近日，贵州省黔东南州突遭特大洪涝灾害，洪水肆虐、房屋被毁、道路中断，家园告急。贵州证券业协 会各会员单位闻"汛"而动，第一时间筹备善款，紧急调配食品、药品、净水器等救灾物资，发挥专业优 势提供技术支援，更有志愿者队伍奔赴一线参与抢险，用实际行动践行社会责任，彰显了贵州资本市场 风雨同舟的硬核担当。 贵阳朗玛信息（300288）技术股份有限公司组建车队，满载生活必需品奔赴灾区，传递温暖与关怀。 上海中联（贵阳）律师事务所发出"心系黔东南、风雨共担当"救灾倡议，事务所员工积极响应，踊跃捐 款，以实际行动向灾区群众传递爱心与力量。 贵州省交通规划勘察设计研究院股份有限公司党委委员挂帅成立突发灾害应急工作领导小组，20余名党 员同志奔赴灾情一线，充分发挥基层党支部战斗堡垒作用和党员先锋模范作用。 洪水无情，人间有爱。众志成城，共担风雨。协会其他会员单位亦迅速行动，有的捐献爱心款项，有的 积极参与义卖活动、认购救灾物资，以各种方式向灾区传递温暖，为抗洪救灾贡献力量。（郑渝川） 截至7月4日，已有13家会员单位参与援助行动，捐助金额达94.37万元。其中，捐款23.15万元为灾区应 急调度提供资金支持；提供71.22万元 ...

公司基本情况 证券研究报告：食品饮料 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 | 最新收盘价（元） | 17.71 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）8.61 | / 8.51 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）152 | / 151 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 21.35 / 7.98 | | | 资产负债率(%) | 64.6% | | | 市盈率 | 28.56 | | | 第一大股东 | Universal | Dairy | | Limited | | | 研究所 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:张子健 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050001 Email:zhangzijian@cnpsec.com 新乳业(002946) 低温延续增长势头，常温呈现积极变化 l 投资要点 公司推新能力强，新品助力公司营收利润不断增长。公司新品主 要聚焦在高毛利的低温品类，新品的推出在提升收入的同时也改善了 公司整体的产品结构。新乳业持续打 ...

【导读】金健米业收年报问询函，乳业收入下降毛利率却上升、预付对象变化较大被关注 中国基金报记者 南深 5 月 26 日，被称为 A 股 " 粮食第一股 " 的金健米业，时隔五年再次收到监管部门对其年度 报告的问询函。针对问询函涉及的三方面问题，公司用了一个月完成回复。 公告显示，上交所关注了金健米业粮油食品加工业和农产品贸易收入有关数据存在差异的原 因、乳业收入下降但毛利率上升且处于同行业较高水平的原因及合理性、本期预付对象较上 期存在较大差异的原因及合理性等问题。 被要求说明业绩大幅下滑原因 及两业务收入数据存在差异原因 公告显示，金健米业于 2024 年 11 月实施资产置换，目前主营粮油食品加工、农产品贸 易、乳品的生产销售。 6 月 29 日晚，金健米业发布了关于对《上海证券交易所对公司 2024 年年度报告的信息披 露监管问询函》的回复公告。 金健米业 2024 年年报显示，公司乳业收入 9662 万元，同比下滑 15.21%； 因生奶采购价 格下降导致毛利率上升 6.85 个百分点至 36.04% ，处于同行较高水平。 上交所要求金健米业对比同行业可比公司，列示近两年生奶采购成本和采购量、乳品销售 ...

