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10年后房产和存款都将贬值?银行行长直言:手握2样东西心中不慌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 17:08
当今,中国居民普遍将房产投资与银行存款视为主要的财富增值途径。相关数据显示,房产在中国家庭总资产中占据了高达77%的惊人比例,其余的金融资 产则仅占23%。这深刻反映出,我国众多家庭将大部分财富的重心置于房地产领域。与此同时,居民储蓄余额已达134.98万亿元,若均摊至14.12亿人口,人 均存款额约为9.56万元。这一数字侧面印证了中国居民普遍具有较高的储蓄意愿。 然而,近期有业内资深人士发出预警,指出十年之后,房产和存款的价值都将面临大幅缩水,日益变得不那么"值钱",并建议大家提前规划应对。 房产的贬值隐忧: 首先,让我们深入探讨房产价值下滑的原因。 一方面,中国房价已连续上涨了二十余载。尽管近两年各地楼市出现了一轮调整,但当前许多城市的房价,依然存在不同程度的资产泡沫,其价格水平已远 远脱离了当地居民的实际收入能力。在此背景下,未来几年房价极有可能经历一个从投资属性向居住属性的回归过程,逐渐挤压泡沫,并更加紧密地与居民 的收入水平挂钩。 另一方面,历经多年的疫情洗礼,不少家庭的收入锐减甚至遭遇失业,购房能力受到了严重侵蚀,已难以支撑当前的高企房价。同时,如今的家庭购房行为 也日趋理性,不再像疫情前那样盲 ...
楼市再添新变革?新规下,这3类房产或将迎来贬值潮?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-11 04:35
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing concerns about real estate devaluation in China, highlighting specific types of properties that are more susceptible to depreciation due to market adjustments and demographic changes [1][12]. Group 1: Market Trends - The real estate market in China is experiencing a significant adjustment, with 38 out of 70 major cities reporting a year-on-year decline in second-hand housing prices, with the highest drop reaching 11.2% [1]. - The sales area of commercial residential properties nationwide decreased by 12.3% year-on-year, with first-tier cities down by 5.7%, second-tier cities by 8.9%, and third and fourth-tier cities by 18.6% [1][12]. Group 2: Types of Properties at Risk - **Suburban "Sleep Towns"**: Properties in suburban areas lacking adequate infrastructure and industry support are facing severe challenges, with average transaction cycles reaching 267 days, 2.8 times longer than city center areas [3][4]. - **Old Residential Communities**: Approximately 18.6 million old communities exist, with 25% predicted to face continuous depreciation due to lack of renovation opportunities [7][8]. - **Properties in Overcapacity Regions**: Areas reliant on single industries are experiencing population outflows, leading to reduced housing demand and increased risk of property devaluation [9][11]. Group 3: Factors Contributing to Devaluation - For suburban properties, high commuting costs, inadequate amenities, and population return to urban centers are key factors driving depreciation [4][5]. - Old properties face risks due to aging infrastructure, outdated layouts, and high energy consumption, making them less appealing to modern buyers [7][8]. - In overcapacity regions, reduced job opportunities and declining local government finances diminish the attractiveness of real estate investments [11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The real estate market is transitioning from an "incremental era" to a "stock era," with a predicted annual housing demand of 8 million units from 2025 to 2035, significantly lower than previous years [12]. - The market is expected to focus more on the living attributes and service functions of properties rather than mere investment appreciation, leading to a clear differentiation between high-quality assets and those lacking competitive advantages [12][16].