黑色金属数据日报 | 2025/06/18 | | 国贸期货出品 ITG 国贸期货 | | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可[2012] 31号 | | | | 黑色金属研究中心 | 执业证号 | 投资咨询证号 | | 张宇慧 | F0286636 | Z0010820 | | 黄志鸿 | F3051824 | Z0015761 | | 节子勖 | F03094002 | Z0020036 | | | 远月合约收盘价 | RB2601 | HC2601 | 12601 | J2601 | JM2601 | 7000 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (元/吨) | | | | | | 6000 | | | 6月17日 | 2974.00 | 3091.00 | 670.00 | 1388.00 | 807.00 | 5000 | | | 涨跌值 | 0.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | 13. 50 | 9.00 | 4000 | | | 涨跌幅(%) | 0.00 0 | 0. 10 | - ...

5月14日，A股主要指数早盘小幅震荡，午后市场突然大幅飙升，沪指站上3400点。截至收盘，三大指数集体翻红，沪 指涨0.86%报3403点，深证成指涨0.64%，创业板指涨1.01%。 全天成交1.35万亿元，较前一交易日增量239亿元，全市场超2300股上涨，逾2800股下跌。 盘面上，大金融板块午后爆发，航运港口板块持续走强，物流、快递板块走高，海洋经济、数字货币、化纤及小金属等 板块涨幅居前；昨日大涨的光伏设备板块回调，航天航空板块走低，航天电子领跌，机器人板块走弱，电机、贵金属及 民爆概念等跌幅居前。 银行股其实在上午就已经是多头主力控制的阵地，该板块上午冲破了10万亿市值大关。午后，券商和保险明显发力。 保险板块爆发，中国人保涨停，中国太保涨超8%，新华保险涨超6%，中国人寿、中国平安均涨超4%。 多元金融、证券板块也涨幅居前，瑞达期货、红塔证券涨停，南华期货涨超7%，广发证券、华西证券、永安期货、新 力金融等跟涨。 此外，农业银行、交通银行、上海银行、成都银行等多只银行股盘中均创上市以来最高纪录。 大金融板块为何会在今日爆发？ 山西证券认为，随着资本市场流动性的改善，以及各项宏观政策托底经济，资本 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several steel companies, including Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Nanjing Steel, among others [3][4]. Core Viewpoints - Macro policies are expected to support marginal improvements in steel demand, with the government implementing measures such as interest rate cuts and increased lending for technological innovation [3]. - The report highlights a decrease in steel prices and profits, with specific price drops noted for various steel products as of May 9, 2025 [1][9]. - Steel production has decreased, with total output for five major steel products at 8.74 million tons, a reduction of 95,200 tons week-on-week [2]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - As of May 9, 2025, the price of 20mm HRB400 rebar in Shanghai is 3,150 CNY/ton, down 50 CNY/ton from the previous week [1][10]. - Other steel products also saw price declines, including hot-rolled and cold-rolled sheets [1][10]. Profitability - The report indicates a decline in steel profits, with rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel margins decreasing by 13 CNY/ton, 2 CNY/ton, and 44 CNY/ton respectively [1][2]. Production and Inventory - Total production of five major steel products decreased to 8.74 million tons, with rebar production specifically down to 2.2353 million tons [2]. - Total social inventory of these steel products increased by 94,200 tons to 1,031.93 million tons [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies within the general steel sector such as Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Nanjing Steel, as well as special steel companies like CITIC Special Steel and Yongjin Co., Ltd. [3]. - It also recommends monitoring high-temperature alloy companies like Fushun Special Steel [3].

钢铁周报 20250511 宏观政策托底，钢材需求有望边际改善 2025 年 05 月 11 日 ➢ 价格：本周钢材价格下跌。截至 5 月 9 日，上海 20mm HRB400 材质螺纹 价格为 3150 元/吨，较上周降 50 元/吨。高线 8.0mm 价格为 3380 元/吨，较 上周降 40 元/吨。热轧 3.0mm 价格为 3230 元/吨，较上周降 30 元/吨。冷轧 1.0mm 价格为 3600 元/吨，较上周降 70 元/吨。普中板 20mm 价格为 3470 元 /吨，较上周降 40 元/吨。本周原材料中，国产矿市场价格稳中有跌，进口矿市 场价格稳中有跌，废钢价格持平。 ➢ 利润：本周钢材利润下降。长流程方面，我们测算本周行业螺纹钢、热轧和 冷轧毛利分别环比前一周变化-13 元/吨，-2 元/吨和-44 元/吨。短流程方面，本 周电炉钢毛利环比前一周变化-17 元/吨。 ➢ 产量与库存：截至 5 月 9 日，五大钢材产量下降，总库存环比上升。产量方 面，本周五大钢材品种产量 874 万吨，环比降 9.52 万吨，其中建筑钢材产量周 环比减 10.02 万吨，板材产量周环比升 0.5 万吨，螺纹 ...