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居民存款:从“回家”到“再搬家”
2025-08-24 14:47
摘要 2017 年至 2022 年,居民存款快速增长,2022 年达 17.8 万亿元峰值, 增速从 1.1%升至 17.4%。2023 年起增速回落,预计 2025 年降至 10%左右。房地产市场下行和资管产品收益下降是存款增长的主要驱动 因素。 金融监管收紧和资管新规落地导致部分资金回流银行存款。央行推进存 款利率市场化改革,2022 年 9 月至 2025 年 5 月,五年期定存利率累 计下调 135 个基点,短端利率下调 60 个基点,促使资金流向理财产品 等。 随着存款利率下调和资本市场收益增强,居民投资偏好多元化,青睐理 财产品、货币基金等类货币金融产品。债券、股票等风险资产在 2024 年相对收益提升,也吸引部分资金流入。 2017/2018 年是居民金融资产配置的重要拐点,现金存款配置比例上 升,2022 年占比达 85%,表明财富回流存款端。2023 年以来,金融 产品和资管产品投资比例回升至 31%,但仍低于 2014-2017 年水平, 存款类配置比例维持在 70%左右。 Q&A 近年来我国居民存款的变化趋势如何?具体有哪些阶段性的特征? 从 2018 年开始,我国居民存款进入了一个持续 ...
创历史新低!160万亿存款动手?
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-06-08 10:39
Core Viewpoint - The yield of money market funds is declining significantly, with major funds experiencing a drop of 30-50 basis points compared to the previous year, indicating a shift in the investment landscape as residents seek higher returns amid low interest rates [1][2][7]. Group 1: Current Yield Trends - As of June 6, 2023, the 7-day annualized yield of Yu'ebao reached a historical low of 1.18%, down from 1.56% a year ago [1][5]. - The top 15 money market funds show a general decline in yields, with most funds experiencing a decrease of 30-50 basis points compared to the previous year [2][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Asset Allocation - The report from Everbright Wealth indicates that the proportion of financial assets in Chinese residents' portfolios has been increasing, reaching 54.6% in 2021 and projected to exceed 100% in 2024, marking a significant shift from non-financial assets [7][9]. - There is a noted trend of residents reallocating deposits towards higher-yielding investments such as stocks and wealth management products, as evidenced by a decrease in RMB deposits in April 2023 [9][11]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The money market fund sector is expected to face challenges as market interest rates decline further, potentially leading to a slowdown in the growth of fund sizes [13]. - The shift towards diversified asset allocation is becoming essential as reliance on deposit interest diminishes, prompting a need for investors to embrace volatility and risk [13][22].