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贺博生:黄金原油今日行情价格涨跌趋势分析及周五收官多空操作建议
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 10:28
黄金最新行情趋势分析: 1月9日,黄金消息面解析:周五,国际黄金开盘先行窄幅偏弱波动,受到连续走强的美元指数,以及市 场对于非农就业数据预期利空的忧虑,还有本周将启动的彭博商品指数年度调整,预计将对金价构成抛 售等,使得目前反弹动力受限。未来一周左右谨防跳水和震荡行情风险。但方向上的看涨前景仍然不 变,5000美元目标及更高位置,仍可觊觎。日内迎接的美国12月失业率及非农数据等数据,虽整体预期 偏向利空金价,但根据本周公布的ADP及初请来看,也有利好的概率,并且一次的非农也难以改变趋 势,所以就算符合预期,也难以对金价造成持续性压力,同时,市场还有地缘局势避险需求,以及美联 储官员不断呼吁要大幅降息的利好前景。所以,一时数据造成的回落和跳水,也都是再度入场看涨的机 会。 黄金技术面分析:当前盘面来看,本周经过了四个交易日,前两个交易日是技术面走势,贺博生强调 过,有头肩底的反弹,有双底的上涨,所以,黄金从4300上涨到4400,再上涨到4500,后面两个交易日 有小非农ADP数据,有失业金数据,虽然数据对暂时市场的影响力表现不加,但基本没有改变黄金的大 趋势看涨的思路,因此,黄金还是走出了趋势的上涨空间,周四 ...
张尧浠:美联储降息预期前景守护、金价震荡蓄力待攀升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-28 01:03
Core Viewpoint - The international gold market is experiencing a short-term bullish trend, supported by expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, with market probabilities exceeding 85% for such a move [5][6]. Market Performance - On November 27, gold opened at $4163.23 per ounce, reached a high of $4168.54, and a low of $4142.52, ultimately closing at $4159.46, reflecting a slight decline of $3.77 or 0.09% [1]. - The trading volume was low due to the Thanksgiving holiday, but the overall trend remains bullish [1][3]. Economic Factors - The slowdown in the U.S. economy is a key driver for a weaker dollar, enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [6]. - The potential appointment of a new Federal Reserve chair who advocates for rate cuts could further bolster market expectations for a dovish outlook, supporting gold prices [6]. Technical Analysis - Weekly charts indicate that gold prices have been adjusting but are showing higher lows and have not breached the 10-week moving average, suggesting a bullish momentum [8]. - Short-term targets for gold are set at $4300 and $4400, with support levels identified at $4155 and $4130 [10][11]. Long-term Outlook - The long-term trend for gold remains positive, with expectations of a new bull market driven by low interest rates and economic uncertainty [6]. - Historical patterns suggest that any pullbacks during a rate-cutting cycle present buying opportunities, with a target of $5000 per ounce in the future [6].