuticals, and food and beverage sectors [10] - The redemption trend has not reversed, with a notable increase in net redemptions for equity funds, indicating a lack of confidence among investors despite some funds returning to profitability [9][10] Market Sentiment - There are signs of a potential reversal in the "return kill" phenomenon, with some investors returning to the market as they see positive returns [11] - The current market atmosphere is optimistic, with institutional clients continuing to subscribe to rights-containing products [11] Sector Focus - The innovation drug sector has been a major winner, with the Hang Seng Innovation Drug Index rising by 109% this year [12] - Fund managers have largely maintained their positions in high-performing sectors like AI and computing power, although some are considering reducing exposure to certain high-valuation stocks [18]