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9月24日汇市早评:美联储主席表示政策利率仍然略带限制性 美元指数稳定于97.00上方
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-24 02:42
Core Points - The US dollar index is trading around 97.33, with mixed movements in major non-USD currencies [1] - The Chinese yuan has appreciated against the US dollar, with the central parity rate rising by 49 basis points to 7.1057 [3] - The Australian dollar has recently declined, breaking key support levels, but may show potential for recovery if it maintains above certain moving averages [4] - The USD/JPY pair shows signs of upward momentum, with key resistance levels identified at 148.57 and 149.00 [5] - The EUR/USD pair has experienced a pullback but remains above significant moving averages, with potential downward pressure if it falls below certain trend lines [5] Economic Indicators - The focus for today includes the German IFO Business Climate Index to be released at 16:00 [1][9] - The OECD has revised its global economic growth forecast for 2025 to 3.2%, up from a previous estimate of 2.9% [8] Key Events - US President Trump is scheduled to speak at the UN General Assembly [9] - Australia will release its August weighted CPI year-on-year data [9] - The US will report on new home sales and EIA crude oil inventories later in the day [10]
美联储理事库格勒辞职,交易员加大美联储9月降息押注,现货黄金多头占比达60%。后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-08-04 02:46
Group 1 - The resignation of Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller has led traders to increase bets on a rate cut by the Fed in September, with a significant shift in market sentiment towards gold [1] - The current sentiment in the gold market shows that 60% of positions are long, indicating bullish sentiment among traders [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment with 71% long positions, while the S&P 500 Index has 26% long positions [3] - The Nasdaq Index has 40% long positions, and the Dow Jones Index has 70% long positions, reflecting varying levels of investor confidence [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index has 37% long positions, while the German DAX 40 Index shows a more balanced sentiment with 56% long positions [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has 34% long positions, while the Euro/GBP pair has 23% long positions, indicating a bearish outlook [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has only 18% long positions, and the Euro/AUD pair shows a very low 5% long positions, suggesting strong bearish sentiment [3] - The GBP/USD pair has 70% long positions, indicating a bullish outlook, while the GBP/JPY pair has 53% long positions [3] - The USD/JPY pair has 35% long positions, and the USD/CAD pair is nearly balanced with 49% long positions [3] - The USD/CHF pair has a very low 12% long positions, indicating a strong bearish sentiment [3]
特朗普签署行政令,确定对多个贸易伙伴的关税为10%-41%不等。美元指数录得今年来首个月线涨幅。市场正在等待7月非农报告,当前各交易品种多空情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-08-01 02:34
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that President Trump signed an executive order establishing tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on multiple trade partners, which has influenced market sentiment and the dollar index [1] - The dollar index recorded its first monthly increase of the year, indicating a shift in market dynamics [1] Group 2 - The market is currently awaiting the July non-farm payroll report, which is expected to provide further insights into economic conditions [1] - Various trading instruments are showing mixed bullish and bearish sentiments, as indicated by the data from the "Gainscope Market Barometer" [1]
金十图示:2025年07月31日(周四)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-31 00:51
Group 1 - The data indicates a significant presence of long positions in various currency pairs, with notable percentages such as 74.65% long in USD/CAD and 71.35% long in GBP/USD [2][3] - The short positions are relatively lower, with the highest being 56.68% short in EUR/AUD, indicating a potential bearish sentiment in that pair [3][4] - The overall sentiment across multiple currency pairs shows a trend towards long positions, with pairs like EUR/USD showing 47.6% long and 52.4% short, suggesting a balanced outlook [3][4] Group 2 - The data reflects a mixed sentiment in the forex market, with some pairs like AUD/JPY showing a long position of 67.87% and a short position of 32.13% [4] - The analysis of the currency pairs indicates a strong preference for long positions in major currencies, which may influence trading strategies [2][3] - The overall market dynamics suggest that traders are leaning towards bullish strategies in several key currency pairs, as evidenced by the high percentages of long positions [2][3]
金十图示:2025年07月28日(周一)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-28 00:41
Group 1 - The data indicates a bullish sentiment in various currency pairs, with significant percentages favoring long positions over short positions [2][3][4] - The Euro to US Dollar pair shows a long position of 56.75% compared to 43.25% for short positions, indicating a strong bullish outlook [3] - The Australian Dollar to Japanese Yen pair has a long position of 21.34% against 78.66% for short positions, suggesting a bearish sentiment [4] Group 2 - The New Zealand to US Dollar pair has a long position of 87.34%, indicating a very strong bullish sentiment [2] - The Euro to British Pound pair shows a significant short position of 71.31%, reflecting a bearish outlook [3] - The Euro to Australian Dollar pair has a long position of 12.89%, while the short position is at 87.11%, indicating a strong bearish sentiment [3]
金十图示:2025年07月25日(周五)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-25 00:46
