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天然气:LNG低位震荡,HH下方仍存支撑
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-01-12 02:14
Report Title - Natural Gas: LNG in Low-level Fluctuations, Support Remains Below HH [1] Core Viewpoints - There is no clear core view presented in the provided text Summary by Sections Chapter 1: Comprehensive Analysis and Trading Strategies - There is no specific content provided for this chapter Chapter 2: Fundamental Analysis LNG Market Fundamental Situation - From December 27, 2025, to January 2, 2026, certain data showed values of 104.8 and 2.8, with a +2.8% change; another showed 112.5 and 8.9, with a -7.3% change [10] - On January 9, LNG had a value of 184.6, and other related LNG values were 157.54 and 86.55 [10] - On January 8, electricity generation was 643.2 TWh, a decrease of 130.9 TWh (-17.9%) compared to a certain period, and accounted for 56.3% and 68.2% in different aspects [10] - On January 8, LNG power generation was 4628 GWh/day, accounting for 28.3% [10] - Another value was 1.60 GWh/day with a 14.4% change, and 10.1 TWh/day with a 13.6% change [10] - ECMWF and NOAA forecasts indicated temperature changes of 3 - 6°C and 1 - 2 - 3°C in different regions [10] US Market Fundamental Situation - On a certain day in January, the data was 32560, with changes of 1190 and 1230, and percentage changes of 3.6% and 0.9% [12] - On January 9, the dry gas production was 1136/day, a 0.2% increase from the previous week and a 9.8% increase year-on-year. Baker Hughes data showed related changes [12] - On January 9, domestic demand was 1046/day, a -7.7% week-on-week change and a -16.7% year-on-year change. Other consumption data also had corresponding changes [12] - On January 9, the liquefaction export project flow was 193, a -1.9% week-on-week change and a 26.7% year-on-year change [12] - ECMWF forecasted a temperature change of 1.5 - 2.5°C in January [12] Chapter 3: Core Data Tracking International Natural Gas Prices - Graphs showed TTF - HH spreads, international natural gas prices (JKM, TTF, HH), HH month spreads, and TTF month spreads from January 2025 to November 2025 [16] Forward Curves - Forward curves of HH, JKM, and TTF were presented from 2602 to 2711 [19] China's LNG Supply and Demand - Graphs showed China's LNG supply (domestic and imported by tank trucks) from January 2025 to January 2026, and China's natural gas supply and demand from December 2025 to January 2026 [22] China's LNG Factory Prices and Inventory - Graphs showed China's LNG factory prices (settlement prices in different regions) from January 2025 to January 2026, and China's inventory situation (receiving station inventory and storage reservoir inventory) [25] European Natural Gas Data - Graphs showed European natural gas inventory, northwest European gas - coal conversion intervals, European LNG imports, and the quantity of floating storage tanks over 20 days from January to December [28] - Graphs showed European natural gas imports from different sources (Norway, Russia, etc.) and European domestic production from February 2024 to January 2026 [31] US Natural Gas Data - A supply - demand balance sheet showed US natural gas supply (dry gas production, Canadian pipeline gas imports) and demand (domestic demand, various consumption types, exports) for the current week, last week, and the same period last year, with corresponding percentage changes [33] - Graphs showed US natural gas inventory, dry gas production, rig numbers, liquefaction export project flows, domestic consumption, power generation demand, industrial consumption, and residential and commercial consumption from different time periods [36][39] Temperature and Wind Forecasts - Graphs showed ECMWF and GFS temperature and wind forecasts from January 5 to February 16, 2026, compared with historical averages [42][45]