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日本央行紧缩节奏打压日元
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-04 03:21
Group 1 - The USD/JPY exchange rate has continued to rise, reaching around 157.00, marking a fourth consecutive day of gains, with a closing increase of 0.15% to 156.8700 [1] - The weakening of the yen is primarily due to the gap between the Bank of Japan's policy stance and market expectations, which continues to favor the dollar due to interest rate differentials [1] - The Bank of Japan raised the benchmark interest rate from 0.50% to 0.75% in December, marking the second rate hike of the year aimed at curbing inflation pressures, but the cautious tone in the policy statement has led to doubts about the sustainability of tightening [1] Group 2 - The Japanese government is increasingly vigilant about exchange rate fluctuations, with the Finance Minister stating that the government is closely monitoring the foreign exchange market and is prepared to take "appropriate action" in the event of excessive unilateral volatility [1] - The daily chart indicates a clear upward trend for the USD/JPY exchange rate, with prices consistently above major moving averages, and short to medium-term moving averages in a bullish arrangement providing support [1] - The RSI momentum indicator is at a relatively high level but has not yet entered the extreme overbought territory, indicating that upward momentum remains, although short-term volatility risks have increased [2]
7.27黄金猛跌50美金 大空再探3300
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-26 06:56
昨天延续空头,跌幅50美金后。 美盘,再次止跌反弹3340调整。 大空未见强势信号,继续看空延续。 黄金本周冲高破3400后,再次上演过山车,跳水迎来3天连跌,昨天再度跳水50美金,大空之下,下周 再探3300的关口。 昨天我们3337附近,再次做多收获。 今天的走势 昨天主要因素: 一方面,欧央行按兵不动,日央行也来搞事情了,释放信号要加息了。美欧日,全球主要的三大央行启 动紧缩政策,再度冲击金融市场,特别是美日达成协议,日美持续贬值,黄金承压迎来大跌。 另外一方面,昨天一个数据,美耐用品订单月率,这个也是受关税冲击的数据,意外结果超预期,并未 受到关税的影响。以及重点,美联储再释放信号,不受特朗普影响,坚持美联储独立性。包括欧美谈判 持续进展在内,继续给关税影响降温,黄金继续跳水。 下周止跌调整先看3348的位置,再反弹突破,持续看到3377的阻力。 不过,面临3348的位置,再次遇阻。 下方回调,先看到3309的支撑。 看上方调整,以及反弹挑战3348的位置。 下方若持续回调,再穿3309的位置,延续大的空头,穿3300,看下方3282的支撑。 黄金4个月连涨后,到本月迎来了连续3个月高位调整,特别是大 ...