与此同时，除澳元、新西兰元等澳大拉西亚货币外，加元相对其他主要货币均表现强势，核心原因在于加拿大央行短期内降息的可能性极低。在周三发布的 货币政策声明中，加拿大央行重申，"只要经济和通胀走势符合预期，当前利率水平足以将通胀维持在2%的目标附近"。 IC外汇平台美元兑加元技术面分析 美元兑加元（USD/CAD）已连续第四个交易日下跌。受美元持续走弱影响，该货币对进一步下探至1.3750附近。美联储在周三释放信号，称计划到2026年 将联邦基金利率降至3.4%；而加拿大央行（BoC）本周则表示，短期内应维持当前利率水平。 周五，美元兑加元延续四连跌走势。欧洲交易时段，该货币对下跌0.1%，交投于1.3750附近。周三美联储公布货币政策决议后，美元表现疲软，直接对美元 兑加元形成压制。 截至发稿，追踪美元兑六种主要货币汇率的美元指数（DXY）仍处于脆弱区间，徘徊在周四创下的七周低点98.13附近。 市场预期美联储2026年的降息次数将超过最新点阵图显示的水平，这一预期推动美元全面走软。CME美联储观察工具（CMEFedWatchTool）数据显示，截 至2026年10月，美联储至少降息两次的概率已达58%。与之形成 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) against the US dollar (USD) experienced a slight increase of 0.04% on August 5, closing at 0.6470, indicating a period of low volatility and balanced market forces [1] Market Analysis - The overall trading of AUD/USD was relatively narrow, with no clear directional trend due to light market activity [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was recorded at 3.09, which is considered extremely low; typically, an RSI below 30 indicates an oversold condition, suggesting potential short-term rebound demand for the AUD [1] - The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 0.6424, with the AUD/USD price above this level, indicating some long-term support for the currency pair [1] - In contrast, the 5-day moving average is at 0.6500, with the current price below this average, suggesting short-term pressure and a relatively weak short-term trend [1]