原奶下行周期机遇 在奶酪细分赛道中，原制奶酪因其更高的技术门槛和附加值，正成为头部乳企的必争之地。本报记者实地探访妙 可蓝多吉林工厂时观察到，工人们正在生产线上忙碌。作为妙可蓝多最早期的核心工厂之一，吉林工厂目前主要 生产原制马苏、常温奶酪棒、手撕奶酪等产品。2022年开始，妙可蓝多加大了在原制奶酪领域的研发和生产，吉 林工厂成为承担原制奶酪研发和生产的核心基地。 在接受记者采访时，蒯玉龙表示，原制奶酪生产面临技术和成本两大挑战，由于原制奶酪需以鲜奶为原料，并最 终面向C端市场，企业不仅要突破生产工艺难题，还需应对安佳、恒天然等国际品牌的竞争。他透露，妙可蓝多 吉林原制奶酪新工厂预计明年投产，以进一步优化供应链，提升成本竞争力。 尽管前景广阔，但中国奶酪市场仍处于早期培育阶段。蒯玉龙指出，奶酪消费的两大核心指标是渗透率和购买频 次。目前，国内奶酪的C端渗透率不足1/3，远低于类似渠道的低温酸奶等品类。"支付能力并非用户不买的最大阻 力。" 他表示，企业要想在奶酪的业务上继续深耕，就必须着力强化奶酪的渗透率以及消费者的购买频次，新渠 道新媒介教育推广任重道远。 近年来，中国乳制品行业进入深度调整期。传统液态奶消 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is preparing for its 2024 Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for June 23, 2025, focusing on maintaining shareholder rights and ensuring orderly proceedings during the meeting [2][3][4]. Meeting Agenda - The AGM will cover various proposals including the 2024 Board of Directors' work report, financial reports, profit distribution plans, and the election of directors and supervisors [3][4][14]. - A proposal regarding loans from China Construction Bank and Bank of China, guaranteed by the company, will also be discussed [3][14]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 722 million yuan for 2024, a decrease of 25.36% year-on-year, indicating challenges in the dairy industry due to fluctuations in raw milk prices and changing market demands [9][10]. - The company aims to adapt to new market conditions and maintain high-quality product offerings despite short-term challenges [9][10]. Governance and Compliance - The company has revised its governance structures and compliance protocols in line with relevant laws and regulations to enhance operational efficiency and protect shareholder rights [9][10][12]. - The company has established a risk management framework to mitigate financial risks associated with its operations [12][13]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on digital transformation to improve operational efficiency and enhance sales through e-commerce channels [11][12]. - It is also exploring low-carbon practices and sustainable development initiatives to align with industry trends and consumer preferences [13][20]. Shareholder Engagement - The company is committed to maintaining transparent communication with shareholders, utilizing various platforms for investor relations and feedback [18][19]. - The company has implemented a reminder service for shareholders to ensure participation in the AGM and voting processes [5][6]. Independent Directors' Reports - Independent directors have actively participated in governance, ensuring compliance and protecting the interests of minority shareholders [21][24][31]. - They have focused on key issues such as financial audits, executive compensation, and related party transactions [23][27][32].

Group 1 - Thailand's dairy product exports are projected to grow by 11.5% year-on-year in 2024, reaching a total export value of $582 million, leading ASEAN countries in this sector [1] - Major export markets for Thai dairy products include Malaysia, Vietnam, Indonesia, Singapore, the Philippines, and Myanmar, with Malaysia showing a significant import increase of 64.3% [1] - The Thai Ministry of Commerce attributes this growth to the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement, which provides a competitive advantage for Thai dairy products in the region [1] Group 2 - The Thai Dairy Promotion Organization is implementing a 2023-2027 action plan aimed at modernizing and increasing the efficiency of dairy farms, thereby enhancing production efficiency and farmer income [2] - The plan includes promoting more farms to meet "smart farm" standards, improving farm management efficiency, and increasing raw milk production at the farm level [2] - Thai dairy companies are increasingly exploring low-fat, zero-fat, plant-based, and lactose-free dairy products to meet diverse consumer preferences [2] Group 3 - Thai dairy products are expanding exports to markets such as China, Australia, New Zealand, and Chile, benefiting from various bilateral and multilateral free trade agreements [3] - Thailand plans to further explore emerging markets in Africa and Latin America to enhance its position in global dairy trade [3]

