恐惧贪婪指数
Search documents
英伟达财报前夜:美股跌到“极度恐惧”!都在等老黄“救驾”!万亿沙特金主或出手救市
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 09:28
Market Overview - The US stock market experienced significant fear and panic, with major indices continuing their downward trend, reflecting a market atmosphere filled with anxiety [1][3]. - The S&P 500 index broke through a weak support level at 6640 points, dipping to 6574 points before finding some support, indicating a potential for a sideways movement or slight rebound in the near term [5]. Nvidia's Earnings Impact - Nvidia's upcoming earnings report is a focal point for the market, with concerns centered around the production capacity of the Blackwell chip, power supply limitations in data centers, and rising costs potentially affecting profit margins [7]. - Nvidia's stock price has retraced towards an important support level of $176 ahead of the earnings announcement, reflecting market caution [5][7]. Market Sentiment and Indicators - The CNN Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 11, indicating extreme fear in the market, which historically has led to positive returns in the following month when entering the 10-15 range [10]. - Deutsche Bank's report reassured investors that the recent market downturn is a normal correction rather than a sign of economic deterioration, emphasizing that the fundamental conditions remain robust [10]. Federal Reserve's Position - The Federal Reserve is facing internal disagreements regarding interest rate paths, with expectations for a potential rate cut in December, contingent on inflation data [13]. - The market correction is viewed as a revaluation rather than a response to economic decline, suggesting that the Fed's future actions could provide long-term support for the market [13]. AI Sector Dynamics - The AI sector is currently experiencing significant volatility, with some stocks facing steep declines of 60-70%, reminiscent of past market corrections in tech sectors [17]. - Despite the current challenges, the overall environment of fiscal and monetary policy remains supportive, indicating potential for recovery in the AI sector post-correction [17]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to remain cautious and avoid blind confidence during bullish markets, focusing on identifying opportunities during extreme market emotions [18]. - The strategy of bottom-fishing in major indices is suggested as a safer approach compared to attempting to catch falling knives in individual stocks [17].
这个攒钱计划,看着还不错
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-24 09:50
Core Insights - The article discusses the importance of having a strategy that allows investors to take profits while navigating market fluctuations, particularly in the context of recent market movements around the 3500-point mark [1] - It introduces the "Fear and Greed Index" as a tool to guide investment decisions based on market sentiment [2][3] - The "Fear and Greed Dollar-Cost Averaging Plan" is presented as a practical investment strategy that utilizes the Fear and Greed Index to make disciplined investment decisions [4] Investment Strategy - The "Fear and Greed Dollar-Cost Averaging Plan" involves investing in a selected fund based on the Fear and Greed Index, allowing for increased investment during market fear and reduced investment during greed [4][5] - The plan addresses two main pain points for investors: selecting the right funds and identifying optimal buy and sell points [5] - The investment approach divides the total investment into 50 parts, with varying allocations based on the Fear and Greed Index readings [5] Performance Metrics - The plan has shown promising results, with the first phase achieving a return of 16.89% and the second phase achieving a return of 9.78% [8][10] - The strategy has been effective in navigating market volatility and capturing key investment opportunities [10]