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野村:美联储主席鲍威尔的偏宽松讲话可能加大美元/日元的下行空间
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 00:59
野村全球市场研究团队在一份研究报告中表示,美联储主席鲍威尔上周五发表的偏宽松讲话,可能给美 元兑日元带来更多下行空间。该团队表示,鲍威尔的言论增加了美联储在9月份会议上降息的可能性, 并补充说,美元短期内或将继续走弱。野村表示:"我们对我们做空美元/日元的交易更有信心",该交 易的目标水平为到10月底1美元兑142.00日元。近期的焦点还包括日本央行政策委员会审议委员中川顺 子等官员关于年底前加息可能性的讲话。 ...
【UNFX课堂】表面繁荣下的隐忧:鲍威尔的审慎与市场的等待
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-26 00:36
Core Viewpoint - Despite the apparent prosperity of the U.S. economy, underlying structural vulnerabilities are becoming increasingly evident, particularly in the labor market and inflation dynamics [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Indicators - The labor market remains robust, with nearly 90% of job growth in recent years concentrated in government, leisure and hospitality, and healthcare/education sectors, while key growth sectors like technology, manufacturing, construction, and professional services are slowing down [3]. - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its current interest rates in the short term, with market expectations for a potential rate cut in December if economic data weakens significantly [2][3]. Group 2: Inflation and Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve is preparing for a potential exit from high interest rate policies, although it is not anticipated to cut rates on July 30, especially with active job creation and concerns over tariffs potentially driving prices up [2]. - Inflation signals are expected to emerge between July and September, with tariffs likely impacting CPI data, potentially leading to a month-on-month increase of 0.4% to 0.5% [2]. Group 3: Currency and Market Reactions - The U.S. dollar is expected to remain strong in the short term, influenced by the Federal Reserve's stance and upcoming employment data, with potential upward movements against low-yield currencies [4][5]. - If the labor market shows resilience, the USD/JPY pair could rise to 150, while the USD/CHF may increase to 0.81, depending on risk appetite and ongoing arbitrage trading [4].
金十图示:2025年07月25日(周五)美盘市场行情一览
news flash· 2025-07-25 13:50
Group 1: Precious Metals - Spot platinum (XPTUSD) is priced at 1387.350, down by 24.160 or 1.71% [2] - Spot palladium (XPDUSD) is priced at 1219.630, down by 13.600 or 1.10% [2] - Gold (COMEX GC) is priced at 3341.100, down by 30.200 or 0.90% [2] - Silver (COMEX SI) is priced at 39.025, down by 0.260 or 0.66% [2] Group 2: Foreign Exchange - Euro to USD (EURUSD) is down by 0.33% at 1.171 [3] - GBP to USD (GBPUSD) is down by 0.66% at 1.342 [3] - USD to JPY (USDJPY) is up by 0.54% at 147.787 [3] - AUD to USD (AUDUSD) is down by 0.52% at 0.655 [3] - USD to CHF (USDCHF) is up by 0.33% at 0.798 [3] Group 3: Cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at 115684.210, down by 2635.780 or 2.23% [4] - Litecoin (LTC) is priced at 114.140, up by 1.890 or 1.68% [4] - Ethereum (ETH) is priced at 3688.680, down by 17.820 or 0.48% [4] - Ripple (XRP) is priced at 3.106, down by 0.040 or 1.27% [4] Group 4: Treasury Bonds - The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury bond is 3.913 [6] - The yield on the 5-year U.S. Treasury bond is 3.966, down by 0.005 or 0.13% [7] - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond is 4.415, up by 0.007 or 0.16% [7] - The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond is 4.960, up by 0.011 or 0.22% [7] - The yield on the 10-year UK Treasury bond is 4.652, up by 0.030 or 0.65% [7] - The yield on the 10-year German Treasury bond is 2.727, up by 0.034 or 1.26% [7] - The yield on the 10-year French Treasury bond is 3.392, up by 0.025 or 0.74% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Italian Treasury bond is 3.596, up by 0.031 or 0.87% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Japanese Treasury bond is 1.603, up by 0.005 or 0.31% [7]