食品饮料行业观察 及 2025 年信用风险展望 联合资信 工商评级二部 孙长征|李成帅 2024 年，受消费信心不足等因素影响，食品饮料行业需求较为疲弱；但在扩内需、促消费等政策措施助力 下，行业总体保持了平稳发展。 展望 2025 年，货币政策的适度宽松以及一系列扩内需措施的执行有望提振食品饮料消费需求，粮食等主要 原料价格的基本稳定有利于降低经营者的成本压力，食品饮料行业的景气度有望提升。在政策红利、消费复苏 与技术变革的多重驱动下，食品饮料行业有望呈现市场规模扩容与竞争格局重构的特征，头部企业加速整合， 通过并购扩张与本土化运营巩固竞争优势；部分中小企业通过专业化、个性化经营，也可以在局部领域取得竞 争优势，获得一定的发展空间。 www.lhratings.com 研究报告 1 一、行业概况 食品饮料行业是国民经济重要的支柱行业，行业整体处于产业链中、下游，其上 游主要是农业、养殖业以及食品添加剂及食品包装等行业，下游则通过商超、电商、 餐饮等环节到达终端消费者。食品饮料行业下属不同子行业间差异较大，但也具有一 定共性，整体看，多数子行业的产品具有一定消费刚性，行业进入壁垒相对较低、竞 争激烈，行业产销 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for FY 2024, but showed significant improvement in non-recurring net profit, indicating a potential recovery path for FY 2025 [1][5]. Financial Performance - FY 2024 revenue was 7.012 billion yuan, down 10.7% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was 55 million yuan, down 77.4%; non-recurring net profit was 30 million yuan, up 934.2% [1]. - Q4 2024 revenue was 1.620 billion yuan, down 4.5% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was -49 million yuan, down 518.2%; non-recurring net profit was -41 million yuan, down 83.2% [1]. - Q1 2025 revenue was 1.647 billion yuan, down 19.5% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was 88 million yuan, up 20.9%; non-recurring net profit was 83 million yuan, up 22.6% [1]. Product Performance - In FY 2024, revenue from liquid milk, solid milk, ice cream, and others was 4.411 billion, 963 million, 1.499 billion yuan, respectively, with changes of -8.8%, +3.5%, and -11.7% year-on-year [2]. - Q4 2024 revenue from liquid milk, solid milk, ice cream, and others was 1.052 billion, 288 million, 218 million yuan, with changes of -12.9%, +31.9%, and -6.5% year-on-year [2]. - Q1 2025 revenue from liquid milk, solid milk, ice cream, and others was 1.024 billion, 213 million, 360 million yuan, with changes of -15.2%, -13.3%, and -35.9% year-on-year [2]. Sales Model - In FY 2024, revenue from direct sales, distributors, and others was 2.243 billion, 3.840 billion, and 790 million yuan, with changes of -18.4%, -5.8%, and -8.2% year-on-year [3]. - Q4 2024 revenue from direct sales, distributors, and others was 592 million, 919 million, and 471 million yuan, with changes of -26.0%, +38.7%, and -73.7% year-on-year [3]. - Q1 2025 revenue from direct sales, distributors, and others was 595 million, 792 million, and 209 million yuan, with changes of -7.2%, -31.7%, and -1.3% year-on-year [3]. Regional Performance - In FY 2024, revenue from Beijing and outside Beijing was 3.436 billion and 3.437 billion yuan, with changes of -28.8% and +20.2% year-on-year [3]. - Q4 2024 revenue from Beijing and outside Beijing was 766 million and 791 million yuan, with changes of -22.5% and +21.3% year-on-year [3]. - Q1 2025 revenue from Beijing and outside Beijing was 779 million and 818 million yuan, with changes of -40.3% and +15.5% year-on-year [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is expanding its "fresh" strategy from Beijing to key regions nationwide, with a reported sales increase of 341% for low-temperature products [4]. - The company is optimizing its product structure, reducing costs, and focusing on high-margin products, leading to a ninefold increase in non-recurring net profit [5]. - The company is implementing a "dairy+" strategy, expanding its product matrix and entering new markets such as tea and coffee [9]. Organizational Efficiency - The company has streamlined its organizational structure, reducing headquarters departments from 21 to 14 and cutting personnel by 46% to enhance management efficiency [8]. - The company is investing in digital transformation across core business areas to improve operational capabilities [8]. Investment Outlook - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2026 have been adjusted, with expected revenues of 7.19 billion and 7.35 billion yuan, and net profits of 860 million and 1.05 billion yuan for the same period [10].

Core Viewpoint - The company, New Dairy Industry (002946.SZ), has demonstrated a better market performance than the industry average despite the overall downturn in the dairy sector, particularly through its focus on low-temperature milk products. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue is projected to be 10.665 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decline of 2.93%, while the dairy product segment still achieved a growth of 0.83% [2] - The overall sales of dairy products across all channels fell by 2.7% in the past year, with major competitors like Mengniu (2319.HK) and Yili (600887.SH) experiencing revenue declines exceeding 10% and 12% respectively in their liquid milk segments [4] - New Dairy Industry achieved a net profit of 538 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 24.8%, attributed to a higher proportion of low-temperature milk and declining raw milk costs [4] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The low-temperature milk segment has seen its penetration rate increase from 23% in 2020 to 41% in 2024, with nearly 60% of households in first-tier cities purchasing fresh milk more than twice a week [8] - Over half of New Dairy Industry's revenue comes from low-temperature products, capitalizing on the growth opportunities in this niche market [9] - The company has experienced a rise in gross margin to 28.36%, an increase of 3.8 percentage points over the past four years, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin products [12] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The low-temperature milk market remains competitive, with no clear leader, as major brands are rapidly expanding their market shares [13] - In the second half of 2024, Guangming (600594.SH) is expected to catch up to Yili in market share, while Mengniu's high-end low-temperature brand "Daily Fresh" is gaining traction through aggressive marketing [14] - Price wars are looming, putting pressure on New Dairy Industry's mid-to-high-end products, as promotional expenses increased by 100 million yuan, while revenue growth for the "24-hour" series slowed from 40% to 15% year-on-year [15] Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - New Dairy Industry has pursued a national expansion strategy through acquisitions, having spent over 3.3 billion yuan on acquisitions since its listing, which has allowed it to operate 15 sub-brands [24][25] - The company is now focusing on "internal growth" and aims for a compound annual growth rate of double digits and a 10% reduction in debt ratio over the next five years [30] - The company plans to enhance operational quality in existing businesses while remaining open to acquisition opportunities, particularly in the growing low-temperature milk markets in second and third-tier cities [31]