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多重利好共振!乳业股集体冲高,优然牧业涨逾9%
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-15 04:40
在港股市场,截至发稿前,优然牧业(09858.HK)大涨9.07%,现代牧业(01117.HK)涨5.07%,中国 飞鹤(06186.HK)涨2.18%,蒙牛乳业(02319.HK)等均涨。 此外,行业自身的周期反转预期,亦成为此次板块上涨重要催化。 在A股市场,乳业板块同步冲高。其中,皇氏集团(002329.SZ)、阳光乳业(001318.SZ)均录得涨停 板;贝因美(002570.SZ)涨5.26%,三元股份(600429.SH)涨3.88%,西部牧业(300106.SZ)涨 3.08%,麦趣尔(002719.SZ)涨2.89%。 对于此次乳业股的集体上涨,市场分析认为,这是板块轮动、消费回暖、生育政策预期与行业周期反转 等多重因素共同作用的结果。 消息面上,12月13日,全国医疗保障工作会议在北京召开,国家医保局在会议上发布多项数据和措施。 其中包括,力争2026年全国基本实现政策范围内分娩个人"无自付"。 分析指出,若这一政策落地,有望降低生育成本,或进一步释放生育意愿,从而带动母婴乳制品等相关 细分市场的需求增长,直接利好乳业产业链。 同时,12月14日,商务部办公厅等三部门再度发布关于加强商务和金 ...
机构:乳制品行业渗透率仍有提升空间
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-10-24 00:44
Core Viewpoint - The Henan Provincial Government has issued policies to accelerate the transformation and high-quality development of the livestock industry, particularly focusing on supporting the dairy sector through financial incentives and promoting integrated development of dairy farming and processing [1] Group 1: Policy Measures - The government will provide a one-time subsidy of up to 2 million yuan for dairy processing companies that purchase over 10,000 tons of fresh milk annually from social farms [1] - Dairy farms that obtain production licenses for dairy products will also receive a one-time subsidy of up to 2 million yuan [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - Dongxing Securities predicts that by 2025, the supply-demand structure of dairy products will further optimize, with signs of a rebound in milk prices, expecting a balance in fresh milk supply and demand in the second half of the year [1] - Donghai Securities notes that with policy support, there is still room for improvement in the penetration rate of the dairy industry, and if milk prices enter an upward cycle, the performance of livestock companies is expected to grow rapidly [1] - Guotai Haitong Securities highlights that the dairy industry is currently at a triple bottom in supply, demand, and inventory, with the reduction of livestock being a key driver for closing the supply-demand gap [1]