AI Technology Scale - AI represents a technological revolution larger than the internet, comparable to electricity and microprocessors, and is still in a "very early" stage [2] - The unit cost of AI is decreasing at a rate that far exceeds Moore's Law, leading to explosive demand growth [2] Market Dynamics - Following the historical pattern of "shortage leads to surplus," the large-scale construction of GPUs and data centers will eventually result in oversupply, further driving down AI costs [3] - The future AI market structure will resemble the computer industry, with a few "god-level models" at the top and a vast number of low-cost "small models" proliferating at the edges [3] US-China Competition - The competition between the US and China is characterized as a dual hegemony, with Chinese companies like DeepSeek and Kimi making remarkable progress in speed, open-source strategies, and chip self-research [3][10] - The emergence of DeepSeek has surprised both Washington and Silicon Valley, indicating a shift in global price competition that may influence US regulatory approaches [10] Business Model Evolution - AI applications are transitioning from "pay-per-token" to "value-based pricing," with startups moving beyond being mere wrappers to integrating their own models [4][12] - High pricing can benefit customers by supporting better research and development, as AI startups demonstrate more creativity in pricing compared to SaaS companies [12] European AI Landscape - The EU's inability to lead in innovation has led to a focus on "regulatory leadership," which has stifled local AI development and caused major companies like Apple and Meta to withhold new features in Europe [5] AI Democratization - Advanced AI technologies are now accessible to anyone, breaking down barriers and allowing immediate use and validation of previously expensive technologies [6] - Public sentiment shows fear of AI replacement, yet actual behavior indicates a rapid adoption of AI technologies [6] Cost Deflation and Investment Outlook - The extreme deflation of AI input costs is expected to drive demand growth beyond expectations, with significant investments anticipated in the coming years [8] - Historical cycles suggest that shortages will lead to oversupply, resulting in a dramatic decrease in AI companies' unit costs over the next decade [8] Model Competition - The future of AI will not be a zero-sum game between closed large models and open-source small models, but rather a clearly defined "intellectual pyramid" [13] - The industry structure will feature a few supercomputer-like "god models" at the top, with numerous smaller models extending to embedded systems [13]

Core Viewpoint - Fuyao is expected to achieve significant revenue growth and improved profitability in 2Q25, driven by various factors including better scale effects, reduced OEM rebate pressure, and cost savings from raw material and shipping cost deflation [1][2][3]. Revenue Growth - 2Q25 revenue is projected to grow by 13-14% YoY, reaching RMB10.7-10.8 billion, with domestic automotive glass revenue expected to rise over 15% YoY [2][3]. - Overseas auto glass sales are anticipated to see double-digit YoY growth, supported by increased production capacity at the US second-phase plant and steady export demand to Europe [2][3]. Profitability and Margins - Gross margin for 2Q25 is expected to expand by over 1 percentage point from 35.4% in 1Q25, aided by improved operational efficiencies and cost savings [1][2]. - The company is projected to achieve net income of RMB2.5-2.6 billion in 2Q25, marking another quarterly high, with FX gains estimated at over RMB300 million due to the Euro's appreciation against the RMB [1][3]. Overseas Operations - US manufacturing profitability is expected to improve, with the first-phase plant's capacity utilization and operational efficiency enhancing overall profitability [3]. - The second-phase plant is on track to narrow its losses compared to 2H24, with full-year operating margin expected to exceed the original target of 13% [3]. Strategic Positioning - Fuyao is leading among Chinese auto parts suppliers in expanding its global footprint, particularly in the US market, by leveraging local capacity and export supply [4]. - The company's flexible capacity allocation strategy amid tariff uncertainties enhances its operational resilience and risk resistance in a challenging geopolitical environment [4]. Valuation and Market Position - Fuyao's H-shares are currently trading at 16x 2025 P/E, which is considered undemanding, especially compared to peers like Nexteer and Minth [5]. - The anticipated solid operating performance in 2Q25 is expected to act as a catalyst for reversing the company's lagging stock price performance year-to-date [5].