Core Viewpoint - Company reported a slight outperformance in 1H25 earnings, with revenue growth of 4% year-on-year to 34.2 billion yuan and a net profit increase of 12% to 910 million yuan, driven by improved settlement gross margin and equity ratio [1][2] Financial Performance - The company maintained a healthy financial position with a net debt ratio of 33.4% and a cash-to-short-term debt ratio of 4.1 times as of 1H25 [2] - The average financing cost decreased by 39 basis points to 3.17%, marking a historical low [2] - The company did not declare an interim dividend, consistent with its previous dividend policy [1] Land Acquisition Strategy - In 1H25, the company acquired 26 plots of land for a total cost of 49.5 billion yuan, achieving a land acquisition intensity of 70% [1] - The majority of new land acquisitions are located in top-tier cities, with approximately 80% of the new value coming from cities like Beijing, Hangzhou, Shanghai, Chengdu, and Xiamen [1] - The company’s strategy prioritizes liquidity while also considering profit margins, with estimated net profit margins for new land projects in 1H25 expected to be around 7-9% [1] Sales and Market Position - The company ranked sixth in total sales amount in 1H25, improving one position from 2024, with total supply estimated at 160-170 billion yuan [2] - The company plans to launch over 100 billion yuan in new supply in 2H25, aiming to achieve its annual sales target of 150 billion yuan [2] Growth Outlook - The company expects steady growth in overall performance for the year, with a significant amount of unsold inventory and a robust settlement resource pool [3] - The estimated settlement amount for the year is expected to remain stable, with profit margins improving year-on-year [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025 while slightly raising the 2026 profit forecast by 2% to 5.1 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 10% and 8% respectively [3] - The target price has been increased by 7% to 21.4 HKD, indicating an upside potential of 16% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue but achieved robust growth in net profit, indicating a resilient performance despite market challenges [2][6]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 20.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.9% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 450 million yuan, an increase of 34.0% [1]. - The gross margin decreased by 2.7 percentage points to 11.8%, and the expense ratio (excluding R&D expenses) increased by 1.2 percentage points to 7.1% [2]. - The net profit growth was primarily driven by an increase in the proportion of project equity transferred [2][6]. Sales and Land Acquisition - The company recorded sales of 35.1 billion yuan in Q1 2025, down 12.8% year-on-year, but the decline was less severe compared to the previous year [3]. - The total land acquisition amount reached 20 billion yuan, a significant increase of 102.0%, with a land acquisition intensity of 57% [3]. - The company focused on core first- and second-tier cities, with 93% of land acquisition in these areas, ensuring a solid foundation for future sales performance [3]. Financial Stability - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company had a debt-to-asset ratio of 60.5% (excluding advance receipts) and a net debt ratio of 51.1%, indicating a relatively low leverage level [4]. - The average financing cost was 2.99% at the end of 2024, maintaining the lowest level in the industry [4]. - The operational efficiency has been declining but the rate of decline has slowed, suggesting a potential stabilization [4]. Business Development - The asset operation business generated a total income of 7.46 billion yuan in 2024, with a stable EBITDA return rate of 6.42% [5]. - The urban service business achieved revenue of 4.46 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a growth of 19.9% [5]. - The company has established three domestic and international REITs platforms, enhancing the value of its existing assets and maintaining a leading position in exploring new business models [5]. Future Outlook - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 4.2 billion, 4.5 billion, and 4.9 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19.9X, 18.6X, and 16.9X [6]. - Despite a high apparent P/E ratio, the actual P/B ratio is relatively low, indicating significant long-term value that is not yet reflected in the current valuation [6].