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黄金ETF持仓量报告解读(2025-10-10)地缘局势缓和推动金价调整
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 04:15
Core Viewpoint - The SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, reported a total holding of 1013.44 tons of gold as of October 9, 2025, reflecting a decrease of 1.14 tons from the previous trading day. The gold price experienced significant volatility, dropping over $100 from its historical high of $4060 per ounce to a low of $3945.03, before closing at $3976.05, marking a decline of $65.40 or 1.62% [4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - On October 9, gold prices initially fell to around $4000 per ounce but later saw a brief recovery before facing substantial selling pressure, leading to a drop of over $100 [4]. - Analysts attribute the adjustment in gold prices to a combination of easing geopolitical tensions, profit-taking sentiment, and a rebound in the US dollar index [4]. - The positive news regarding a permanent ceasefire between Israel and Hamas has alleviated market risk aversion, contributing to the decline in gold prices [5]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The US dollar index rose by 0.6%, and the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds increased by 2 basis points to 4.148%, which are factors influencing the adjustment in gold prices [4]. - There is a consensus among institutions that the recent rise in global assets since September was based on expectations of a "weak dollar," but the market's consensus on shorting the dollar may pose a reversal risk [5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Goldman Sachs has raised its 2026 gold price forecast from $4300 to $4900, citing strong inflows into gold ETFs and robust central bank demand, indicating a positive long-term outlook for gold [5]. - Despite the current technical correction in gold prices, the market remains supported by ongoing government shutdowns and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on further rate cuts due to uncertainties in inflation and the labor market [5]. - Technical analysis suggests that if gold prices can reclaim the $4000 level, they may test historical highs of $4059, with further resistance at $4100 and $4150 [6].
宁证期货今日早评-20251010
Ning Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 01:59
姓名:曹宝琴 重点品种: 【短评-玻璃】 全国浮法玻璃均价1260元/吨,环比上日+9 元/吨;浮法玻璃开工率76.01%,周度持平;全国浮法玻璃样本 企业总库存6282.4万重箱,环比上升5.84%;全国深加工样本企 业订单天数均值11天,环比+4.9%;1-8月,房屋竣工面积 27693.54万平方米,同比-17%。评:当前浮法玻璃企业日熔量 较稳,终端需求回升,下游深加工企业订单偏弱,浮法玻璃企 业库存上升,华东市场成交气氛一般,江苏、安徽假期期间主 流价格上调,市场重心走高,中下游陆续返市,刚需拿货为 主。预计玻璃01合约短期震荡运行,下方支撑1215一线,建议 观望或回调短线做多。 【短评-黄金】美联储"三把手"、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯 明确表态,支持在今年内进一步下调利率,以应对劳动力市场 可能出现的急剧放缓风险。他认为美国经济未陷衰退,通胀风 险缓解但仍需警惕,并强调货币政策仍属"适度紧缩"。美联 储理事巴尔表示,通胀和就业情况的不确定性表明,对进一步 降息应采取谨慎态度。评:美联储内部分歧加大,市场对未来 降息看法存在分歧,美元指数大涨,施压贵金属。贵金属短期 面临回调压力,短期震荡偏空。 投资 ...
孟买证券交易所股价飙升超过7%,创历史新高
news flash· 2025-05-12 05:46
金十数据5月12日讯,周一,亚洲历史最悠久的证券交易所之一孟买证券交易所(BSE)的股票盘中飙 升7.2%,反映了达拉尔街(印度金融街)强劲的买入情绪,因为印度和巴基斯坦在周末达成了停火协 议,此前双方就军事设施展开了猛烈的导弹和无人机袭击。地缘政治紧张局势的缓和让看涨者重新掌控 了印度股市。BSE首次突破7000卢比大关,创下每股7047卢比的历史新高。 孟买证券交易所股价飙升超过7%,创历史新高 ...