金十图示:2025年07月25日(周五)亚盘市场行情
news flash· 2025-07-25 01:43
Group 1: Precious Metals - Spot platinum (XPTUSD) is priced at 1407.040, down by 4.470 or 0.32% [2] - Spot palladium (XPDUSD) is priced at 1237.570, up by 4.340 or 0.35% [2] - Gold (COMEX) is priced at 3369.400, down by 1.900 or 0.06% [2] - Silver (COMEX) is priced at 39.410, up by 0.125 or 0.32% [2] Group 2: Foreign Exchange Rates - Euro to USD (EURUSD) is at 1.174, down by 0.04% [3] - GBP to USD (GBPUSD) is at 1.350, down by 0.07% [3] - USD to JPY (USDJPY) is at 147.403, up by 0.28% [3] - AUD to USD (AUDUSD) is at 0.659, down by 0.05% [3] - USD to CHF (USDCHF) is at 0.796, up by 0.16% [3] Group 3: Cryptocurrency - Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at 117514.280, down by 805.710 or 0.68% [4] - Litecoin (LTC) is priced at 110.830, down by 1.420 or 1.27% [4] - Ethereum (ETH) is priced at 3673.520, down by 32.980 or 0.89% [4] - Ripple (XRP) is priced at 3.130, down by 0.016 or 0.50% [4] Group 4: Treasury Bonds - The yield on the 2-year US Treasury bond is 3.916 [6] - The yield on the 5-year US Treasury bond is 3.961, down by 0.010 or 0.25% [7] - The yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond is 4.395, down by 0.013 or 0.29% [7] - The yield on the 30-year US Treasury bond is 4.931, down by 0.018 or 0.36% [7] - The yield on the 10-year UK Treasury bond is 4.622, unchanged [7] - The yield on the 10-year German Treasury bond is 2.694, up by 0.094 or 3.62% [7] - The yield on the 10-year French Treasury bond is 3.373, up by 0.100 or 3.06% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Italian Treasury bond is 3.568, up by 0.104 or 3.00% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Japanese Treasury bond is 1.590, down by 0.008 or 0.50% [7]
金十图示:2025年07月24日(周四)美盘市场行情一览
news flash· 2025-07-24 13:50
Market Overview - The current prices for various precious metals show a decline, with platinum at 1402.310, down by 16.540 or 1.17%, and palladium at 1301.338, down by 34.003 or 2.55% [3] - Gold (COMEX) is priced at 3370.700, decreasing by 26.800 or 0.79%, while silver (COMEX) is at 39.235, down by 0.285 or 0.72% [3] Foreign Exchange Rates - The Euro to USD exchange rate is at 1.176, down by 0.07%, while the GBP to USD is at 1.354, decreasing by 0.26% [4] - The USD to JPY rate is at 146.687, increasing by 0.15%, and the USD to CHF is at 0.794, up by 0.29% [4] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin is priced at 118614.950, down by 141.040 or 0.12%, while Litecoin is at 112.790, increasing by 0.750 or 0.67% [5] - Ethereum is valued at 3644.020, up by 15.730 or 0.43%, and Ripple is at 3.158, down by 0.025 or 0.79% [5] Treasury Bonds - The yield on the 2-year US Treasury bond is at 3.921, increasing by 0.037 or 0.95% [7] - The 5-year yield is at 3.984, up by 0.048 or 1.22%, while the 10-year yield is at 4.426, increasing by 0.037 or 0.84% [8] - The 30-year yield stands at 4.972, up by 0.023 or 0.46% [8]
金十图示:2025年07月24日(周四)欧盘市场行情一览
news flash· 2025-07-24 11:05
Group 1: Precious Metals - Spot platinum (XPTUSD) decreased by 26.260 to 1392.590, reflecting a decline of 1.85% [2] - Spot palladium (XPDUSD) fell by 28.293 to 1307.048, marking a decrease of 2.12% [2] - Gold (COMEX) price dropped by 28.800 to 3368.700, a decline of 0.85% [2] - Silver (COMEX) saw a minor decrease of 0.220 to 39.300, down by 0.56% [2] Group 2: Foreign Exchange - Euro to USD (EURUSD) decreased by 0.19% to 1.175 [3] - GBP to USD (GBPUSD) fell by 0.30% to 1.354 [3] - USD to JPY (USDJPY) increased by 0.07% to 146.571 [3] - AUD to USD (AUDUSD) rose by 0.08% to 0.661 [3] - USD to CHF (USDCHF) increased by 0.30% to 0.795 [3] Group 3: Cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin (BTC) decreased by 382.000 to 118373.990, a decline of 0.32% [4] - Litecoin (LTC) increased by 1.070 to 113.110, reflecting a rise of 0.96% [4] - Ethereum (ETH) fell by 7.320 to 3620.970, down by 0.20% [4] - Ripple (XRP) decreased by 0.080 to 3.104, marking a decline of 2.50% [4] Group 4: Treasury Bonds - The 2-year US Treasury yield rose by 0.011 to 3.895, an increase of 0.28% [6] - The 5-year US Treasury yield increased by 0.016 to 3.952, up by 0.41% [7] - The 10-year US Treasury yield rose by 0.020 to 4.409, reflecting an increase of 0.46% [7] - The 30-year US Treasury yield increased by 0.016 to 4.965, up by 0.32% [7] - The 10-year UK Treasury yield rose by 0.009 to 4.650, an increase of 0.19% [7] - The 10-year German Treasury yield increased by 0.075 to 2.674, reflecting a rise of 2.89% [7] - The 10-year French Treasury yield rose by 0.075 to 3.340, an increase of 2.30% [7] - The 10-year Italian Treasury yield increased by 0.076 to 3.532, up by 2.20% [7] - The 10-year Japanese Treasury yield rose by 0.015 to 1.604, reflecting an increase of 0.94% [7]
美关税大限迫近,多国展开最后冲刺谈判;乌克兰爆发全国性反政府抗议活动,为俄乌冲突以来首次。当前美油继续释放卖出信号,黄金多头占比持续占优,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-07-24 02:57
Group 1 - The U.S. is approaching a deadline for tariffs, prompting multiple countries to engage in last-minute negotiations [1] - Nationwide anti-government protests have erupted in Ukraine, marking the first such occurrence since the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1] - Current market signals indicate continued selling pressure on WTI crude oil, while gold remains favored by bullish sentiment [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 32% and bearish sentiment of 68% [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 37% and bearish sentiment of 63% [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a bullish sentiment of 55% and bearish sentiment of 45% [3] - The Dow Jones Index indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 81% and a bearish sentiment of 19% [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a bullish sentiment of 82% and bearish sentiment of 18% [3] - The DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 84% and bearish sentiment of 16% [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 14% and bearish sentiment of 86% [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a bullish sentiment of 14% and bearish sentiment of 86% [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 7% and bearish sentiment of 93% [3] - The Euro/AUD pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 18% and bearish sentiment of 82% [3] - The GBP/USD pair shows a strong bullish sentiment of 79% and bearish sentiment of 21% [3] - The GBP/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75% [3] - The USD/JPY pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 37% and bearish sentiment of 63% [3] - The USD/CAD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 22% and bearish sentiment of 78% [3] - The USD/CHF pair indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 93% and bearish sentiment of 7% [3]
金十图示:2025年07月24日(周四)亚盘市场行情
news flash· 2025-07-24 01:43
Commodity Prices - Spot platinum (XPTUSD) is priced at 1415.680, down by 3.170 or 0.22% [2] - Spot palladium (XPDUSD) is priced at 1326.159, down by 9.182 or 0.69% [2] - Gold (COMEX) is priced at 3394.500, down by 3.000 or 0.09% [2] - Silver (COMEX) is priced at 39.455, down by 0.065 or 0.16% [2] Foreign Exchange Rates - Euro to USD (EURUSD) is at 1.178, up by 0.04% [3] - GBP to USD (GBPUSD) is at 1.359, up by 0.04% [3] - USD to JPY (USDJPY) is at 145.938, down by 0.37% [3] - AUD to USD (AUDUSD) is at 0.661, up by 0.09% [3] - USD to CHF (USDCHF) is at 0.792, down by 0.07% [3] Cryptocurrency Prices - Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at 