Group 1 - The data indicates a significant bullish sentiment in various currency pairs, with the Euro/USD showing a long position of 87.71% compared to a short position of 12.29% [3] - The Australian Dollar/JPY has a long position of 29.03% and a short position of 70.97%, indicating a bearish outlook [4] - The New Zealand/USD shows a long position of 52.08% against a short position of 47.92%, suggesting a balanced sentiment [2] Group 2 - The Euro/JPY has a long position of 42.04% and a short position of 57.96%, reflecting a predominantly bearish sentiment [3] - The Euro/GBP shows a long position of 34.22% and a short position of 65.78%, indicating a strong bearish outlook [3] - The Euro/AUD has a long position of 16.06% and a short position of 83.94%, further emphasizing the bearish sentiment in this pair [3]
美关税大限迫近,多国展开最后冲刺谈判;乌克兰爆发全国性反政府抗议活动,为俄乌冲突以来首次。当前美油继续释放卖出信号,黄金多头占比持续占优,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-07-24 02:57
Group 1 - The U.S. is approaching a deadline for tariffs, prompting multiple countries to engage in last-minute negotiations [1] - Nationwide anti-government protests have erupted in Ukraine, marking the first such occurrence since the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1] - Current market signals indicate continued selling pressure on WTI crude oil, while gold remains favored by bullish sentiment [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 32% and bearish sentiment of 68% [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 37% and bearish sentiment of 63% [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a bullish sentiment of 55% and bearish sentiment of 45% [3] - The Dow Jones Index indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 81% and a bearish sentiment of 19% [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a bullish sentiment of 82% and bearish sentiment of 18% [3] - The DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 84% and bearish sentiment of 16% [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 14% and bearish sentiment of 86% [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a bullish sentiment of 14% and bearish sentiment of 86% [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 7% and bearish sentiment of 93% [3] - The Euro/AUD pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 18% and bearish sentiment of 82% [3] - The GBP/USD pair shows a strong bullish sentiment of 79% and bearish sentiment of 21% [3] - The GBP/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75% [3] - The USD/JPY pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 37% and bearish sentiment of 63% [3] - The USD/CAD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 22% and bearish sentiment of 78% [3] - The USD/CHF pair indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 93% and bearish sentiment of 7% [3]
金十图示:2025年07月24日(周四)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-24 00:43
Group 1 - The data indicates a significant presence of long positions (N) compared to short positions (v) across various currency pairs, suggesting a bullish sentiment in the market [2][3][4] - The Euro to US Dollar (EUR/USD) pair shows a long position percentage of 85.95%, indicating strong bullish sentiment [3] - The Australian Dollar to Japanese Yen (AUD/JPY) pair has a near-even split with 49.25% long and 50.75% short positions, reflecting a more neutral market outlook [4] Group 2 - The New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar (NZD/USD) pair has a long position percentage of 68.82%, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [2] - The British Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) pair shows a close split with 51.23% long and 48.77% short positions, suggesting a balanced market view [2] - The Euro to Australian Dollar (EUR/AUD) pair has a long position percentage of 69.2%, indicating a bullish outlook [3]
金十图示:2025年07月23日(周三)投机情绪指数
news flash· 2025-07-23 00:44
Group 1 - The data indicates a significant bullish sentiment in various currency pairs, with the Euro/USD showing a bullish percentage of 89.17% and the Euro/JPY at 50.33% [3] - The Australian Dollar/JPY has a bullish sentiment of 25.4%, while the Euro/AUD shows a bearish sentiment of 16.94% [4] - The overall sentiment across multiple currency pairs reflects a trend where bullish positions dominate, particularly in the Euro-related pairs [2][3][4] Group 2 - The sentiment analysis reveals that the majority of positions in the Euro/GBP and Euro/CHF are bearish, with percentages of 70.97% and 74.88% respectively [3] - The data also highlights a notable split in sentiment for the GBP/USD, with 58.3% bullish and 41.7% bearish positions [2] - The analysis suggests a mixed outlook for the Australian Dollar, with varying sentiments across different currency pairs [4]
鲍威尔面临刑事指控,白宫表态特朗普无计划解雇鲍威尔;俄乌新一轮谈判计划明日举行,以色列对胡塞武装发动大规模空袭。当前黄金多空相持,美油卖出信号显现,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-07-22 02:49
Group 1 - Powell faces criminal charges, while the White House states that Trump has no plans to dismiss Powell [1] - New round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine is scheduled for tomorrow, indicating ongoing geopolitical tensions [1] - Israel has launched large-scale airstrikes against Houthi forces, reflecting regional conflicts [1] Group 2 - Current market sentiment shows a stalemate in gold trading, with signals indicating potential sell-off in WTI crude oil [1] - The sentiment in various indices shows a mixed outlook, with the S&P 500 at 71% bullish and 29% bearish, while the Nasdaq is evenly split at 50% [3] - In the foreign exchange market, the Euro against the Dollar shows a significant bearish sentiment at 77% [3]