Company Overview - In Q2 2025, the retail revenue of the Li Ning brand (excluding Li Ning YOUNG) grew at a low single-digit percentage year-on-year, with a net increase of 11 retail points during the quarter [1] - The wholesale channel continued to outperform direct sales, with healthy inventory levels despite pressure on discounts due to market fluctuations [1] - The retail revenue from offline direct sales declined at a mid-single-digit percentage year-on-year, with a net decrease of 13 retail points, while the offline wholesale channel saw low single-digit growth and a net opening of 24 retail points [1] Product Performance - In terms of product categories, the running category saw high single-digit year-on-year growth, although the growth rate slowed compared to Q1 2025, which benefited from sponsorship of events like the Beijing Marathon [1] - The fitness category continued to perform well with high single-digit year-on-year growth, while the sports lifestyle category stabilized with flat year-on-year performance [1] - The basketball category experienced a decline in line with industry trends, while emerging categories such as outdoor and badminton maintained healthy growth [1] Discount and Inventory Management - Discounts in both online and offline channels deepened year-on-year at a low single-digit percentage, but the company maintained a healthy inventory level, with a channel inventory-to-sales ratio of approximately 4x as of the end of June [1] Future Outlook - Since July, retail has continued to fluctuate, with pressure on offline revenue and discounts for the Li Ning brand [2] - In the second half of the year, the company plans to increase marketing and product investment around the theme of "Olympics and Technology," including activities related to Olympic sponsorship and new product launches in various categories [2] - The management maintains guidance for 2025 revenue to be flat year-on-year and a high single-digit net profit margin [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 0.92 and 1.07 HKD respectively, with the current stock price corresponding to 16x and 14x the 2025 and 2026 P/E ratios [2] - The target price remains at 20.82 HKD, implying a 30% upside potential compared to the current stock price, corresponding to 21x and 18x the 2025 and 2026 P/E ratios [2]

Core Viewpoint - Company maintains EPS forecasts for 2025/26 at 0.92/1.07 HKD, with current stock price corresponding to 16/14 times 2025/26 P/E ratio, maintaining an outperform rating and target price of 20.82 HKD, indicating a 30% upside potential from current price [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the retail revenue of the Li Ning brand (excluding Li Ning YOUNG) grew low single digits year-on-year, with a net increase of 11 retail points in the quarter [1] - Wholesale channel continues to outperform direct sales, with offline wholesale retail revenue growing low single digits year-on-year and a net opening of 24 retail points during the period; online channel retail revenue grew mid single digits year-on-year [2] - The running category saw sales growth in high single digits year-on-year, while the fitness category continued to perform well with high single-digit growth; the sports lifestyle category stabilized with year-on-year growth flat in Q2 2025 [2] Group 2: Inventory and Discounts - Despite a volatile retail environment, the company maintained a healthy inventory level, with a channel inventory turnover ratio of approximately 4x as of the end of June, indicating controllable inventory status [2] - Discounts in both online and offline channels deepened low single digits year-on-year [2] Group 3: Marketing and Future Outlook - As retail remains volatile since July, the company plans to increase marketing and product investment focused on "Olympics plus technology" for the second half of the year, including activities related to Olympic sponsorship and new product launches in various categories [3] - The management maintains guidance for 2025 revenue to be flat year-on-year, with net profit margin in high single digits [3]

Summary of Li Ning Company Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Li Ning Company - **Period**: Q2 2025 Key Points Store Performance - In Q2 2025, Li Ning's main brand stores decreased by 18, while Li Ning YOUNG brand stores decreased by 33, aligning with the company's plan for the year [2][4] - As of the end of Q2 2025, the total number of Li Ning main brand stores was 6,099, a net increase of 11 from the previous quarter but a decrease of 18 from the end of the previous year [4] Sales and Revenue - Overall, the company achieved low single-digit revenue growth of approximately 1% in Q2 2025, which was below internal expectations [3] - The offline channel experienced a low single-digit decline, while the e-commerce channel saw a mid-single-digit growth, although performance during the 618 shopping festival was weak [3][5] Marketing and Brand Strategy - Following the signing of Yang Hansheng, Li Ning plans to launch limited edition products featuring his personal logo, aiming to enhance brand recognition despite short-term challenges in the basketball category [2][7] - The company is focusing on the "Honor Series" product line for the Olympics, with marketing centered around "Olympics plus Technology" [2][8] Inventory Management - Li Ning reported a healthy inventory situation with a turnover rate of approximately 4 months and a stock-to-sales ratio of around 4 [2][10] - The company is monitoring international brand inventory normalization and trends in high-end technology products to adjust its strategy accordingly [9][10] Market Challenges - The overall retail environment remains challenging, with increased discounting pressures leading to a decline in gross margins [2][14] - The company anticipates continued pressure on gross margins for the remainder of the year, making it difficult to maintain the previous year's gross margin level of 49.4% [14] Future Outlook - For H2 2025, Li Ning's marketing efforts will focus on the Olympics, with specific attention on running products that emphasize protection and stability, as well as outdoor products for the autumn and winter seasons [17][18] - The company expects competition to remain fierce in 2026, which could benefit market health but is difficult to predict due to macroeconomic uncertainties [11][12] Financial Strategy - Li Ning has increased its interim dividend and plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 50% while exploring other forms of shareholder returns, such as stock buybacks [26] - The company aims to balance revenue growth and discount strategies while maintaining a healthy inventory and managing risks [15][16] Marketing Activities - In H1 2025, Li Ning conducted various marketing activities, including a partnership with the Chinese Olympic Committee and events promoting Olympic culture across multiple cities [25] - The company plans to increase marketing expenditures in H2 2025, particularly due to the Olympic-related activities [23] Product Development - Li Ning is expanding its product lines in niche categories like tennis and pickleball, while the badminton category has shown significant growth, although it remains smaller compared to major categories like running and basketball [21][22] Conclusion - Li Ning is navigating a challenging retail environment with strategic marketing initiatives and a focus on inventory management, while preparing for future growth opportunities in the context of the upcoming Olympics and evolving market dynamics [27]