118989.970, up by 233.980 or 0.20% [4] - Litecoin (LTC) is priced at 113.640, up by 1.600 or 1.43% [4] - Ethereum (ETH) is priced at 3638.660, up by 10.370 or 0.29% [4] - Ripple (XRP) is priced at 3.202, up by 0.019 or 0.60% [4] Treasury Bonds - The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury bond is 3.889, up by 0.005 or 0.13% [6] - The yield on the 5-year U.S. Treasury bond is 3.940, up by 0.004 or 0.10% [7] - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond is 4.390, up by 0.001 or 0.02% [7] - The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond is 4.942, down by 0.007 or 0.14% [7] - The yield on the 10-year UK Treasury bond is 4.642, up by 0.001 or 0.02% [7] - The yield on the 10-year German Treasury bond is 2.600, up by 0.012 or 0.46% [7] - The yield on the 10-year French Treasury bond is 3.273, up by 0.008 or 0.25% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Italian Treasury bond is 3.464, up by 0.001 or 0.03% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Japanese Treasury bond is 1.595, up by 0.006 or 0.38% [7]
金十图示:2025年07月23日(周三)美盘市场行情一览
news flash· 2025-07-23 13:50
Group 1: Precious Metals - Spot platinum (XPTUSD) is priced at 1432.640, down by 7.600 or 0.53% [2] - Spot palladium (XPDUSD) is priced at 1317.899, down by 1.667 or 0.13% [2] - Gold (COMEX GC) is priced at 3421.900, down by 22.100 or 0.64% [2] - Silver (COMEX SI) is priced at 39.780, up by 0.120 or 0.30% [2] Group 2: Foreign Exchange - Euro to USD (EURUSD) is down by 0.30% at 1.172 [3] - GBP to USD (GBPUSD) remains unchanged at 1.353 [3] - USD to JPY (USDJPY) is up by 0.02% at 146.673 [3] - AUD to USD (AUDUSD) is up by 0.43% at 0.658 [3] - USD to CHF (USDCHF) is up by 0.36% at 0.795 [3] Group 3: Cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at 117610.010, down by 2344.420 or 1.95% [4] - Litecoin (LTC) is priced at 112.370, down by 7.280 or 6.08% [4] - Ethereum (ETH) is priced at 3614.730, down by 131.480 or 3.51% [4] - Ripple (XRP) is priced at 3.281, down by 0.269 or 7.59% [4] Group 4: Treasury Bonds - The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury bond is 3.857, up by 0.026 or 0.68% [6] - The yield on the 5-year U.S. Treasury bond is 3.915, up by 0.039 or 1.01% [7] - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond is 4.378, up by 0.042 or 0.97% [7] - The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond is 4.945, up by 0.042 or 0.86% [7] - The yield on the 10-year UK Treasury bond is 4.624, up by 0.052 or 1.14% [7] - The yield on the 10-year German Treasury bond is 2.611, up by 0.023 or 0.89% [7] - The yield on the 10-year French Treasury bond is 3.283, up by 0.019 or 0.58% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Italian Treasury bond is 3.474, up by 0.013 or 0.38% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Japanese Treasury bond is 1.593, up by 0.083 or 5.50% [7]
鲍威尔面临刑事指控,白宫表态特朗普无计划解雇鲍威尔;俄乌新一轮谈判计划明日举行,以色列对胡塞武装发动大规模空袭。当前黄金多空相持,美油卖出信号显现,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)。
news flash· 2025-07-22 02:49
Group 1 - Powell faces criminal charges, while the White House states that Trump has no plans to dismiss Powell [1] - New round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine is scheduled for tomorrow, indicating ongoing geopolitical tensions [1] - Israel has launched large-scale airstrikes against Houthi forces, reflecting regional conflicts [1] Group 2 - Current market sentiment shows a stalemate in gold trading, with signals indicating potential sell-off in WTI crude oil [1] - The sentiment in various indices shows a mixed outlook, with the S&P 500 at 71% bullish and 29% bearish, while the Nasdaq is evenly split at 50% [3] - In the foreign exchange market, the Euro against the Dollar shows a significant bearish sentiment at 77% [3]