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邦达亚洲:美联储12月份降息预期降温 黄金小幅收跌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 10:21
Group 1: Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decisions - Several Federal Reserve regional presidents expressed dissatisfaction with the decision to lower interest rates, indicating a growing internal division regarding future rate paths [1] - Dallas Fed President Logan stated that she does not see the necessity for a rate cut unless inflation significantly decreases or the labor market cools down [1] - Cleveland Fed President Harmack criticized the rate cut, suggesting that current rates are close to neutral and further cuts could undermine efforts to bring inflation back to the 2% target [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators and Concerns - Atlanta Fed President Bostic emphasized the need for Powell to demonstrate the internal disagreements to prevent market misinterpretation of the rate path [1] - Fed Governor Waller advocated for a rate cut in December, citing concerns over the labor market and downplaying the inflationary risks from tariffs [2] - Waller noted that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate is approximately 2.5%, indicating it is not far from the target [2] Group 3: Market Reactions - Gold prices experienced slight declines due to hawkish Fed decisions and reduced expectations for a December rate cut, alongside easing trade tensions [3] - The USD/JPY pair saw a slight decline influenced by profit-taking and expectations of intervention by the Bank of Japan, despite strong CPI data [4] - The USD/CAD pair rose slightly, supported by hawkish Fed sentiments and weak Canadian GDP data, although rising oil prices limited its upward movement [5]
午后,市场突变
Group 1: Banking Sector Performance - The banking sector showed strong performance in the afternoon, with notable increases in shares of Shanghai Pudong Development Bank (SPDB) and Nanjing Bank, both rising over 5% [1] - SPDB announced that Dongfang Asset increased its stake in the bank through the secondary market by purchasing common shares and convertible bonds [1] Group 2: Stock Market Data - SPDB's stock opened at 12.55, with a high of 12.54 and a low of 11.78, achieving a trading volume of 1.52 million shares and a total transaction value of 1.861 billion [2] - Nanjing Bank's stock opened at 11.35, reaching a high of 11.36 and a low of 10.79, with a trading volume of 776,000 shares and a total transaction value of 859 million [3] Group 3: Port and Shipping Sector - The port and shipping sector experienced localized fluctuations, with Nanjing Port hitting the daily limit up [5] - Other companies in the sector, such as Lianyungang and China National Offshore Oil Corporation, also saw significant price increases [5] Group 4: Gold Market Activity - Spot gold prices surged, breaking through $4,070 per ounce, leading to a rebound in Hong Kong gold stocks, with companies like Chifeng Jilong Gold and Zijin Mining rising over 6% [8] - Gold futures also showed significant gains, with Shanghai gold rising by 2% to 927.66 yuan per gram [11] Group 5: Market Indices - As of the latest update, major indices showed a narrowing decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3,874.24 points, down 0.58%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13,119.42 points, down 1.77% [16]
挂单报告:黄金上方阻力密布 镑美留意一处上行押注
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-06 07:04
Group 1: Gold Market - Spot gold decreased by 0.10%, with resistance levels at 3381, 3384, and 3393, while support levels are at 3370, 3366, and 3360. A short position is favored near 3349.5 [1] Group 2: Silver Market - Spot silver increased by 0.18%, with resistance levels at 38.00 and 38.35, while support levels are at 37.68 and 37.42. A long position is favored near 38.24 [2][3] Group 3: Crude Oil Market - Spot crude oil rose by 0.64%, with resistance levels at 66.35, 67.00, and 68.00, while support levels are at 65.00, 64.10, and 63.00. The current spot price is approximately $0.50 higher than WTI crude oil futures [3][5] Group 4: Currency Market - The GBP/USD pair increased by 0.03%, with resistance levels at 1.3315, 1.3340, and 1.3363, while support levels are at 1.3280, 1.3265, and 1.3240. A long position is favored near 1.3323 [9][10] - The USD/JPY pair decreased by 0.03%, with resistance levels at 147.68, 147.93, and 148.18, while support levels are at 147.25, 147.10, and 146.85. A short position is favored near 147.28 [11]