Group 1 - The USD/CAD currency pair has declined for the fourth consecutive trading day, influenced by the weakening of the US dollar, reaching around 1.3750 [1] - The Federal Reserve signaled plans to lower the federal funds rate to 3.4% by 2026, while the Bank of Canada indicated that current interest rates should be maintained in the short term [1] - The US dollar index (DXY) remains weak, hovering near a seven-week low of 98.13, as market expectations suggest more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve than indicated in the latest dot plot [1] Group 2 - The Canadian dollar is performing strongly against most major currencies, except for currencies from Australasia, due to the low likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada [2] - The Bank of Canada reaffirmed that current interest rates are sufficient to keep inflation near the target of 2%, as long as economic and inflation trends meet expectations [2] Group 3 - The USD/CAD pair has dropped to 1.3760, remaining below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) of 1.3921, indicating a bearish short-term trend [5] - The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 28, indicating an oversold condition, while the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.3772 serves as short-term support [5] - If the pair closes below the 1.3772 support level, it may open up further declines towards the 78.6% retracement level at 1.3671 [5]

Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) against the US dollar (USD) experienced a slight increase of 0.04% on August 5, closing at 0.6470, indicating a period of low volatility and balanced market forces [1] Market Analysis - The overall trading of AUD/USD was relatively narrow, with no clear directional trend due to light market activity [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was recorded at 3.09, which is considered extremely low; typically, an RSI below 30 indicates an oversold condition, suggesting potential short-term rebound demand for the AUD [1] - The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 0.6424, with the AUD/USD price above this level, indicating some long-term support for the currency pair [1] - In contrast, the 5-day moving average is at 0.6500, with the current price below this average, suggesting short-term pressure and a relatively weak short-term trend [1]