美元/日元昨日震荡下行，日线小幅收跌。除156.00关口附近所形成的技术面卖盘对汇价构成了一定的 打压外，时段内美国表现疲软的通胀数据也对汇价构成了一定的打压。亚市早盘，日本央行加息"靴子 落地"，美元/日元小幅上行，现汇价交投于155.90附近。今日关注157.00附近的压力情况，下方支撑在 155.00附近。 美元/加元 美元/加元昨日震荡下行，日线小幅收跌，现汇价交投于1.3780附近。除1.3800关口附近所形成的技术面 卖盘对汇价构成了一定的打压外，时段内美国表现疲软的通胀数据也对汇价构成了一定的打压。不过， 原油价格回落和美元指数走高限制了汇价的下跌空间。今日关注1.3850附近的压力情况，下方支撑在 1.3700附近。 责任编辑：陈平 12月19日，最新数据显示，美国12月13日当周首次申请失业救济人数降至22.4万人，较前一周23.7万回 落1.3万，低于经济学家预期的22.5万人。同步的4周均值小幅走高至21.75万，显示在假期季节性扰动 下，整体仍维持在"温和波动"的区间内。近几周来，失业金申请人数波动较大，反映出感恩节假期前后 数据调整的挑战。截至12月6日当周，续请失业救济人数升至18 ...

Market Overview - Market indexes experienced solid gains, with the Dow increasing by 408 points (+0.86%), S&P 500 by 20 points (+0.30%), Nasdaq by 40 points (+0.17%), and Russell 2000 by 47 points (+1.91%) [1] - Weak jobs figures from ADP's November private-sector payrolls report have reinforced expectations for a 25 basis-point rate cut next week, potentially lowering the Fed funds rate to 3.50-3.75% for the first time in over three years [1] Earnings Reports - Salesforce.com (CRM) reported Q3 earnings of $3.25 per share, exceeding expectations of $2.85, with revenues of $10.26 billion, reflecting an 8.6% year-over-year growth [2][3] - Five Below (FIVE) reported Q3 earnings of $0.68 per share, significantly above expectations of $0.22, with revenues of $1.04 billion, surpassing the $970 million consensus, and a 14.3% increase in comparable store sales [4] - Snowflake (SNOW) achieved Q3 earnings of $0.35 per share on revenues of $1.21 billion, beating estimates but saw a stock sell-off of 8.5% in after-hours trading despite raised revenue guidance [5] Upcoming Earnings - Notable companies reporting earnings include Kroger (KR) and Bank of Montreal (BMO) before the market opens, and DocuSign (DOCU) and Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after the close, with varying Zacks Rank ratings [8]

Core Insights - The government shutdown has lasted 31 days, leading to a scarcity of economic data from official sources, but alternative data sources are providing insights into labor and inflation statistics [1][6] Labor Market Data - Initial jobless claims fell by 13,000 to an estimated 219,000, marking the lowest level in a month, indicating a relatively stable labor market [2] - Continuing claims rose by 11,000 to 1.96 million, the highest level since August, suggesting some underlying weakness in job retention [3] - Alternative data from regional Fed surveys indicates a pickup in job growth, while inflation remains elevated but has shown slight signs of decline [4][5] Economic Confidence - The alternative data, while not comprehensive, suggests that investors and policymakers can feel confident that there is no dramatic shift occurring in the economy [6] - The ongoing analysis of job and inflation data from various sources may provide a clearer picture of economic conditions, especially as the Beige Book report approaches [11][12] Future Data Releases - If the government reopens soon, there may be delays in the release of comprehensive economic data, particularly for October, due to the backlog caused by the shutdown [8][9] - The tracking of job and inflation data is expected to improve, potentially offering better insights into economic trends moving forward [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - The latest unemployment claims data shows positive performance, indicating a stable labor market and potential economic resilience [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - The recent unemployment claims data reflects a favorable trend, suggesting that fewer individuals are seeking unemployment benefits [1] - This positive data may signal a strengthening job market, which could influence future economic policies and consumer confidence [1]